Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: Two Sides Level on Points Hunt for an Edge

Alanyaspor’s 5-0 win over Kocaelispor in March is the most one-sided result between these clubs, yet the current picture is anything but lopsided. Both sides have 12 points from eight games, sitting eighth and ninth in an 18-team league.

Level on points, separated by a whisker

Kocaelispor hold eighth place on a goal difference of +1, while Alanyaspor are ninth at -1. Neither side can afford to drift, because a single win could move either club clear of the other and into the upper part of the middle of the table.

Form: two different routes to the same place

Kocaelispor’s recent run reads LLWLW, with two wins and three defeats in their last five, and they have ended their latest spell with a victory. Alanyaspor are on LDWDW, with two wins, two draws and one defeat, and they too finished their last outing with a win.

The difference lies in where they have earned their points. Alanyaspor have been difficult to beat at home, collecting one win and two draws in three games without a defeat. Kocaelispor have been stronger at home than away, winning three of their four home matches but only one of four on the road.

Timing is another theme. Four of Alanyaspor’s eight goals have come between the 61st and 75th minutes, while Kocaelispor have conceded four of their nine goals conceded in that same period, with three more arriving between the 76th and 90th minutes. Whoever holds firm late may well decide this match.

Head-to-head

Alanyaspor have the upper hand in recent meetings. Their 5-0 win in March followed a 1-0 victory in the Türkiye Kupası in December 2023. Kocaelispor’s only success in the three meetings we can point to came with a 2-0 win in October 2025, on their own ground.

Team news

Alanyaspor are waiting on P. Fernandes, who is questionable with an injury.

Kocaelispor face a far longer list of absences. M. Haidara (muscle injury), B. Petkovic (hamstring injury) and T. Zoukrou (muscle injury) will all miss the fixture, while A. Jovanovic is out by the coach’s decision. Losing four players to fitness and selection issues will test their squad depth.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Alanyaspor narrowly. The home side look more likely to create the sharper chances, and their habit of pushing for goals in the final half hour should give them the edge on a night that looks tight and could turn on one moment. Kocaelispor’s absences make a comeback harder, and their record of conceding late could be exposed if the scoreline stays close.

Alanyaspor 1-0 Kocaelispor