Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 14

03:15 Tuesday 27 October Doha time

Instituto Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra: prediction, stats and form

Liga Profesional Argentina, Tuesday 27 October. The PreviaXI model gives Instituto Cordoba 43%, the draw 35% and Deportivo Riestra 22%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

All Clausura, matchday 14 matches Full head-to-head

PreviaXI model

Instituto Cordoba43%Draw35%Deportivo Riestra22%

Predicted score: 1-0
Expected goals (model): 1.03 – 0.65
Double chance: 1X · 78%12 65% · X2 57%
Over 2.5 goals: 24%Over 1.5: 51% · Over 3.5: 9%
Both teams score: 32%
Clean sheet: 52% – 36%Instituto Cordoba–Deportivo Riestra
Half-time result: X · 54%1 29% · 2 17%
Half-time / full-time: X/X · 27%1/1 24% · X/1 17%
Expected corners: 9.06.5 – 2.5 · Over 9.5: 41%
Expected cards: 6.22.3 – 3.9 · Over 3.5: 86%
Most likely scores: 0-020%
1-018%
1-114%
0-111%
2-010%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model leans towards Instituto Cordoba

Power ratings: Instituto Cordoba +0.16 goals per game (9th of 30 in Liga Profesional Argentina), Deportivo Riestra -0.04 (20th).
Instituto Cordoba's attack (1.19 goals per game) meets Deportivo Riestra's defence (0.82 conceded per game).
Deportivo Riestra's attack (0.78) meets Instituto Cordoba's defence (1.03).
Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 30% more goals.
Put together, the model expects 1.03 – 0.65 goals: Instituto Cordoba 43%, draw 35%, Deportivo Riestra 22%.

Power ratings: Liga Profesional Argentina →

Chance to score

Instituto Cordoba

A. Luna7 goals in 27 games18%
G. Cerato6 goals in 28 games15%
F. Alarcón3 goals in 25 games9%

Deportivo Riestra

J. Randazzo4 goals in 21 games18%
M. Céliz2 goals in 13 games14%
A. Díaz3 goals in 25 games12%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Trends

Deportivo Riestra have not won in their last 17 away matches.
Deportivo Riestra have not won in their last 9 matches.
7 of Deportivo Riestra’s last 8 matches had under 2.5 goals.
Instituto Cordoba are unbeaten in their last 6 home matches.
Instituto Cordoba have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
Instituto Cordoba are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.

Season stats

·	Instituto Cordoba		Deportivo Riestra
·	All	Home	All	Away
Won-drawn-lost	15-5-9	9-2-3	3-14-12	0-6-8
Goals scored per game	1.28	1.57	0.52	0.21
Goals conceded per game	0.93	0.93	0.86	1.00
xG per game	1.39	1.46	0.99	0.80
xG against per game	0.80	0.79	0.84	0.92
Scored in	76%	86%	38%	21%
Clean sheets	34%	29%	34%	29%
Failed to score	24%	14%	62%	79%
Both teams scored	45%	57%	28%	21%
Over 1.5 goals	62%	71%	52%	43%
Over 2.5 goals	38%	57%	10%	7%
Over 3.5 goals	17%	21%	0%	0%
Shots per game	13.0	12.4	9.7	8.2
Shots on target per game	4.2	3.2	3.2	2.8
Shots on target	32%	26%	33%	34%
Possession	50%	51%	39%	31%
Passes per game	348.4	342.0	252.4	225.8
Pass accuracy	73%	73%	58%	59%
Corners per game	5.2	4.5	3.7	3.1
Corners against per game	3.6	3.1	4.1	4.5
Cards per game	2.7	2.9	3.2	3.6
Fouls per game	13.6	14.8	17.1	17.8

League matches this season (Liga Profesional Argentina). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

Instituto Cordoba

0-155 / 1
16-305 / 4
31-454 / 3
46-609 / 8
61-755 / 6
76-90+8 / 6

Usual formation: 3-4-2-1

Deportivo Riestra

0-154 / 2
16-302 / 5
31-453 / 3
46-602 / 2
61-753 / 6
76-90+2 / 6

Usual formation: 5-3-2

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

Apertura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Recent form
1	Estudiantes L.P.	16	9	4	3	19:7	+12	31	LDWLW
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	+13	30	WDWWW
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	+6	28	WLDWD
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	+4	26	LLDLL
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	+4	24	DDLWD
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	+3	24	DWWDW
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22	WWLLD
8	Union Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	+4	21	DLLLL
9	Instituto Cordoba	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21	WDWWW
10	Defensa Y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19	WLWWD
11	Gimnasia M.	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19	LLWLD
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16	WLDDL
13	Central Cordoba de Santiago	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16	LDDDL
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15	WLDWD
15	Deportivo Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11	DLDDL

