1–2 Full time Saturday 24 October

Our pick1–2Exact score

Amed Arrive in Samsun as Favourites, Samsunspor Looking for a Way Back

Second-placed Amed visit a Samsunspor side rooted near the foot of the Süper Lig table, with the hosts searching for their first real lift of the season. Can the bottom club trouble the visitors?

📍 Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu

All Matchday 9 matches

Match report

Amed came from behind to beat Samsunspor 2-1 in Round 9 of the Süper Lig. Samsunspor took the lead in the 21st minute through L. Tomasson, assisted by T. Coulibaly, and A. Sousa was sent off for Samsunspor in the 37th minute. M. Diagne was shown a red card for Amed in the 61st minute. G. Orban scored a penalty for Amed in the 73rd minute, and D. Saba finished in the 84th minute, assisted by G. Orban, to settle the match.

Possession was almost level at 48% for Samsunspor and 52% for Amed, but Amed created far more, with 22 shots to 10 and 5 shots on target to 3. Their expected goals total was 1.54 against 0.91, and they won 8 corners to 2. Lumbardh Dellova was Amed's top-rated player with 7.7. The result matched the pre-match model's predicted score of 1-2, which gave Amed a 49% chance of winning against 25% for Samsunspor and 26% for a draw.

Goals

21'L. Tomasson · T. Coulibaly · Samsunspor
73'G. Orban (pen.) · Amed
84'D. Saba · G. Orban · Amed

Cards

3'D. Saba · Amed
36'A. Sousa · Samsunspor
37'A. Sousa · Samsunspor
37'A. Sousa · Samsunspor
37'B. Bayazit · Samsunspor
45+1'Y. E. Cift · Samsunspor
45'F. Soyalp · Amed
48'L. Dellova · Amed
61'M. Diagne · Amed
61'M. Diagne · Amed
61'M. Diagne · Amed
89'E. Tavsan · Samsunspor

Match stats

SamsunsporAmed

48%Possession52%

10Shots22

3Shots on target5

0.91Expected goals (xG)1.54

2Corners8

15Fouls16

1Offsides3

3Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: Lumbardh Dellova (Amed) 7.7

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Samsunspor · 4-2-3-1

25Bilal BayazitG
16Strahinja ErakovićD
34Gabriele GuarinoD
3Igor DrapińskiD
17Logi TomassonD
2Josafat MendesM
4Elliot WattM
10Tanguy CoulibalyM
77Afonso SousaM
42Antoine SekongoM
18Mohamed BayoF

Amed · 4-2-3-1

40Alban LafontG
7Ermal KrasniqiD
5Lumbardh DellovaD
4David Robert BatesD
17Umut MeraşD
22Rayan RavelosonM
8Furkan SoyalpM
10Samuel BalletM
91Dia SabaM
74Mohamed KhalilM
99Gift OrbanF

Match facts

Recent form

SamsunsporLLLLL

AmedDWWDW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Samsunspor	0.9	2.4
Amed	2.3	1.1

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
2	Amed	8	+9	17
17	Samsunspor	8	-12	4

Last meetings

2020Samsunspor3-0Amed
2019Amed0-0Samsunspor
2019Amed3-2Samsunspor
2018Samsunspor1-0Amed

Absences

Samsunspor

OutJ. Assoumou · Muscle Injury
OutF. Kaya · Inactive
OutC. Yuksel · Injury

Amed

OutL. Dellova · Muscle Injury
OutM. Yildirim · Muscle Injury
DoubtfulY. Sor · Muscle Injury

PreviaXI model

Samsunspor25%Draw26%Amed49%

Predicted score: 1-2
Expected goals (model): 1.21 – 1.72
Double chance: X2 · 75%1X 51% · 12 74%
Over 2.5 goals: 56%
Both teams score: 59%
Expected corners: 9.95.8 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 53%
Expected cards: 4.82.1 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 66%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Amed arrive in Samsun second in the Süper Lig with 17 points from eight matches, and their league form reads win, draw, win, win, draw. The trip to a club at the foot of the table is exactly the kind of test that separates genuine contenders from teams enjoying a good spell.

Context & stakes

Samsunspor are 17th of 18 with four points and a goal difference of minus 12, and they have lost each of their last five league games. For the hosts, every point is about survival. For Amed, the task is to keep their momentum going against opponents who badly need a result. It is a classic favourite-versus-underdog fixture, and the central question is simple: can Samsunspor trouble Amed?

Form

Samsunspor have struggled at both ends. They have scored only seven goals in eight games and conceded 19, and their home record is poor, with one draw and three defeats in four matches. Three of those seven goals came in the 31-45 minute window, a sign that their attack can strike, but not often enough.

Amed have been far more settled. Their 18 goals and nine conceded show a side comfortable at both ends. Five home wins from five have been the backbone of their campaign, while their away form is less dominant, with two draws and a defeat from three trips. Their scoring is also telling: 13 of their 18 goals have come after half-time, suggesting they wear opponents down as games wear on.

Head-to-head

The clubs have met four times in the second tier. Samsunspor won 1-0 in 2018 and 3-0 in 2020, Amed won 3-2 in January 2019, and the other meeting ended 0-0 in October 2019. Samsunspor have the better recent record between them, but Amed’s most recent win over them came with a late flourish that will not be forgotten in Samsun.

Team news

Samsunspor will be without J. Assoumou, who is sidelined by a muscle injury, along with F. Kaya, who is inactive, and C. Yuksel, who is injured. Amed also have problems: L. Dellova and M. Yildirim are both out with muscle injuries, and Y. Sor is a doubt with the same complaint.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Amed, and the football logic behind that is clear. Their scoring form and their ability to find goals late in matches should give them the edge over a Samsunspor defence that has conceded 19 times this season. The hosts can keep this competitive and an early goal would give them real belief, but Amed’s consistency should be enough to win it.

Samsunspor 1-2 Amed

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