Serie A · Matchday 11
Cagliari
1–0 Full time
Frosinone

Our pick Away win Missed

Cagliari under pressure as Frosinone arrive in form

Cagliari’s four-match losing streak has left them searching for a response, while Frosinone come to Unipol Domus unbeaten in four. The visitors also sit seven points above their hosts.

📍 Unipol Domus

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Cagliari 1-0 Frosinone.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 14–29; Shots on target: 4–9; Corners: 3–13; Expected goals: 0.97–2.3.

Goals

  • 38' Michel Adopo · Paul Mendy · Cagliari

Cards

  • 13' Gabriele Bracaglia · Frosinone
  • 60' Anthony Oyono · Frosinone
  • 69' Jacopo Fazzini · Cagliari
  • 70' Nicola Grandu · Cagliari
  • 85' Ilario Monterisi · Frosinone
  • 87' Zé Pedro · Cagliari

Match stats

CagliariFrosinone
36%Possession64%
14Shots29
4Shots on target9
0.97Expected goals (xG)2.30
3Corners13
14Fouls12
3Offsides1
9Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: E. Caprile (Cagliari) 9.3

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Cagliari · 3-4-2-1

  1. 1E. CaprileG
  2. 14A. DeiolaD
  3. 22R. KoflerD
  4. 15J. RodríguezD
  5. 2Zé PedroM
  6. 8M. AdopoM
  7. 4A. RomanoM
  8. 36N. GranduM
  9. 19Y. TrepyM
  10. 70D. MaldiniM
  11. 31P. MendyF

Coach: F. Pisacane

Frosinone · 4-2-3-1

  1. 22L. PalmisaniG
  2. 20A. OyonoD
  3. 3G. CalvaniD
  4. 30I. MonterisiD
  5. 79G. BracagliaD
  6. 16Matteo CichellaM
  7. 14G. CalòM
  8. 7F. GhedjemisM
  9. 10R. SchmidM
  10. 17G. KvernadzeM
  11. 11D. BîrligeaF

Coach: M. Alvini

Match facts

Recent form

Cagliari DLLLL
Frosinone LWDWW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Cagliari0.91.5
Frosinone2.41.4

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
6Frosinone10 +1020
12Cagliari10 -613

Last meetings

  • 2025 Cagliari 4-1 Frosinone
  • 2024 Frosinone 3-1 Cagliari
  • 2023 Cagliari 4-3 Frosinone
  • 2023 Cagliari 0-0 Frosinone
  • 2022 Frosinone 2-2 Cagliari

Absences

Cagliari

  • Out Riyad Idrissi · Jumpers Knee

Frosinone

No reported absences

PreviaXI model

Cagliari34% Draw22% Frosinone44%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.58 – 1.86
Double chance
12 · 78%1X 56% · X2 66%
Over 2.5 goals
67%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 45%
Both teams score
67%
Clean sheet
16% – 21%Cagliari–Frosinone
Half-time result
X · 36%1 28% · 2 36%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 28%1/1 20% · X/2 14%
Expected corners
11.75.8 – 5.9 · Over 9.5: 71%
Expected cards
3.72.1 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 52%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Pressure builds on Cagliari

Cagliari return to Unipol Domus under growing pressure after four consecutive defeats and five league matches without a win. They have scored just four goals and conceded 13 across their last five, a run that has seen them slip to 12th in Serie A, seven points behind sixth-placed Frosinone.

There is a clear contrast in momentum. Frosinone arrive on a two-match winning streak and have avoided defeat in four, giving the visitors a chance to strengthen their position above Cagliari.

Two contrasting runs

Cagliari’s recent sequence is a draw followed by four defeats. Their home record offers little comfort: they have won once, drawn once and lost twice in four league matches at Unipol Domus, scoring twice and conceding four.

Frosinone have been more productive, with three wins, a draw and a defeat in their last five league games. They have scored 15 goals in that span, although conceding 10 suggests Cagliari may find opportunities. Away from home, Frosinone have recorded one win, two draws and one defeat in four matches.

A lively recent rivalry

Cagliari have won two of the last five meetings, with Frosinone taking one and the other two ending level. Their most recent encounter was a 4-1 Cagliari victory in the Coppa Italia in September 2025. The previous Serie A meeting went Frosinone’s way, 3-1.

Idrissi out for the hosts

Cagliari will be without Riyad Idrissi, who is sidelined with jumper’s knee. His absence comes as the home side look to halt a difficult spell and improve on their record of two goals in four league matches at Unipol Domus.

Frosinone bring the greater threat

Frosinone’s attacking output stands out: they have scored 24 goals in 10 league matches, compared with Cagliari’s nine. Cagliari’s recent defensive record will be a concern, but Frosinone have also conceded 10 times across their last five, leaving room for the hosts to respond.

Our prediction

Cagliari need to end their losing run, but Frosinone’s stronger scoring record and current unbeaten streak give them the edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours the visitors in a match where both sides could find the net.

Cagliari 1-2 Frosinone

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