Serie A · Matchday 11 
Our pick Away win Missed
Can Fiorentina upset Juventus in Florence?
Juventus sit seven places and nine points above Fiorentina, but the hosts have beaten them twice in the last five meetings. Fiorentina’s home record is a concern as they look to trouble the stronger visitors.
📍 Stadio Artemio Franchi
Preview written:
All Matchday 11 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Fiorentina 2-2 Juventus.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 22–18; Shots on target: 6–6; Corners: 5–12; Expected goals: 2.15–2.45.
Goals
- 4' Mateo Pellegrino · Pedro Goncalves · Fiorentina
- 32' Nick Woltemade · Randal Kolo Muani · Juventus
- 54' Alieu Njie · Fiorentina
- 66' Gleison Bremer · Douglas Luiz Soares · Juventus
Cards
- 13' Juan Cabal · Juventus
- 22' Gleison Bremer · Juventus
- 50' Christ Inao Oulaï · Fiorentina
- 73' Randal Kolo Muani · Juventus
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: N. Woltemade (Juventus) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Fiorentina · 4-2-3-1
- 43David de GeaG
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 33VieryD
- 17João MárioD
- 27C. NdourM
- 42C. Inao OulaïM
- 30Franco MastantuonoM
- 28PoteM
- 25A. NjieM
- 32Mateo PellegrinoF
Coach: P. Vanoli
Juventus · 4-4-2
- 25G. VicarioG
- 15P. KaluluD
- 3BremerD
- 26J. LucumíD
- 32J. CabalD
- 22W. McKennieM
- 8T. KoopmeinersM
- 12Douglas LuizM
- 13J. BogaM
- 9R. Kolo MuaniF
- 27N. WoltemadeF
Coach: L. Spalletti
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| Juventus | 1.3 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Juventus | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 10 | -8 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina
- 2025 Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus
- 2025 Fiorentina 3-0 Juventus
- 2024 Juventus 2-2 Fiorentina
- 2024 Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Absences
Fiorentina
- Out R. Sottil · Back Injury
Juventus
No reported absences
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.98 – 1.55
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 50% · X2 75%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 25%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 37%Fiorentina–Juventus
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 21% · 2 37%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 31%X/2 17% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.64.4 – 5.2 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.2 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 57%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
The table gap and the challenge
Juventus are seventh in Serie A with 17 points after 10 matches, while Fiorentina are 16th on eight. That nine-place, nine-point gap makes Juventus the clear favourites, but a trip to Florence offers Fiorentina a chance to disrupt the standings picture.
Fiorentina have managed two wins, two draws and six defeats, scoring 15 goals and conceding 23. Their home form is more troubling: two draws and three defeats from five league games, with 11 goals conceded and no clean sheets. Juventus, by contrast, have five wins, two draws and three defeats, and have conceded just 10 goals overall.
Recent results point both ways
Both teams won their most recent league matches. Fiorentina’s last five brought one win, one draw and three defeats, with nine goals scored and 11 conceded. Juventus have two wins, a draw and two defeats across their last five, scoring five and letting in six.
The visitors’ defensive record is notably stronger: they have kept five clean sheets in 10 league games, including two in five away matches. Fiorentina have yet to keep a clean sheet in the league, a vulnerability Juventus may look to exploit.
Fiorentina have recent head-to-head hope
The last five meetings have produced two Fiorentina wins, one Juventus win and two draws. The latest came in May, when Fiorentina won 2-0 away at Juventus. Three of those five matches had two goals or fewer, suggesting this rivalry can be tight even when the standings point to a favourite.
Sottil unavailable for the hosts
Fiorentina will be without R. Sottil, who is missing the fixture with a back injury. His absence leaves the home side with one fewer option as they seek to turn their recent success against Juventus into another result.
The defensive contrast is decisive
Fiorentina have scored nine goals in their last five league matches, but have conceded 11 in that span. Juventus have scored five and conceded six over the same number of games, and their stronger season-long defensive figures give them a more dependable platform.
Our prediction
Fiorentina’s recent head-to-head record means Juventus should not expect an easy evening, but the visitors’ steadier defence and stronger league position give them the edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours Juventus, pointing to a narrow away win.
Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus
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