Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 4 
Liberia seek their first group points against Cape Verde
Liberia have lost three Group K matches. A win would draw them level with Cape Verde, who won the latest meeting 4-2.
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A three-point gap
Liberia are fourth in Group K with no points after three matches, while Cape Verde are third with three. A Liberia win would bring the teams level on points. A draw would keep the gap at three; a Cape Verde win would widen it to six.
Goals at both ends
In their three group matches, Liberia have scored three goals and conceded eight. Cape Verde have scored six and conceded seven. Liberia lost their home fixture in this competition 1-0; Cape Verde lost their away fixture in this competition 3-1. Those results offer each side a reason to seek an improvement.
Three recent meetings
Cape Verde won 4-2 on 13 November. They also won the two World Cup qualifying meetings in 2021, so all three games in the current head-to-head sample ended in Cape Verde victories.
Our prediction
Cape Verde’s scoring and latest win give them the edge, but both sides have conceded freely. A Liberia response or a draw remains plausible.
View model probabilities in the fixture table
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Recent form
Liberia
- L A Cape Verde Islands 2-4
- L H Mali 0-1
- L A Rwanda 1-3
Cape Verde Islands
- W H Liberia 4-2
- L H Rwanda 1-2
- L A Mali 1-3
Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Liberia | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Cape Verde Islands | 2.0 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Liberia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Cape Verde Islands 4-2 Liberia
- 2021 Cape Verde Islands 1-0 Liberia
- 2021 Liberia 1-2 Cape Verde Islands
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