CONCACAF Nations League · Quarter-finals
Panama
Doha time
Curaçao

Panama and Curaçao meet with progression at stake after a goalless first leg

Panama and Curaçao return to Panama City for the quarter-final second leg after a goalless first leg. The prize is a place in the March 2027 Nations League Finals and the 2027 Gold Cup.

📍 Estadio Rommel Fernandez

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A quarter-final still open

Panama and Curaçao return to Panama City for the quarter-final second leg after a goalless first leg. The prize is a place in the March 2027 Nations League Finals and the 2027 Gold Cup. The aggregate winner advances. Away goals break an aggregate tie; if the teams are still level, extra time and, if needed, penalties follow.

Curaçao’s scoring edge

In five matches in this competition, Curaçao have scored 12 goals and conceded five, with three wins and two draws. Panama’s competition record covers just one match: a 0-0 draw. That contrast points to Curaçao as the more productive side, while Panama’s single match is too small a sample for a broader comparison.

Curaçao’s away figures offer both encouragement and a caution: in two away matches in this competition, they scored five goals but conceded four, with one win and one draw. A pattern to watch is whether they can maintain their scoring output without allowing Panama to exploit the defensive openings seen in those away games.

Panama’s unbeaten run against Curaçao

Panama are unbeaten in the last four meetings, with two wins and two draws; Curaçao have not won any of them. The latest meeting, the first leg of this quarter-final, ended 0-0.

Our prediction

Curaçao have the edge: their five-match scoring record in this competition is stronger, and PreviaXI’s model favours an away win. Panama’s unbeaten record across the last four meetings offers a counterpoint, so a home result or another draw remain plausible alternatives.

Confirmed lineups

Panama · 5-4-1

  1. 22O. MosqueraG
  2. 23A. MurilloD
  3. 14C. HarveyD
  4. 3J. CórdobaD
  5. 16A. AndradeD
  6. 15J. GutiérrezD
  7. 13J. RamosD
  8. 6Cristian Jesús MartínezM
  9. 8A. CarrasquillaM
  10. 10I. DíazF
  11. 21K. BarriaF

Coach: Thomas Christiansen

Curaçao · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1E. RoomG
  2. 20J. BrenetD
  3. 2S. SamboD
  4. 3J. GaariD
  5. 19J. CarolinaD
  6. 10L. BacunaD
  7. 8L. ComenenciaM
  8. 21T. ChongF
  9. 7J. BacunaF
  10. 14K. GorréF
  11. 9Jerolldino BergraafF

Coach: D. Advocaat

Match facts

Recent form

Panama

  • D A Curaçao 0-0
  • L A Mexico 1-2
  • W A USA 1-0
  • D H Costa Rica 2-2
  • W A Costa Rica 1-0

Curaçao

  • D H Panama 0-0
  • D A Trinidad and Tobago 1-1
  • W H Trinidad and Tobago 1-0
  • W H Nicaragua 6-1
  • W A Costa Rica 4-3

Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Panama0.00.0
Curaçao2.41.0

Last meetings

  • 2026 Curaçao 0-0 Panama
  • 2023 Curaçao 1-2 Panama
  • 2021 Curaçao 0-0 Panama
  • 2021 Panama 2-1 Curaçao
  • 2020 Curaçao None-None Panama

PreviaXI model

Panama19% Draw22% Curaçao59%

Model confidence: Medium

Expected goals (model)
0.86 – 1.73
Double chance
Draw or away win81%Home win or draw 41% · Either team wins 78%
Over 2.5 goals
55%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 26%
Both teams score
51%
Clean sheet
18% – 42%Panama–Curaçao
Half-time result
2 · 42%1 17% · X 41%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 37%X/2 19% · X/X 14%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model leans towards Curaçao

  • Expected goals favour Curaçao: 0.86 – 1.73.
  • The model gives Curaçao a 42% chance of a clean sheet.

Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 41%, led by a draw at 22%.

Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.

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