Eredivisie · Matchday 12 
Our pick Home win Missed
Twente and Ajax meet with the top four in their sights
Twente bring a two-match winning run into a meeting of fourth and second in the Eredivisie. Ajax are one point ahead, making the result important in the race to stay in touch at the top.
📍 De Grolsch Veste
Preview written:
All Matchday 12 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Twente 2-2 Ajax.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 22–6; Shots on target: 5–2; Corners: 9–2; Expected goals: 2.58–0.72.
Goals
- 3' Tolu Arokodare · Oscar Gloukh · Ajax
- 66' Rayane Bounida · Oscar Gloukh · Ajax
- 68' Dies Janse (o.g.) · Twente
- 90+5' Wout Weghorst (pen.) · Twente
Cards
- 35' Lucas Oliveira·Rosa · Ajax
- 52' Tolu Arokodare · Ajax
- 60' Robin Propper · Twente
- 64' Aaron Bouwman · Ajax
- 70' Oscar Gloukh · Ajax
- 82' Daouda Weidmann · Twente
- 90+2' Ramiz Zerrouki · Twente
- 90+4' Owen Wijndal · Ajax
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: O. Gloukh (Ajax) 7.8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Twente · 4-2-3-1
- 16J. DrommelG
- 28B. van RooijD
- 3R. PröpperD
- 4R. NijstadD
- 29A. AdelgaardD
- 6R. ZerroukiM
- 8D. WeidmannM
- 11D. RotsM
- 10Y. TahaM
- 27S. ØrjasæterM
- 9W. WeghorstF
Coach: J. van den Brom
Ajax · 4-3-3
- 1M. ter StegenG
- 2Lucas RosaD
- 30A. BouwmanD
- 15Y. BaasD
- 5O. WijndalD
- 24J. MokioM
- 28Y. BissoumaM
- 36D. JanseM
- 18D. KlaassenF
- 99T. ArokodareF
- 10O. GloukhF
Coach: Míchel
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Twente | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| Ajax | 2.7 | 1.2 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | +17 | 24 |
| 4 | Twente | 11 | +18 | 23 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Ajax 0-1 Twente
- 2026 Ajax 1-2 Twente
- 2025 Twente 2-3 Ajax
- 2025 Ajax 2-0 Twente
- 2024 Twente 2-2 Ajax
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.79 – 1.14
- Double chance
- 1X · 77%12 75% · X2 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 34%
- Both teams score
- 58%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 17%Twente–Ajax
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 39% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 32%X/1 16% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.55.8 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 3.51.2 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 45%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A one-point gap in Enschede
Twente arrive on a two-match league winning run, and Sunday’s meeting with Ajax puts two top-four sides directly against each other. Ajax are second on 24 points after 11 matches, with Twente fourth on 23. A home win would move Twente above Ajax; the visitors can widen the gap and strengthen their position near the top.
Both sides have scored freely: Ajax have 30 league goals and Twente 28. The points on offer matter as much as the attacking promise, with the sides separated by just one point.
Twente’s home edge meets Ajax’s away run
Twente have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five league matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding five. They have won four of five at home, with two clean sheets, and come into this fixture after back-to-back victories.
Ajax are also in strong form. They have three wins and two draws in their last five, and are unbeaten in seven league matches, including three consecutive wins. Their away record is especially imposing: five wins from five, with 18 goals scored and four conceded.
Recent meetings have been close
The last five meetings across the listed competitions are evenly split: Twente and Ajax have two wins each, with one draw. Their most recent encounter was a 1-0 Twente victory away to Ajax in April 2026. Two of those five meetings produced two goals or fewer, though the league clash at Twente in October 2025 ended 3-2 to Ajax.
Attacking quality on both sides
Twente’s 16 goals across their last five league games underline their recent threat, while their home record offers a solid platform. Ajax have scored 11 in their last five and have been particularly productive away, netting 18 in five league trips.
Both teams also arrive after winning their most recent league match, so neither needs to look far for confidence. The key contest is whether Twente can turn home advantage into another result against Ajax, or whether the visitors’ perfect away record continues.
Our prediction
Twente’s strong home form and recent scoring give them a slight edge, even against an Ajax side with an excellent away record. PreviaXI’s model also favours the home side, with a narrow win the most likely outcome.
Twente 2-1 Ajax
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