Our pick2–1Missed
Elversberg's recent home form and what the rivalry says about this DFB Pokal tie
Elversberg arrive after a winning start to the season and with a strong recent record against Darmstadt; their home ground could be the decisive factor as the Bundesliga side faces the 2. Bundesliga visitors in the last 32.
📍 Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Preview written:
Match report
SV Darmstadt 98 won 2-0 away at SV Elversberg. The opening goal came in the 6th minute when Lars Kehl scored, and the second arrived in the 56th minute from Milan Smit, assisted by Lance Duijvestijn. There were no red cards in the match.
The stats underline Darmstadt’s efficiency against Elversberg’s dominance: Elversberg had 74% possession, 26 total shots to Darmstadt’s 7, and 18 corners to 2, while expected goals were 1.69 for Elversberg and 0.54 for Darmstadt. Top-rated player was M. Schuhen (SV Darmstadt 98) with a 7.9. PreviaXI’s model had predicted a 2-1 win for the home side with 57% home-win, 22% draw and 21% away-win probability.
Goals
- 6'Lars Kehl · SV Darmstadt 98
- 56'Milan Smit · Lance Duijvestijn · SV Darmstadt 98
Cards
- 53'Milan Smit · SV Darmstadt 98
- 72'Raoul Petretta · SV Darmstadt 98
- 90+3'Lasse Günther · SV Elversberg
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: M. Schuhen (SV Darmstadt 98) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
SV Elversberg · 4-2-3-1
- 20N. KristofG
- 26L. SirchD
- 19L. PinckertD
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 21L. GüntherD
- 6A. CondéM
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 25L. PetkovM
- 17F. SchmahlM
- 39William Cole CampbellM
- 9N. FutkeuF
Coach: V. Wagner
SV Darmstadt 98 · 3-1-4-2
- 1M. SchuhenG
- 6P. PfeifferD
- 49Y. LührsD
- 18R. PetrettaD
- 17K. KlefischM
- 28C. LannertM
- 10N. VerkooijenM
- 41L. DuijvestijnM
- 3F. KleinhanslM
- 36M. SmitF
- 9Lee Ho-JaeF
Coach: F. Kohfeldt
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026SV Darmstadt 983-3SV Elversberg
- 2025SV Elversberg0-0SV Darmstadt 98
- 2025SV Darmstadt 980-3SV Elversberg
- 2024SV Elversberg4-0SV Darmstadt 98
- 2023SV Darmstadt 984-2SV Elversberg
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.10 – 1.21
- Double chance
- 1X · 79%12 78% · X2 43%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 42%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 12%SV Elversberg–SV Darmstadt 98
- Half-time result
- 1 · 44%X 36% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 37%X/1 17% · X/X 12%
- Expected corners
- 10.55.1 – 5.4 · Over 9.5: 59%
- Expected cards
- 4.01.9 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 55%
- Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 1-110%
- 2-08%
- 1-07%
- 3-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why this tie matters for Elversberg
Elversberg have begun the campaign well and are enjoying confidence at the Ursapharm-Arena an der Kaiserlinde. As an 8th-placed Bundesliga side, a cup run would reinforce that positive start and test their depth against familiar opponents from the second tier.
Early-season form snapshot
Both teams come into the Round of 32 on the back of opening wins. Elversberg scored three and conceded one in their lone competitive match so far; Darmstadt have also started with a victory, scoring twice and letting in one. The season trajectories are contrasting on paper: Elversberg are operating in the Bundesliga while Darmstadt remain in the 2. Bundesliga, where they sit lower in their table despite recent results.
What recent meetings tell us
The last five encounters have been eventful and tend to favour Elversberg. Results include a 4-0 home win (2024) and a 3-0 away victory (2025) for Elversberg, plus a high-scoring 3-3 draw at Darmstadt in April. There was also a 0-0 stalemate in Spiesen-Elversberg last November. Across those matches, Elversberg have been the more consistent side, capable of both big wins and drawing tight games — a mixed record that suggests this fixture is rarely dull and often produces goals.
Match context: league gap and familiar foes
A Bundesliga vs 2. Bundesliga pairing gives Elversberg a nominal edge: they sit in the top flight, Darmstadt in the second division. Familiarity between the clubs from recent league meetings removes much of the typical unpredictability in cup ties; patterns from those matches — Elversberg’s ability to score multiple goals in winning outings and the shared history of close, high-scoring games — are relevant indicators.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours a narrow home victory based on Elversberg’s superior league status, recent attacking returns and the history of these fixtures producing goals. Expect Elversberg to control large parts of the match while Darmstadt remain a threat on the break, making this a competitive cup tie decided by a single goal margin.
SV Elversberg 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

