San Marino 0–2 Belarus

The October reminder

Belarus beat San Marino 4-0 in their most recent meeting, in the UEFA Nations League in October. The sides meet again in League C, with that result underlining the challenge facing San Marino as they try to halt Belarus’s winning record in this fixture.

Different directions in League C

Belarus sit second in League C Group A on seven points after four matches, two places and seven points above San Marino, who are fourth with none. San Marino have lost all four of their matches in this competition, scoring once and conceding 16.

Belarus have taken two wins, a draw and a defeat from their four Nations League games. They have scored five and conceded two, and their current run stands at two successive wins, unbeaten across three matches. Those figures apply to this competition only.

Belarus hold the head-to-head edge

Belarus have won all three listed meetings with San Marino, with no draws and no San Marino victories. The latest was the 4-0 result in October; before that, Belarus won 2-0 away in 2018 and 5-0 at home the same year.

That history gives the visitors a clear psychological reference point, though San Marino will hope home advantage can make this encounter more competitive.

The home defensive test

San Marino have lost both of their home matches in this competition, conceding 10 goals and scoring none. Belarus, meanwhile, have yet to score in their two away Nations League fixtures, taking a draw and a defeat, but they have conceded only twice and kept one clean sheet on the road.

The contrast leaves Belarus with the stronger overall record, while their away scoring will be an important question to answer.

Our prediction

Belarus have the edge after three straight head-to-head wins and a stronger Nations League campaign, but their away matches in this competition have brought no goals. A draw remains a plausible alternative, particularly if San Marino can make the game tighter than October’s meeting.