Clausura - Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Recent form
1	Instituto Cordoba	13	9	2	2	20:10	+10	29	WDWWW
2	Defensa Y Justicia	14	8	3	3	20:13	+7	27	WLWWD
3	Boca Juniors	13	6	6	1	21:14	+7	24	WDWWW
4	Lanus	14	7	3	4	17:10	+7	24	DWWDW
5	Velez Sarsfield	13	6	6	1	18:13	+5	24	WLDWD
6	Newells Old Boys	13	5	5	3	13:10	+3	20	WLDWD
7	Gimnasia M.	14	6	2	6	16:15	+1	20	LLWLD
8	Independiente	13	5	4	4	12:13	-1	19	DDLWD
9	San Lorenzo	13	5	2	6	7:12	-5	17	WWLLD
10	Estudiantes L.P.	13	4	2	7	16:15	+1	14	LDWLW
11	Union Santa Fe	13	4	2	7	18:22	-4	14	DLLLL
12	Platense	14	3	5	6	14:20	-6	14	WLDDL
13	Deportivo Riestra	13	2	6	5	10:13	-3	12	DLDDL
14	Central Cordoba de Santiago	13	2	4	7	11:18	-7	10	LDDDL
15	Talleres Cordoba	14	2	3	9	13:22	-9	9	LLDLL

Next matches

Instituto Cordoba

Sun 1 NovEstudiantes L.P. – Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Mon 9 NovInstituto Cordoba – Newells Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina

Deportivo Riestra

Sat 31 OctDeportivo Riestra – Talleres CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
Mon 9 NovIndependiente – Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina

Head-to-head: last 10 meetings

Instituto Cordoba 5 wins · 4 draws · Deportivo Riestra 1 wins

11/04/2026Deportivo Riestra0-1Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
20/10/2025Deportivo Riestra1-0Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
13/04/2025Instituto Cordoba3-0Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
01/12/2024Instituto Cordoba2-1Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina
25/01/2024Instituto Cordoba0-0Deportivo RiestraCopa de la Liga Profesional
08/06/2023Instituto Cordoba2-1Deportivo RiestraCopa Argentina
13/08/2022Instituto Cordoba1-1Deportivo RiestraPrimera Nacional
22/02/2020Instituto Cordoba0-0Deportivo RiestraPrimera Nacional
02/09/2019Deportivo Riestra0-0Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional
26/02/2018Deportivo Riestra2-3Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional

Match facts

Last matches · Instituto Cordoba

W Fri 16 Oct A Defensa Y Justicia 1-0
D Fri 9 Oct H Boca Juniors 2-2
W Fri 2 Oct A Independiente 4-1
W Sun 20 Sept H Talleres Cordoba 3-1
W Tue 15 Sept H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 2-1
L Tue 8 Sept A Union Santa Fe 2-3

Last matches · Deportivo Riestra

D Tue 20 Oct H Union Santa Fe 1-1
L Sun 11 Oct A San Lorenzo 0-1
D Mon 5 Oct H Central Cordoba de Santiago 1-1
D Sat 19 Sept A Gimnasia M. 0-0
L Mon 14 Sept H Lanus 0-3
D Fri 4 Sept A Platense 1-1

Last 10 matches

·	Instituto Cordoba	Deportivo Riestra
Scored	1.7	0.6
Conceded	0.8	1.0
Points per game	2.30	0.90
Over 2.5 goals	50%	10%
Both teams score	50%	40%
Clean sheets	50%	30%
Failed to score	10%	50%

Home and away record

·	Instituto Cordoba (H)	Deportivo Riestra (A)
Scored	1.6	0.2
Conceded	0.9	1.1
Points per game	2.20	0.40
Over 2.5 goals	60%	10%
Both teams score	60%	20%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	10%	80%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

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Liga Profesional Argentina table All model predictions