Eredivisie · Matchday 12 
Our pick Away win Correct result
Cambuur’s 3-0 upset offers a warning for PSV
PSV have won four of the last five meetings, but Cambuur’s emphatic 3-0 home victory in 2022 shows they can disrupt the pattern. Both sides arrive on a winning run, setting up a lively Eredivisie clash.
📍 Kooi Stadion
Preview written:
All Matchday 12 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Cambuur 2-5 PSV Eindhoven.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 10–16; Shots on target: 3–7; Corners: 1–1; Expected goals: 1.06–2.62.
Goals
- 1' Sven Mijnans · Esmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven
- 15' Sven Mijnans · Ruben van Bommel · PSV Eindhoven
- 19' Ruben van Bommel · Esmir Bajraktarević · PSV Eindhoven
- 41' Nicky Souren · Cambuur
- 78' Iwan Henstra · Rafik El Arguioui · Cambuur
- 80' Sven Mijnans · PSV Eindhoven
- 90+2' Ayoni Santos · Kodai Sano · PSV Eindhoven
Cards
- 55' Mathieu Maertens · Cambuur
- 63' Sven Mijnans · PSV Eindhoven
- 66' Morgan Costarelli · Cambuur
- 68' Rafik El Arguioui · Cambuur
- 72' Sergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: S. Mijnans (PSV Eindhoven) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Cambuur · 4-3-3
- 1T. JansenG
- 2D. BouahD
- 4I. BaoufD
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 33M. MaertensM
- 8N. SourenM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 30J. ÇekaF
- 13N. BinderF
- 11I. HamacheF
Coach: J. Plat
PSV Eindhoven · 4-2-3-1
- 32M. KovářG
- 8S. DestD
- 2L. GeertruidaD
- 4A. ObispoD
- 18F. KostićD
- 24K. SanoM
- 17Mauro JúniorM
- 19E. BajraktarevicM
- 21S. MijnansM
- 7R. van BommelM
- 20G. TilF
Coach: P. Bosz
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 3.2 | 1.2 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | +22 | 23 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | +1 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2023 PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Cambuur
- 2022 Cambuur 3-0 PSV Eindhoven
- 2022 Cambuur 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
- 2021 PSV Eindhoven 4-1 Cambuur
- 2016 PSV Eindhoven 6-2 Cambuur
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.40 – 2.47
- Double chance
- 12 · 80%1X 40% · X2 80%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%Over 1.5: 91% · Over 3.5: 54%
- Both teams score
- 70%
- Clean sheet
- 8% – 25%Cambuur–PSV Eindhoven
- Half-time result
- 2 · 47%1 21% · X 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 40%X/2 16% · 1/1 11%
- Expected corners
- 11.03.9 – 7.1 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.6 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 47%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Cambuur’s chance to close the gap
PSV Eindhoven are six places and eight points above Cambuur after 11 matches, but recent meetings suggest this fixture can be more unpredictable than the table implies. PSV are third with 23 points and a goal difference of +22; ninth-placed Cambuur have 15 points and a +1 goal difference.
Two sides arriving with a win
Cambuur are unbeaten in seven league matches and have won their last two. Across their last five, they have three wins and two draws, scoring 14 goals and conceding four. Their latest league match was also a victory.
PSV’s last five have been less consistent: two wins, a draw and two defeats, with 13 goals scored and six conceded. They also won their most recent league match. Overall, PSV have seven wins from 11 league games, while Cambuur have four.
Past meetings point to goals
PSV have won four of the last five meetings, with Cambuur claiming the other and no draws. Every one of those five matches featured at least three goals. The latest, in March 2023, ended PSV Eindhoven 5-2 Cambuur.
But Cambuur’s 3-0 home win in October 2022 is a reminder that the pattern is not one-way. They also scored twice in a 2-5 defeat at PSV in March 2023, and their recent attacking form makes them a threat again.
Attackers could shape the contest
Cambuur have scored 14 goals in their last five league games, while PSV have scored 13 over the same span. PSV’s broader scoring record is stronger: 35 goals in 11 matches, compared with Cambuur’s 23. However, Cambuur’s recent defensive record is notable, with only four goals conceded in their last five.
PSV have also scored 14 goals in five away league matches, but conceded eight and kept no clean sheets on the road. That may give Cambuur opportunities, even against a side with a far better overall goal difference.
Our prediction
Cambuur’s unbeaten run and recent scoring form point to a competitive game, while PSV’s stronger season-long attack and higher league position make them favourites to edge it. PreviaXI’s model leans towards an away win, with both teams finding the net.
Cambuur 1-2 PSV Eindhoven
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