Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 4 
Guinea defend a five-point group lead over Eritrea
Guinea have six points and Eritrea one after three Group D matches. The return follows Guinea’s 2-1 win on 12 November.
📍 Al Salam Stadium
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Five points separate the teams
Guinea are second in Group D with six points, while Eritrea are fourth with one after three group matches. A Guinea win would make the gap eight points; an Eritrea win would cut it to two.
Group results and the wider qualifying sample
Guinea have won their last two group matches. Eritrea have a draw followed by two group defeats. Eritrea’s five-match statistics include the preliminary round and must not be treated as five Group D matches.
Guinea have scored four goals and conceded three in their three group fixtures. Their away game in this competition ended in defeat, with one goal scored and two conceded, which offers Eritrea a possible opening.
The recent meeting
Guinea won 2-1 on 12 November in the only meeting in the current head-to-head sample.
Our prediction
Guinea’s group record gives them the edge, while their away defeat leaves a draw or an Eritrea response plausible.
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Recent form
Eritrea
- L A Guinea 1-2
- L H South Africa 0-5
- D A Kenya 1-1
- W A Eswatini 2-1
- W H Eswatini 2-0
Guinea
- W H Eritrea 2-1
- W H Kenya 1-0
- L A South Africa 1-2
Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Eritrea | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Guinea | 1.3 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Eritrea | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Guinea 2-1 Eritrea
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