Vasco DA Gama vs Internacional: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Friday 20 November. The PreviaXI model gives Vasco DA Gama 50%, the draw 26% and Internacional 24%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Matchday 35 matches Full head-to-head
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.60 – 1.04
- Double chance
- Home win or draw76%Either team wins 74% · Draw or away win 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 35% – 20%Vasco DA Gama–Internacional
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 37% · 2 21%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 30%X/1 17% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.15.1 – 4.0 · Over 9.5: 51%
- Expected cards
- 4.32.0 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 62%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Vasco DA Gama
- Expected goals favour Vasco DA Gama: 1.60 – 1.04.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 50%, led by a draw at 26%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty. Power ratings: Serie A →
Key trends
- Internacional have not won in their last 4 away matches.
Chance to score
Vasco DA Gama
- Philippe Coutinho3 goals in 7 games 29%
- Bruno Duarte5 goals in 15 games 26%
- F. Colidio4 goals in 17 games 20%
Internacional
- A. Bernabéi8 goals in 36 games 17%
- Alan Patrick7 goals in 33 games 16%
- J. Carbonero7 goals in 35 games 15%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | Vasco DA Gama | Internacional | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 12-8-14 | 8-3-6 | 9-11-14 | 3-6-8 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.32 | 1.47 | 1.12 | 0.94 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.47 | 1.41 | 1.24 | 1.47 |
| xG per game | 1.58 | 1.98 | 1.41 | 1.09 |
| xG against per game | 0.97 | 1.00 | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Scored in | 71% | 71% | 71% | 65% |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 18% | 24% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 29% | 29% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 59% | 56% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 76% | 74% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 65% | 41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 29% | 21% | 24% |
| Shots per game | 17.3 | 19.9 | 14.8 | 12.9 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.2 | 6.2 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Shots on target | 30% | 31% | 30% | 27% |
| Possession | 55% | 57% | 47% | 45% |
| Passes per game | 461.0 | 471.5 | 377.9 | 365.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 79% | 77% |
| Corners per game | 5.6 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 5.3 |
| Corners against per game | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Cards per game | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| Fouls per game | 13.0 | 12.4 | 15.9 | 15.7 |
League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Vasco DA Gama
- 0-15 2 / 5
- 16-30 4 / 6
- 31-45 8 / 7
- 46-60 8 / 11
- 61-75 8 / 10
- 76-90+ 16 / 10
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Internacional
- 0-15 3 / 6
- 16-30 7 / 8
- 31-45 6 / 7
- 46-60 6 / 7
- 61-75 6 / 4
- 76-90+ 9 / 11
Usual formation: 3-4-2-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | +42 | 76 | |
| 2 | 34 | +39 | 73 | |
| 3 | 34 | +7 | 60 | |
| 4 | 34 | +13 | 57 | |
| 5 | 34 | +8 | 54 | |
| 6 | 34 | +5 | 53 | |
| 7 | 35 | +4 | 51 | |
| 8 | 34 | +5 | 47 | |
| 9 | 34 | +1 | 47 | |
| 10 | 34 | 0 | 44 | |
| 11 | 34 | -5 | 44 | |
| 12 | 34 | -7 | 42 | |
| 13 | 34 | -11 | 42 | |
| 14 | 35 | -9 | 41 | |
| 15 | 34 | -16 | 38 | |
| 16 | 34 | -4 | 38 | |
| 17 | 34 | -6 | 37 | |
| 18 | 34 | -9 | 37 | |
| 19 | 34 | -20 | 29 | |
| 20 | 34 | -37 | 21 |
Table as of
Next matches
Vasco DA Gama
- Mon 23 Nov RB Bragantino – Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- Mon 30 Nov Atletico-MG – Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Vasco DA Gama – VitoriaSerie A
Internacional
- Tue 24 Nov Internacional – VitoriaSerie A
- Mon 30 Nov Internacional – RB BragantinoSerie A
- Thu 3 Dec Cruzeiro – InternacionalSerie A
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Vasco DA Gama 3 wins · 1 draws · Internacional 6 wins
- 16/05/2026 Internacional 4-1 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- 28/11/2025 Vasco DA Gama 5-1 InternacionalSerie A
- 27/07/2025 Internacional 1-1 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- 21/11/2024 Vasco DA Gama 0-1 InternacionalSerie A
- 07/07/2024 Internacional 1-2 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- 27/10/2023 Vasco DA Gama 1-2 InternacionalSerie A
- 11/06/2023 Internacional 2-1 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- 14/02/2021 Vasco DA Gama 0-2 InternacionalSerie A
- 18/10/2020 Internacional 2-0 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
- 20/10/2019 Internacional 0-1 Vasco DA GamaSerie A
Match facts
Last matches · Vasco DA Gama
- W Sat 14 Nov A Chapecoense-sc 2-0
- W Wed 4 Nov A Atletico Paranaense 3-1
- L Thu 29 Oct H Flamengo 1-4
- W Sat 24 Oct H Corinthians 3-2
- L Sun 18 Oct A Sao Paulo 0-1
- D Sat 10 Oct H Remo 0-0
Last matches · Internacional
- W Wed 4 Nov H Coritiba 1-0
- L Wed 28 Oct A Fluminense 1-2
- W Sat 24 Oct H Botafogo 3-0
- L Fri 16 Oct A Mirassol 0-2
- D Sun 11 Oct A Gremio 1-1
- W Wed 7 Oct H Corinthians 2-1
Recent record
| · | Vasco DA Gama | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Vasco DA Gama (H) | Internacional (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

