Our pick2–1Correct result
Knockout stakes: Gladbach’s big-scoring return vs Karlsruher’s resilience
Borussia Mönchengladbach arrive off a five-goal outing and a clean sheet, while Karlsruher SC travel with recent form that has kept them competitive in the 2. Bundesliga — both teams know a Round of 32 exit would mean early cup failure.
📍 Borussia-Park
Preview written:
Match report
Borussia Mönchengladbach beat Karlsruher SC 2-0 in the DFB Pokal Round of 32. Robin Hack opened the scoring in the 7th minute with an assist from Joe Scally, and Lukas Ullrich doubled the lead on 49' assisted by Robin Hack. Borussia Mönchengladbach had a player sent off in the 39th minute: Philipp Sander received a red card.
The stats show Borussia Mönchengladbach defended the win with 36% possession to Karlsruher SC's 64%, 4 total shots to 15, and an xG of 0.77–0.91 (home–away); R. Hack was the top-rated player (8.2). PreviaXI had predicted a 2-1 result with a 63% chance of a home win, 19% draw and 18% away win.
Goals
- 7'Robin Hack · Joe Scally · Borussia Mönchengladbach
- 49'Lukas Ullrich · Robin Hack · Borussia Mönchengladbach
Cards
- 39'Philipp Sander · Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: R. Hack (Borussia Mönchengladbach) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Borussia Mönchengladbach · 3-4-2-1
- 33D. BatzG
- 16P. SanderD
- 22Y. KonoplyaD
- 2F. ChiarodiaD
- 29J. ScallyM
- 47Z. UnoM
- 7K. StögerM
- 20D. HeroldM
- 38H. BolinM
- 25R. HackM
- 18S. MachinoF
Coach: A. Blessin
Karlsruher SC · 4-2-3-1
- 1H. BernatG
- 22C. KobaldD
- 28M. FrankeD
- 24S. TrémouletD
- 3D. OfliD
- 25L. EgloffM
- 6S. VäänänenM
- 36Rafael Pinto PedrosaM
- 23T. CivejaM
- 10M. WanitzekM
- 13S. FukudaF
Coach: M. Senft
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Karlsruher SC | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Last meetings
- 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach3-1Karlsruher SC
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.42 – 1.26
- Double chance
- 1X · 82%12 81% · X2 37%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%Over 1.5: 89% · Over 3.5: 50%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 9%Borussia Mönchengladbach–Karlsruher SC
- Half-time result
- 1 · 48%X 33% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 42%X/1 17% · X/X 10%
- Expected corners
- 9.15.0 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.1 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 2-19%
- 1-18%
- 3-18%
- 2-07%
- 3-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
What progression means for each club
Borussia Mönchengladbach and Karlsruher SC meet in the DFB Pokal Round of 32 with clear, contrasting incentives. Gladbach are a top-flight side under pressure in the Bundesliga and need a cup run to steady a season that has begun poorly in the league; advancing would provide momentum and a tangible chance to salvage confidence. Karlsruher, from the 2. Bundesliga, view a win as both a statement and a financial boost: progression would validate their competitiveness against higher-level opposition and extend a cup campaign that can lift the squad amid a challenging league season.
Gladbach’s recent firepower and Karlsruhe’s steadiness
Gladbach’s last match produced five goals and a clean sheet, giving the home side a pronounced attacking edge coming into the tie. Karlsruher arrive unbeaten in the single recent fixture recorded here but with fewer goals (two) and one conceded. The seasonal records mirror that contrast: Gladbach scored five away in their opening match while conceding none; Karlsruher have been more modest offensively but have found results to remain in contention in their division.
Past knockout meeting
The recent cup meeting between these teams went Gladbach’s way: in October 2025 they beat Karlsruher 3-1 in the DFB Pokal. That result adds psychological advantage for the hosts in a direct knockout replay.
Tactical edge and match profile
The model underlying this preview projects Gladbach as the stronger side: they create more chances and are expected to take the initiative at Borussia-Park. Karlsruhe’s compact approach and resilience mean the tie is unlikely to be a rout; expect an open but contested cup tie with both sides able to affect the scoreline.
Our prediction
The numbers point to a narrow home victory by the top-flight side, with Gladbach’s greater chance creation and recent scoring form proving decisive against Karlsruhe’s defence. Expect a competitive match that tilts in favour of the hosts late on.
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-1 Karlsruher SC

