Algeria take a four-point lead into the Togo return

Four points after Algeria’s win

Algeria beat Togo 1-0 on 14 November. Algeria now lead Group I with seven points from three matches, while Togo are third with three. A Togo win would cut the gap to one point; an Algeria win would widen it to seven.

The group scoring comparison

Algeria have scored six goals and conceded three in their three group matches. Togo have scored once and conceded three. Togo won their home group match 1-0, while Algeria drew their away group fixture 2-2 with Burundi.

Five meetings, five Algeria wins

Algeria won all five meetings in the current head-to-head sample, including the 14 November match. Three of those five games had two goals or fewer. The latest match was a narrow win, not a goalless draw.

Our prediction

Algeria’s scoring and recent head-to-head record give them the edge. Togo’s home group win and Algeria’s away draw leave room for a close return and a possible draw.