Our pick1–0Missed
Rizespor under pressure as Kocaelispor seek home response
Rizespor arrive after three consecutive league defeats, with defensive struggles deepening the pressure. Kocaelispor’s strong home record gives them reason to believe they can take advantage.
📍 Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu
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Match report
Kocaelispor and Rizespor shared a goalless draw, with neither side able to find a breakthrough. The match finished 0-0, so there were no goals, assists or red cards to report.
The numbers were closely matched for shots on target, with four apiece, while Rizespor had more total attempts, 17 to 14. Rizespor also led the expected-goals tally, 1.25 to 0.59; Kocaelispor had more corners, seven to four. Rizespor goalkeeper Zafer Görgen was the top-rated player, with a 7.9 rating. The draw differed from the pre-match model’s 1-0 prediction for Kocaelispor, which gave the home side a 41% win chance, a draw 32% and Rizespor a 27% chance.
Cards
- 16'M. Susoho · Kocaelispor
- 30'U. Yildiz · Kocaelispor
- 44'G. Borrelli · Rizespor
- 70'M. Sagnan · Rizespor
- 80'Show · Kocaelispor
- 89'V. Mihaila · Rizespor
- 90+4'E. Ortakaya · Kocaelispor
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Zafer Görgen (Rizespor) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Kocaelispor · 4-3-3
- 83Serhat ÖztaşdelenG
- 22Uğur Kaan YıldızD
- 2Anfernee Jamal DijksteelD
- 5Emir OrtakayaD
- 99Rigoberto RivasD
- 10Berkan KutluM
- 14ShowM
- 20Mahamadou SusohoM
- 11Gonçalo SousaF
- 97Florian AyéF
- 32Makana BakuF
Rizespor · 4-1-4-1
- 30Zafer GörgenG
- 54Mithat PalaD
- 21Siaka BakayokoD
- 93Modibo SagnanD
- 17Zakaria ArissD
- 6Moussa DiakitéM
- 11Adedire MebudeM
- 10Ibrahim OlawoyinM
- 20Qazim LaciM
- 99Emrecan BulutM
- 29Gennaro BorrelliF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Rizespor | 1.2 | 1.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 9 | +2 | 15 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 9 | -4 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026Rizespor2-0Kocaelispor
- 2025Kocaelispor1-1Rizespor
- 2021Rizespor2-3Kocaelispor
Absences
Kocaelispor
- OutM. Haidara · Muscle Injury
- OutA. Jovanovic · Coach's decision
- OutB. Petkovic · Hamstring Injury
- OutT. Zoukrou · Muscle Injury
Rizespor
- OutK. Alikulov · Knee Injury
- OutA. Kutucu · Inactive
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.20 – 0.93
- Double chance
- 1X · 73%12 68% · X2 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 36%Over 1.5: 64% · Over 3.5: 17%
- Both teams score
- 44%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 30%Kocaelispor–Rizespor
- Half-time result
- X · 48%1 30% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%X/X 22% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.24.4 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 31%
- Expected cards
- 3.91.7 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 52%
- Most likely scores
- 1-115%
- 0-013%
- 1-013%
- 0-110%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Pressure mounting on Rizespor
Rizespor travel to Kocaelispor on Saturday under pressure after losing their last three league matches. Those defeats have left them 13th in the Süper Lig with 10 points from nine games, while Kocaelispor sit seventh on 15 points. The gap is not yet large, but the hosts have a clear opportunity to widen it and add to Rizespor’s difficult run.
Kocaelispor have won three of their four home league games this season, conceding only twice at home. Rizespor, meanwhile, have lost all four of their home matches, though their away record is much stronger: three wins and one defeat from five trips.
Recent form points to a tight test
Kocaelispor’s last five matches have brought two wins and three defeats, with six goals scored and six conceded. Their overall league form has been uneven, but their home results provide a firmer foundation.
Rizespor have scored eight times across their last five games, yet conceded 11. Their latest sequence of league results—three losses after a draw—makes defensive improvement a priority. They have scored 11 goals in nine league matches, the same total as Kocaelispor, but have allowed 15 compared with their opponents’ nine.
Recent meetings offer little separation
The latest league meeting ended in a 2-0 Rizespor win in February 2026. The previous league match between these sides, played at Kocaelispor’s ground in September 2025, finished 1-1. Those results offer no decisive edge, though the most recent one gives Rizespor a reminder of what they can produce against this opponent.
Absences on both sides
Kocaelispor will be without M. Haidara and T. Zoukrou with muscle injuries, while B. Petkovic is sidelined by a hamstring injury. A. Jovanovic is also listed as missing by coach’s decision.
Rizespor are without K. Alikulov, who has a knee injury, and A. Kutucu, who is inactive.
Home resilience could prove decisive
Kocaelispor have kept three clean sheets this season, all at home, and have conceded just twice in four league matches on their own ground. That defensive record contrasts with Rizespor’s recent 11 goals conceded in five games.
The visitors can still pose a threat: they have scored eight times in that recent spell and have won three of five away league matches. But Kocaelispor’s home strength and Rizespor’s current defensive vulnerability make the hosts better placed to control the contest.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Kocaelispor, with the hosts’ home defensive record offering a strong basis for a narrow win. Rizespor’s away results suggest they can make the match competitive, but their recent run points to another difficult afternoon.
Kocaelispor 1-0 Rizespor

