Somalia seek a response after three straight defeats against Ghana
Somalia’s three-match losing run puts pressure on their Group C campaign as they meet Ghana again, four days after a 2-0 defeat. Ghana are three points ahead, but have also conceded six goals in their three qualifiers.
📍 Essipong Sports Stadium
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Somalia under pressure in Group C
Somalia have lost three matches in a row, and their latest defeat was in this competition. That run leaves them bottom of Group C on no points after three matches, three points behind third-placed Ghana. Ghana’s win would extend that gap; a Somalia victory would bring the sides level on points.
The match is at Essipong Sports Stadium in Takoradi, Ghana. Somalia are the designated home team, so the home/away labels below do not imply an advantage from playing in Somalia. Somalia’s five qualifying matches include the preliminary round; their Group C record covers three matches.
Somalia’s competition record across five matches is a win, a draw and three defeats, with two goals scored and six conceded. At home in this competition, they have drawn once and lost once, scoring no goals and conceding two.
A modest scoring return against Ghana’s defensive concerns
Somalia have scored twice in five Africa Cup of Nations qualifying matches, while Ghana have conceded six in three. That contrast offers Somalia a possible route into the game, although the home side’s two-match record in the competition has brought no goals.
Ghana’s own figures also leave room for uncertainty: they have scored four and conceded six in three qualifying matches. Away from home in this competition, Ghana lost their only match, scoring none and conceding twice. A pattern to watch is whether Somalia can turn their limited home scoring into a goal against a Ghana side that has yet to win away in the competition.
A quick rematch after Ghana’s win
The teams met on 12 November, when Ghana beat Somalia 2-0 in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying. It is their only listed meeting, giving Ghana the early head-to-head advantage.
Our prediction
Ghana have the edge after winning the recent meeting, while Somalia’s three-match losing run and lack of a home goal in this competition underline the pressure on them. But Ghana’s away defeat and defensive record leave a draw as a plausible alternative.
View model probabilities in the fixture table
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Recent form
Somalia
- L A Ghana 0-2
- L H Ivory Coast 0-2
- L A Gambia 1-2
- D A Mauritius 0-0
- D H Mauritius 0-0
Ghana
- W H Somalia 2-0
- L H Gambia 2-4
- L A Ivory Coast 0-2
Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Somalia | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Ghana | 1.3 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | Somalia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Ghana 2-0 Somalia
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