CONCACAF Nations League · League B - 4 
St. Vincent / Grenadines 1–0 Belize
📍 Arnos Vale Ground
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Match report
Final result: St. Vincent / Grenadines 1-0 Belize.
St. Vincent / Grenadines took the lead for good at 35′.
Goals
- 35' Cornelius Stewart · St. Vincent / Grenadines
Cards
- 28' W. G. Moss · Belize
- 51' Bernardez Carlos · Belize
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: W. West (Belize) 7.5
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Original preview
St. Vincent / Grenadines’ winning run faces a Belize test
St. Vincent / Grenadines have won four straight Nations League matches. They also won their most recent meeting with Belize, 1-0 on September 30, giving them another encouraging reference point for the return fixture.
Most likely result Home win High confidence Correct result
A chance to extend the run
The most recent meeting brought a narrow 1-0 win for St. Vincent / Grenadines away to Belize in the CONCACAF Nations League on September 30. They meet again at Arnos Vale Ground on November 15, with the home side aiming to make it five consecutive Nations League victories.
Four straight Nations League wins
St. Vincent / Grenadines arrive on a four-match winning streak in this Nations League campaign. In their four CONCACAF Nations League matches, they have scored 11 goals and conceded three, keeping two clean sheets. At home in this competition, they have won both matches, scoring six times and conceding once.
Belize’s Nations League campaign has taken a contrasting turn: after a win, they have lost their last three. Across four matches in this competition, they have scored once and conceded four. Their latest Nations League match ended in defeat, while their two away games have brought a win and a loss.
These figures describe each side’s four matches in this competition only. St. Vincent / Grenadines’ attacking output stands out against Belize’s difficulty finding goals, though the visitors have shown they can win away in the Nations League.
Recent meetings favour the hosts
St. Vincent / Grenadines have won three of the last five meetings, with Belize claiming one victory and one match drawn. Three of those five encounters, including the latest meeting, featured two goals or fewer, so the hosts’ strong scoring form will meet a history that has often produced close contests.
The home side have the edge
St. Vincent / Grenadines have the momentum, a perfect home record in this competition and the advantage of winning the latest head-to-head. Belize can still pose a challenge, but their three straight defeats and one goal across four Nations League matches leave them with ground to make up.
Our prediction
St. Vincent / Grenadines look better placed to control the match, with their four-game Nations League winning run and stronger scoring record giving them the edge. Belize’s away win in this competition is a reminder that an upset is possible, but the home side are favoured to continue their run.
Pre-match forecast and result
Score after 90 minutes 1–0
- Home win (St. Vincent / Grenadines) 60%
- Draw 21%
- Away win (Belize) 19%
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Confirmed lineups
St. Vincent / Grenadines · 4-4-2
- 23Lemus christopherG
- 19Tristan marshallD
- 21A. JohnsonD
- 20Joseph BarterD
- 11Azinho SolomonD
- 16diel springM
- 6Micah JosephM
- 15Jordan RagguetteM
- 9C. StewartM
- 17Kirtney franklynF
- 4Steven Pierre
Coach: M. Findlay
Belize · 3-5-2
- 22W. WestG
- 16Jahryl SmithD
- 17Jaylen LennanD
- 2Eugene MartinezD
- 6Andir chiM
- 14D. MyvettM
- 8W. G. MossM
- 15Freybin PagoadaM
- 7Najib GuerraM
- 11Horace ÁvilaM
- 9Bernardez CarlosF
Coach: M. Dall’orso
Match facts
Recent form
Recent results in our provider’s data, oldest first.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| St. Vincent / Grenadines | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| Belize | 0.3 | 1.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Belize 0-1 St. Vincent / Grenadines
- 2023 St. Vincent / Grenadines 3-0 Belize
- 2023 Belize 1-2 St. Vincent / Grenadines
- 2019 Belize 1-0 St. Vincent / Grenadines
- 2019 Belize 1-1 St. Vincent / Grenadines
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: High
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.78 – 0.88
- Double chance
- Home win or draw81%Either team wins 79% · Draw or away win 40%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 41% – 17%St. Vincent / Grenadines–Belize
- Half-time result
- 1 · 43%X 40% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 38%X/1 19% · X/X 13%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
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