A-League · Matchday 4
Macarthur
1–2 Full time
Brisbane Roar

Our pick Home win Missed

Macarthur and Brisbane Roar: one point separates close rivals

Sixth-placed Macarthur are one point and two places above Brisbane Roar, though they have played one more match. Both sides arrive after draws, setting up a close contest in Campbelltown.

📍 Campbelltown Sports Stadium

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Macarthur 1-2 Brisbane Roar.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 9–9; Shots on target: 6–4; Corners: 3–3.

Goals

  • 48' S. James Ngor · G. Plusnin · Brisbane Roar
  • 64' A. Stamatelopoulos · M. Toure · Macarthur
  • 90+5' J. Vidic · J. Lauton · Brisbane Roar

Cards

  • 34' M. Valkanis · Brisbane Roar
  • 38' M. Stajic · Brisbane Roar
  • 58' S. James Ngor · Brisbane Roar
  • 81' N. Amanatidis · Brisbane Roar
  • 87' M. Toure · Macarthur

Match stats

MacarthurBrisbane Roar
52%Possession48%
9Shots9
6Shots on target4
3Corners3
13Fouls15
3Offsides7
2Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: Justin Vidic (Brisbane Roar) 8.3

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Macarthur · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1Alex RobinsonG
  2. 25Callum TalbotD
  3. 3Nara TatsukiD
  4. 21Nathan PaullD
  5. 7Connor PainD
  6. 18Dylan RoseM
  7. 22Liam RoseM
  8. 8Luke VickeryM
  9. 24Dean BosnjakM
  10. 99Musa TouréM
  11. 16Apostolos StamatelopoulosF

Brisbane Roar · 3-5-2

  1. 40George PlusninG
  2. 77Milorad StajićD
  3. 5Tom AldredD
  4. 16Joel KingD
  5. 13Tate RussellM
  6. 10Tae Hee NamM
  7. 6Noah MaieroniM
  8. 8Tyrese FrancoisM
  9. 19Sabit James NgorM
  10. 9Virgiliu PostolachiF
  11. 17Justin VidicF

Match facts

Recent form

Macarthur WDD
Brisbane Roar WD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Macarthur1.00.7
Brisbane Roar1.51.0

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
6Macarthur3 +15
8Brisbane Roar2 +14

Last meetings

  • 2025 Macarthur 2-1 Brisbane Roar
  • 2025 Brisbane Roar 1-0 Macarthur
  • 2025 Brisbane Roar 1-5 Macarthur
  • 2024 Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar
  • 2024 Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur

PreviaXI model

Macarthur40% Draw31% Brisbane Roar29%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.26 – 1.03
Double chance
1X · 71%12 69% · X2 60%
Over 2.5 goals
40%Over 1.5: 68% · Over 3.5: 20%
Both teams score
48%
Clean sheet
36% – 28%Macarthur–Brisbane Roar
Half-time result
X · 47%1 30% · 2 23%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 23%X/X 21% · 2/2 16%
Expected corners
10.35.4 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 57%
Expected cards
4.62.3 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 67%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A narrow gap in the table

Only one point separates Macarthur and Brisbane Roar in the A-League standings, with Macarthur two places higher in sixth and Brisbane Roar eighth. The difference comes with an important caveat: Macarthur have played three matches, one more than Brisbane Roar, who have four points from two games. Both have a goal difference of +1, making this an early opportunity for either side to strengthen its position among the league’s 12 teams.

Macarthur’s run of draws

Macarthur are unbeaten in three league matches, with a win followed by two consecutive draws. They have scored three goals and conceded two across that run, and their most recent match also ended level. At home, they have recorded a win and a draw in two games, scoring twice and conceding once.

Brisbane Roar have played twice, winning once and drawing once. They have scored three and conceded two, matching Macarthur’s total goals against despite having played one fewer game. Their latest league outing was a draw, so neither team comes into this fixture on the back of a defeat.

Macarthur have the recent edge

Macarthur have won three of the last five meetings, while Brisbane Roar have won once and the other match was drawn. The most recent encounter, in December 2025, finished 2-1 to Macarthur. The series has also included a 4-4 draw and a 5-1 Macarthur win, although only one of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer.

A chance to extend an unbeaten start

Macarthur have kept one clean sheet in three league matches, including one in their two home games. Brisbane Roar have yet to keep a clean sheet across their two fixtures. With both teams having conceded twice, Macarthur’s home defensive record offers a small point of difference in a matchup between sides whose league goal difference is identical.

Our prediction

Macarthur’s unbeaten start, home record and recent advantage in this fixture give them a narrow edge. PreviaXI’s model also favours the hosts, with the expectation of a tight match and limited scoring.
Macarthur 1-0 Brisbane Roar

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