Copa del Rey · Round of 128 
Knockout lifeline: Peña Sport must upset Huesca to stay in Copa del Rey
A single cup tie will decide which club advances from the Round of 128 — a rare opportunity for Segunda División RFEF side Peña Sport and a test of consistency for Primera División RFEF Huesca.
Preview written:
Match facts
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Peña Sport | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Huesca | 0.0 | 0.0 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.19 – 1.24
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 63% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 30%Peña Sport–Huesca
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 27% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 21%1/1 20% · X/X 18%
- Expected corners
- 9.65.3 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 49%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 0-110%
- 1-010%
- 0-09%
- 1-28%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Win and you keep the dream alive
This Round of 128 Copa del Rey fixture is knockout football: one match separates Peña Sport and Huesca from progression. For Peña Sport, a lower‑division club, victory would be a significant scalp and a chance to extend their season with a high‑profile cup run. For Huesca, a win would protect expectations of the higher‑level side and avoid the embarrassment of an early exit to a Segunda División RFEF opponent.
Recent league picture
Both teams sit 11th in their respective groups but in different tiers — Peña Sport in Segunda División RFEF (Group 2) with 9 points from 8 games and a league form of D D L W L, and Huesca in Primera División RFEF (Group 2) on 12 points from 9 games with a more stable sequence of D D D W D. Huesca’s results suggest slightly steadier form at a higher competitive level, while Peña Sport will lean on home spirit and the unpredictability of a one‑off cup tie.
Tactical edge for the visitors
PreviaXI’s numbers project a tight contest. Expected goals are similar — 1.19 for Peña Sport and 1.24 for Huesca — reflecting a game that looks open but marginally in Huesca’s favour. The model also indicates Huesca create slightly fewer corners on average but are marginally more likely to nick a decisive moment. That narrow margin reflects Huesca’s status as the higher‑division side and their steadier league run.
Our prediction
This is a close cup tie where one well‑timed chance could decide the tie; Huesca’s slight edge in expected output and higher‑division experience should be enough to win a tight game away from home. Expect cautious first half play and a decisive breakthrough later on.
Peña Sport 0-1 Huesca
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