Botswana seek a first group win after holding Uganda
Botswana have drawn all three Group H matches. A win would take them above Uganda, who are already qualified as co-hosts.
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Three draws and a two-point gap
Botswana drew 1-1 away to Uganda on 14 November, their third successive draw in Group H. Uganda lead with five points, while Botswana are third with three after three matches. A Botswana win would put them one point above Uganda, on six points to five.
Uganda have already qualified as co-hosts. Botswana, Libya and Tunisia are contesting the group’s other place at the finals.
A more recent meeting than the World Cup qualifiers
The November draw follows Uganda’s two 1-0 wins in World Cup qualifying, in June 2024 and October 2025. Across those three meetings, Uganda have two wins and there is one draw; each game had two goals or fewer.
Our prediction
Uganda’s higher group position and the two earlier wins give them a cautious edge. Botswana’s latest draw shows they can make this competitive, so another draw remains plausible.
View model probabilities in the fixture table
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Recent form
Botswana
- D A Uganda 1-1
- D A Tunisia 2-2
- D A Libya 2-2
Uganda
- D H Botswana 1-1
- W H Libya 1-0
- D A Tunisia 1-1
Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uganda | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 3 | Botswana | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Uganda 1-1 Botswana
- 2025 Botswana 0-1 Uganda
- 2024 Uganda 1-0 Botswana
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