Serie A · Matchday 9 
AS Roma vs Cagliari: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Tuesday 27 October. The PreviaXI model gives AS Roma 65%, the draw 20% and Cagliari 15%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.94 – 0.78
- Double chance
- 1X · 85%12 80% · X2 35%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%Over 1.5: 75% · Over 3.5: 29%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Clean sheet
- 46% – 14%AS Roma–Cagliari
- Half-time result
- 1 · 47%X 39% · 2 14%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 42%X/1 20% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.56.8 – 2.7 · Over 9.5: 47%
- Expected cards
- 3.91.6 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 55%
- Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 2-012%
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 3-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards AS Roma
- Power ratings: AS Roma +0.62 goals per game (4th of 20 in Serie A), Cagliari -0.38 (17th).
- AS Roma's attack (1.66 goals per game) meets Cagliari's defence (1.43 conceded per game).
- Cagliari's attack (1.05) meets AS Roma's defence (1.04).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 15% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.94 – 0.78 goals: AS Roma 65%, draw 20%, Cagliari 15%.
Absences
AS Roma
- OutM. Bah · Jumpers Knee
Cagliari
- OutRiyad Idrissi · Jumpers Knee
Injury and suspension list from our data provider, updated every 6 hours. It can change before kick-off.
Chance to score
AS Roma
- D. Malen9 goals in 9 games43%
- N. Pisilli3 goals in 9 games16%
- M. Koné2 goals in 8 games12%
Cagliari
- D. Maldini4 goals in 9 games24%
- P. Mendy2 goals in 9 games13%
- A. Romano1 goals in 9 games7%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- 6 of Cagliari’s last 8 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- At least one side failed to score in 6 of Cagliari’s last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | AS Roma | Cagliari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-0 | 3-1-0 | 4-1-3 | 3-0-1 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.38 | 2.50 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 1.25 |
| xG per game | 2.15 | 2.26 | 1.07 | 1.37 |
| xG against per game | 1.24 | 1.09 | 1.81 | 1.68 |
| Scored in | 88% | 100% | 62% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 62% | 50% | 38% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 0% | 38% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 50% | 12% | 25% |
| Shots per game | 18.9 | 22.2 | 9.8 | 10.0 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.8 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 4.2 |
| Shots on target | 31% | 31% | 37% | 42% |
| Possession | 56% | 61% | 43% | 46% |
| Passes per game | 535.5 | 560.5 | 421.0 | 446.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 86% | 84% | 86% |
| Corners per game | 5.9 | 6.2 | 3.6 | 3.0 |
| Corners against per game | 2.5 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 6.0 |
| Cards per game | 2.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Fouls per game | 11.9 | 11.8 | 12.2 | 12.5 |
League matches this season (Serie A). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
AS Roma
- 0-152 / 0
- 16-303 / 0
- 31-452 / 0
- 46-603 / 2
- 61-752 / 0
- 76-90+4 / 1
Usual formation: 3-4-2-1
Cagliari
- 0-150 / 1
- 16-303 / 0
- 31-450 / 2
- 46-601 / 1
- 61-751 / 1
- 76-90+1 / 2
Usual formation: 4-2-3-1
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Serie A table
Next matches
AS Roma
- Sat 31 OctUdinese – AS RomaSerie A
- Tue 3 NovManchester United – AS RomaUEFA Champions League
- Sat 7 NovAS Roma – SassuoloSerie A
Cagliari
- Sun 1 NovLazio – CagliariSerie A
- Sat 7 NovCagliari – FrosinoneSerie A
- Sat 21 NovComo – CagliariSerie A
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
AS Roma 7 wins · 1 draws · Cagliari 2 wins
- 09/02/2026AS Roma2-0CagliariSerie A
- 07/12/2025Cagliari1-0AS RomaSerie A
- 16/03/2025AS Roma1-0CagliariSerie A
- 18/08/2024Cagliari0-0AS RomaSerie A
- 05/02/2024AS Roma4-0CagliariSerie A
- 08/10/2023Cagliari1-4AS RomaSerie A
- 16/01/2022AS Roma1-0CagliariSerie A
- 27/10/2021Cagliari1-2AS RomaSerie A
- 25/04/2021Cagliari3-2AS RomaSerie A
- 23/12/2020AS Roma3-2CagliariSerie A
Match facts
Last matches · AS Roma
- D Sat 24 Oct A Napoli 3-3
- W Tue 20 Oct H Slovan Bratislava 4-0
- W Sat 17 Oct H Genoa 2-0
- L Wed 14 Oct H Real Madrid 3-4
- D Sun 11 Oct A Como 0-0
- D Sat 19 Sept H Inter 2-2
Last matches · Cagliari
- L Sat 24 Oct H Bologna 0-2
- L Mon 19 Oct A Monza 0-4
- D Sun 11 Oct H Juventus 1-1
- W Sat 19 Sept A Udinese 1-0
- W Sat 12 Sept A Atalanta 2-1
- W Mon 7 Sept H Lecce 1-0
Last 10 matches
| · | AS Roma | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | AS Roma (H) | Cagliari (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.