Sint Maarten 1–5 French Guyana
📍 Arnos Vale Ground
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Match report
Final result: Sint Maarten 1-5 French Guyana.
French Guyana took the lead for good at 36′.
Goals
- 24' gerwin lake · Christina quinton · Sint Maarten
- 30' yvelin nozile · robinho besini · French Guyana
- 36' Jules Haabo · yvelin nozile · French Guyana
- 48' Thomas Vancaeyezeele · Jules Haabo · French Guyana
- 85' Calvin soga · French Guyana
- 88' joel sarrucco · French Guyana
Cards
- 86' Ilounga Pata · Sint Maarten
- 90+1' Donovan Sini · French Guyana
- 90+2' Sergio hughes · Sint Maarten
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: yvelin nozile (French Guyana) 8.3
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Original preview
French Guyana’s winning run faces a test against Sint Maarten
French Guyana have won three straight CONCACAF Nations League matches and arrive with the stronger defensive record. Sint Maarten are seeking a response after four consecutive defeats in the competition.
Most likely result Away win High confidence Correct result
French Guyana carry the momentum
French Guyana travel to face Sint Maarten on Saturday with a three-match winning run in the CONCACAF Nations League. Their challenge is to keep that streak alive against a side still searching for a change in direction after four straight defeats in the competition.
The contrast is stark: French Guyana have conceded only twice across their four Nations League matches, while Sint Maarten have let in 10. With no standings information to frame the wider stakes, the immediate question is whether Sint Maarten can halt their slide or French Guyana can extend their run.
Form points one way
In this competition, French Guyana have won three of four matches, scoring five goals and keeping three clean sheets. Their latest result was a victory. Away from home in the Nations League, they have taken one win and one defeat, scoring three goals and conceding two.
Sint Maarten have lost all four of their competition matches, scoring twice and conceding 10, with no clean sheets. At home in the Nations League, they have suffered two defeats, scoring twice and conceding five. The numbers offer a clear test for the hosts: they need to become more difficult to break down while finding a way to trouble a defence that has been hard to beat.
Recent meetings favour the visitors
French Guyana have won both of the sides’ two listed meetings, with Sint Maarten yet to win either. The most recent encounter, in September in the CONCACAF Nations League, ended in a 1-0 victory for French Guyana. That result gives the visitors a recent reference point, though Sint Maarten will have the chance to change the story on home ground.
French Guyana have the edge
French Guyana’s three consecutive wins and stronger defensive record make them the more convincing side on current competition form. Their recent head-to-head success adds to that case, although Sint Maarten’s home setting offers a possible route to a tighter contest.
Our prediction
French Guyana have the edge to extend their winning run, with their defensive resilience a key advantage against a Sint Maarten side that has conceded freely in this competition. A home response remains possible, but the visitors look better placed to control the match and claim another win.
Pre-match forecast and result
Score after 90 minutes 1–5
- Home win (Sint Maarten) 20%
- Draw 20%
- Away win (French Guyana) 60%
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Confirmed lineups
Sint Maarten · 4-2-3-1
- 1I. KortG
- 2I. PataD
- 3mitchell nooijer deD
- 14duane kwoei a tjenD
- 6oliver hobgoodM
- 19Christina quintonM
- 11Sergio hughesF
- 16Shawn t illidgeF
- 21elmer vries deF
- 7C. AmatkarijoF
- 17gerwin lakeF
French Guyana · 4-3-3
- 23D. LéonG
- 13mickael colinoD
- 17Thomas Georges VancaeyezeeleD
- 18Donovan SiniD
- 22Y. MarmotD
- 6Y. SalmierD
- 8Zedan CharlecM
- 10Jules HaaboM
- 3robinho besiniF
- 19yvelin nozileF
- 15Jean-Yves MonimofouF
Coach: S. D'Urbano
Match facts
Recent form
Recent results in our provider’s data, oldest first.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Sint Maarten | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| French Guyana | 1.3 | 0.5 |
Last meetings
- 2026 French Guyana 1-0 Sint Maarten
- 2023 French Guyana 4-1 Sint Maarten
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: High
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.95 – 1.85
- Double chance
- Either team wins80%Home win or draw 40% · Draw or away win 80%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 16% – 39%Sint Maarten–French Guyana
- Half-time result
- 2 · 43%1 18% · X 39%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 38%X/2 19% · X/X 12%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

