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UEFA Europa Conference League – League phase, matchday 2: predictions & previews

All 18 matches of UEFA Europa Conference League League phase, matchday 2 (22 October 2026): the PreviaXI model's win, draw and loss probabilities for every game, the key numbers of the round, results as they come in, and links to each preview.

Europe

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Key numbers

  • Biggest favourite: Twente (67% to win against Lincoln Red Imps FC).
  • Closest on paper: FC Thun – HNK Hajduk Split (37% vs 39%, draw 24%).
  • Most goals expected: FC Thun – HNK Hajduk Split (3.4 expected goals); fewest: Getafe – FC Lugano (1.9).
  • Both teams to score is more likely than not in 12 of 18 matches.
  • The model expects about 50 goals in these 18 matches (2.79 per match).

All matches

Finished matches (90 min): 18 · most likely result correct: 11 (61%) · over/under 2.5 correct: 8 (44%) · both teams to score correct: 8 (44%)

Thursday 22 October

·Match 1X2DC O 2.5BTTS CornersCardsResult·
Kairat Almaty Panathinaikos 17% 28% 55% X2 83% 36% 38% 10.04.5–5.5 4.62.0–2.6 1-5✅ Preview
FK Crvena Zvezda FC Copenhagen 55% 22% 23% 12 78% 65% 63% 9.86.1–3.7 4.02.0–2.0 2-2❌ Preview
Getafe FC Lugano 23% 33% 44% X2 77% 29% 36% 8.14.1–4.0 4.72.4–2.3 2-5✅ Preview
FC Iberia 1999 Mjallby AIF 18% 26% 56% X2 82% 45% 47% 8.75.7–3.0 3.91.8–2.1 1-1❌ Preview
Inter Club d'Escaldes Universitatea Craiova 16% 23% 61% X2 84% 52% 50% 9.46.0–3.4 4.82.1–2.7 1-3✅ Preview
FK Jablonec Brighton 18% 23% 59% X2 82% 54% 53% 9.44.1–5.3 3.91.7–2.2 0-0❌ Preview
Kauno Žalgiris Brann 19% 24% 57% X2 81% 53% 53% 10.74.6–6.1 3.81.9–1.9 1-4✅ Preview
FC Nordsjaelland CSKA Sofia 48% 27% 25% 1X 75% 48% 52% 8.85.5–3.3 4.71.5–3.2 2-2❌ Preview
Pafos Riga 62% 22% 16% 1X 84% 56% 53% 9.73.9–5.8 4.82.2–2.6 1-1❌ Preview
Trabzonspor Heart Of Midlothian 50% 24% 26% 12 76% 61% 62% 10.65.3–5.3 4.82.2–2.6 2-0✅ Preview
Aarhus Egnatia Rrogozhinë 58% 22% 20% 1X 80% 61% 59% 10.14.7–5.4 3.81.8–2.0 1-1❌ Preview
Ajax Atalanta 46% 24% 30% 12 76% 62% 64% 9.55.4–4.1 3.11.4–1.7 2-0✅ Preview
Borac Banja Luka KuPS 51% 28% 21% 1X 79% 42% 46% 9.44.4–5.0 4.12.1–2.0 2-0✅ Preview
SC Braga Gent 49% 29% 22% 1X 78% 39% 43% 8.25.4–2.8 4.01.7–2.3 2-0✅ Preview
Lincoln Red Imps FC Twente 12% 21% 67% X2 88% 54% 48% 10.73.4–7.3 4.32.3–2.0 1-4✅ Preview
FC Midtjylland St. Truiden 57% 23% 20% 1X 80% 60% 58% 8.24.4–3.8 3.61.7–1.9 0-1❌ Preview
Monaco SC Freiburg 47% 24% 29% 12 76% 61% 63% 8.54.6–3.9 3.92.2–1.7 3-0✅ Preview
FC Thun HNK Hajduk Split 37% 24% 39% 12 76% 65% 67% 8.74.5–4.2 4.21.8–2.4 0-1✅ Preview

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