Our pick Home win Missed
Macarthur and Brisbane Roar: one point separates close rivals
Sixth-placed Macarthur are one point and two places above Brisbane Roar, though they have played one more match. Both sides arrive after draws, setting up a close contest in Campbelltown.
📍 Campbelltown Sports Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 4 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Macarthur 1-2 Brisbane Roar.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 9–9; Shots on target: 6–4; Corners: 3–3.
Goals
- 48' S. James Ngor · G. Plusnin · Brisbane Roar
- 64' A. Stamatelopoulos · M. Toure · Macarthur
- 90+5' J. Vidic · J. Lauton · Brisbane Roar
Cards
- 34' M. Valkanis · Brisbane Roar
- 38' M. Stajic · Brisbane Roar
- 58' S. James Ngor · Brisbane Roar
- 81' N. Amanatidis · Brisbane Roar
- 87' M. Toure · Macarthur
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Justin Vidic (Brisbane Roar) 8.3
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Macarthur · 4-2-3-1
- 1Alex RobinsonG
- 25Callum TalbotD
- 3Nara TatsukiD
- 21Nathan PaullD
- 7Connor PainD
- 18Dylan RoseM
- 22Liam RoseM
- 8Luke VickeryM
- 24Dean BosnjakM
- 99Musa TouréM
- 16Apostolos StamatelopoulosF
Brisbane Roar · 3-5-2
- 40George PlusninG
- 77Milorad StajićD
- 5Tom AldredD
- 16Joel KingD
- 13Tate RussellM
- 10Tae Hee NamM
- 6Noah MaieroniM
- 8Tyrese FrancoisM
- 19Sabit James NgorM
- 9Virgiliu PostolachiF
- 17Justin VidicF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Macarthur | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Brisbane Roar | 1.5 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Macarthur | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | +1 | 4 |
Last meetings
- 2025 Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar
- 2025 Brisbane Roar 1-0 Macarthur
- 2025 Brisbane Roar 1-5 Macarthur
- 2024 Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar
- 2024 Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.26 – 1.03
- Double chance
- 1X · 71%12 69% · X2 60%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40%Over 1.5: 68% · Over 3.5: 20%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 36% – 28%Macarthur–Brisbane Roar
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 30% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 23%X/X 21% · 2/2 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.35.4 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 57%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.3 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 67%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A narrow gap in the table
Only one point separates Macarthur and Brisbane Roar in the A-League standings, with Macarthur two places higher in sixth and Brisbane Roar eighth. The difference comes with an important caveat: Macarthur have played three matches, one more than Brisbane Roar, who have four points from two games. Both have a goal difference of +1, making this an early opportunity for either side to strengthen its position among the league’s 12 teams.
Macarthur’s run of draws
Macarthur are unbeaten in three league matches, with a win followed by two consecutive draws. They have scored three goals and conceded two across that run, and their most recent match also ended level. At home, they have recorded a win and a draw in two games, scoring twice and conceding once.
Brisbane Roar have played twice, winning once and drawing once. They have scored three and conceded two, matching Macarthur’s total goals against despite having played one fewer game. Their latest league outing was a draw, so neither team comes into this fixture on the back of a defeat.
Macarthur have the recent edge
Macarthur have won three of the last five meetings, while Brisbane Roar have won once and the other match was drawn. The most recent encounter, in December 2025, finished 2-1 to Macarthur. The series has also included a 4-4 draw and a 5-1 Macarthur win, although only one of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer.
A chance to extend an unbeaten start
Macarthur have kept one clean sheet in three league matches, including one in their two home games. Brisbane Roar have yet to keep a clean sheet across their two fixtures. With both teams having conceded twice, Macarthur’s home defensive record offers a small point of difference in a matchup between sides whose league goal difference is identical.
Our prediction
Macarthur’s unbeaten start, home record and recent advantage in this fixture give them a narrow edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours the hosts, with the expectation of a tight match and limited scoring.
Macarthur 1-0 Brisbane Roar

