Copa del Rey · Round of 128 
Our pick1–2
Lower-league grit vs higher-tier experience in Copa del Rey opener
Real Ávila, a Segunda División RFEF side, face Primera División RFEF opponents Unionistas de Salamanca in the first round of the Copa del Rey — a classic mismatch on paper between division status and recent friendly history.
Preview written:
Match report
Real Ávila defeated Unionistas de Salamanca 1-0 after extra time in the Copa del Rey Round of 128. The only goal came in the 110th minute, when A. Millan scored for Real Ávila. No assists or red cards were recorded.
The available match statistics list no corners for either team, while Real Ávila received four yellow cards and Unionistas de Salamanca two. The result differed from the pre-match model’s predicted 1-2 score: it gave Real Ávila a 31% chance of winning, a 25% chance of a draw and Unionistas de Salamanca a 44% chance of winning.
Goals
- 110'A. Millan · Real Ávila
Cards
- 49'F. Garrido Diaz · Real Ávila
- 54'D. Morer · Unionistas de Salamanca
- 56'D. Gonzalez · Real Ávila
- 73'B. Aniekan · Real Ávila
- 106'A. Casas · Unionistas de Salamanca
- 117'J. del Amo · Real Ávila
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Real Ávila · 4-3-1-2
- 1Álvaro CortésG
- 23Asier GrandeD
- 22Fernando DíazD
- 17Alejandro Muñiz GarcíaD
- 5Jesús del AmoD
- 15Boubacar DialloD
- 24Bless AniekanM
- 8Diego GonzalezM
- 6SafraiM
- 19Antonio MolinaF
- 9Moha NdiayeF
Unionistas de Salamanca · 4-3-3
- 13Emilio BernadG
- 2Daniel Cabrera MorerD
- 3Mikel SerranoD
- 16Gorka RiveraD
- 23Diego CaballoD
- 20Arnau CasasM
- 14Alejandro MarceloM
- 5Luis AlcaldeM
- 11Alvaro Gomez MartinM
- 7Hugo De BustosM
- 9Pau FerrerF
Match facts
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Real Ávila | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Last meetings
- 2026Real Ávila2-0Unionistas de Salamanca
- 2025Real Ávila1-2Unionistas de Salamanca
- 2021Real Ávila0-2Unionistas de Salamanca
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.38 – 1.71
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 56% · X2 69%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%Over 1.5: 82% · Over 3.5: 37%
- Both teams score
- 62%
- Clean sheet
- 18% – 25%Real Ávila–Unionistas de Salamanca
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 26% · 2 35%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 27%1/1 18% · X/X 14%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 2-17%
- 0-17%
- 0-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
League positions set the scene
This Copa del Rey tie pits Real Ávila, sitting 15th in Segunda División RFEF – Group 5 with 7 points from 8 games, against Unionistas de Salamanca, 16th in Primera División RFEF – Group 1 with 10 points from 9 matches. The contrast is clear: a club from the fourth tier hosting a third-tier opponent with marginally better league form.
What’s at stake for both clubs
For Real Ávila, the tie is an opportunity to claim a high-profile scalp and lift momentum in a league campaign that has produced mixed results. Unionistas, meanwhile, can use a cup run to bolster confidence and justify their higher-division status; an away win would underline the squad’s ability to handle knockout pressure.
Recent form and patterns
League form lines show inconsistency for both sides — Real Ávila’s domestic sequence contains lows, while Unionistas have alternated positive and mixed results. There are no competitive match figures logged for either side in the dataset beyond their league positions, so the recent friendlies and historical meetings carry more weight when judging likely rhythms.
Friendly history points to the visitors
The three most recent meetings (all friendlies) favour Unionistas: wins in 2021 (0-2) and 2025 (1-2), with Real Ávila’s only listed victory coming in August 2026 (2-0). Across those encounters Unionistas have had the upper hand overall, and the head-to-head goal split in the comparison data tilts toward the visitors.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model leans toward an away success in a competitive but open cup tie, reflecting Unionistas’ higher-division pedigree and the recent head-to-head edge. Expect Unionistas to create the clearer chances while Real Ávila defend resolutely and threaten on set pieces and counters.
Real Ávila 1-2 Unionistas de Salamanca
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