PreviaXI
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Serie A · Matchday 35
Corinthians
Doha time
Botafogo

Corinthians vs Botafogo: prediction, stats and form

Serie A, Thursday 19 November. The PreviaXI model gives Corinthians 45%, the draw 29% and Botafogo 26%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

All Matchday 35 matches Full head-to-head

PreviaXI model

Corinthians45% Draw29% Botafogo26%

Model confidence: Medium

Expected goals (model)
1.38 – 0.97
Double chance
Home win or draw74%Either team wins 71% · Draw or away win 55%
Over 2.5 goals
44%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 21%
Both teams score
48%
Clean sheet
38% – 25%Corinthians–Botafogo
Half-time result
X · 45%1 33% · 2 22%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 27%X/X 19% · X/1 16%
Expected corners
9.65.9 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 53%
Expected cards
5.92.4 – 3.5 · Over 3.5: 74%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model leans towards Corinthians

  • Expected goals favour Corinthians: 1.38 – 0.97.

Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 55%, led by a draw at 29%.

Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty. Power ratings: Serie A →

Key trends

  • Botafogo have not won in their last 6 away matches.
  • Botafogo are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings with Corinthians.
  • Both teams scored in 6 of Corinthians’s last 8 matches.

Chance to score

Corinthians

  • Yuri Alberto8 goals in 37 games 23%
  • Gustavo Henrique9 goals in 50 games 20%
  • Andre6 goals in 41 games 16%

Botafogo

  • Danilo Santos13 goals in 46 games 18%
  • Arthur Cabral9 goals in 50 games 12%
  • Edenílson6 goals in 31 games 11%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Season stats

·CorinthiansBotafogo
·AllHomeAllAway
Won-drawn-lost9-10-156-4-711-9-144-3-10
Goals scored per game1.061.061.351.12
Goals conceded per game1.241.001.561.82
xG per game1.081.381.220.94
xG against per game1.120.931.351.67
Scored in76%71%76%71%
Clean sheets35%41%18%6%
Failed to score24%29%24%29%
Both teams scored56%41%65%65%
Over 1.5 goals71%65%79%82%
Over 2.5 goals44%35%62%59%
Over 3.5 goals21%12%29%18%
Shots per game13.615.314.112.4
Shots on target per game4.04.75.14.5
Shots on target29%31%36%36%
Possession54%57%48%49%
Passes per game447.2479.4390.3400.1
Pass accuracy84%85%80%80%
Corners per game5.25.54.74.0
Corners against per game4.73.75.55.8
Cards per game2.82.32.62.8
Fouls per game13.614.113.613.3

League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

Corinthians

  • 0-15 4 / 5
  • 16-30 5 / 5
  • 31-45 4 / 15
  • 46-60 10 / 3
  • 61-75 4 / 2
  • 76-90+ 11 / 10

Usual formation: 4-2-3-1

Botafogo

  • 0-15 8 / 10
  • 16-30 6 / 6
  • 31-45 8 / 8
  • 46-60 8 / 12
  • 61-75 5 / 4
  • 76-90+ 14 / 10

Usual formation: 4-2-3-1

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

Serie A table

#TeamP WDL GoalsGDPtsRecent form
1 Flamengo 34 2374 71:29 +42 76 WWWWW
2 Palmeiras 34 21103 62:23 +39 73 WDWWW
3 Cruzeiro 34 18610 55:48 +7 60 WWWWL
4 Fluminense 34 1699 55:42 +13 57 WWLLL
5 Atletico Paranaense 34 15910 51:43 +8 54 LLDLW
6 Bahia 34 14119 50:45 +5 53 LWDLW
7 Atletico-MG 35 14912 44:40 +4 51 DLLLW
8 RB Bragantino 34 13813 44:39 +5 47 WWLDW
9 Santos 34 121111 50:49 +1 47 LDDWL
10 Sao Paulo 34 12814 39:39 0 44 DLDWW
11 Vasco DA Gama 34 12814 45:50 -5 44 WWLWL
12 Botafogo 34 11914 46:53 -7 42 WLLWD
13 Coritiba 34 11914 40:51 -11 42 LWLLD
14 Mirassol 35 101114 39:48 -9 41 DWLDW
15 Vitoria 34 10816 35:51 -16 38 LLDDL
16 Internacional 34 91114 38:42 -4 38 WLWLD
17 Corinthians 34 91015 36:42 -6 37 DWLDL
18 Gremio 34 91015 38:47 -9 37 LWWLD
19 Remo 34 61117 37:57 -20 29 LWLDD
20 Chapecoense-sc 34 4921 33:70 -37 21 LLLWL

Table as of

Next matches

Corinthians

  • Thu 26 Nov Atletico-MG – CorinthiansSerie A
  • Mon 30 Nov Corinthians – GremioSerie A
  • Thu 3 Dec Remo – CorinthiansSerie A

Botafogo

  • Tue 24 Nov Botafogo – Sao PauloSerie A
  • Sun 29 Nov Botafogo – BahiaSerie A
  • Thu 3 Dec Santos – BotafogoSerie A

Head-to-head: last 10 meetings

Corinthians 4 wins · 2 draws · Botafogo 4 wins

  • 17/05/2026 Botafogo 3-1 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 30/11/2025 Corinthians 2-2 BotafogoSerie A
  • 26/07/2025 Botafogo 1-1 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 15/09/2024 Botafogo 2-1 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 02/06/2024 Corinthians 0-1 BotafogoSerie A
  • 22/09/2023 Corinthians 1-0 BotafogoSerie A
  • 11/05/2023 Botafogo 3-0 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 30/07/2022 Corinthians 1-0 BotafogoSerie A
  • 10/04/2022 Botafogo 1-3 CorinthiansSerie A
  • 27/12/2020 Botafogo 0-2 CorinthiansSerie A

Match facts

Last matches · Corinthians

  • D Thu 5 Nov A Sao Paulo 0-0
  • W Fri 30 Oct H Mirassol 2-0
  • L Sat 24 Oct A Vasco DA Gama 2-3
  • D Mon 19 Oct H Vitoria 1-1
  • L Sun 11 Oct A Palmeiras 1-4
  • L Wed 7 Oct A Internacional 1-2

Last matches · Botafogo

  • W Thu 5 Nov H Atletico-MG 1-0
  • L Thu 29 Oct A Remo 1-2
  • L Sat 24 Oct A Internacional 0-3
  • W Sat 17 Oct H Chapecoense-sc 1-0
  • D Mon 12 Oct A Coritiba 1-1
  • L Wed 7 Oct H Vasco DA Gama 1-2

Recent record

·CorinthiansBotafogo
Matches in sample1010
Scored1.00.9
Conceded1.81.3
Points per game0.501.20
Over 2.5 goals60%40%
Both teams score70%50%
Clean sheets20%30%
Failed to score20%30%

Home and away record

·Corinthians (H)Botafogo (A)
Matches in sample1010
Scored1.30.6
Conceded1.11.6
Points per game1.400.60
Over 2.5 goals50%40%
Both teams score50%50%
Clean sheets40%10%
Failed to score20%40%

Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

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Serie A table All model predictions