1–3 Full time Saturday 31 October

Our pick0–1Correct result

Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK: a narrow gap, a big opportunity

Separated by one point after nine matches, Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK meet with the chance to gain a crucial edge in a tightly packed Süper Lig table.

Preview written: Fri 30 Oct 02:05

All Matchday 10 matches Full head-to-head

Match report

Çorum FK beat Erzurumspor FK 3-1. C. Soyuncu opened the scoring in the 20th minute, assisted by C. Under, and J. Ramirez extended the visitors’ lead in the 71st minute. Erzurumspor FK responded three minutes later through I. Diabate, set up by G. Kerk. Ramirez then scored a penalty in the 78th minute to complete the scoring. There were no red cards.

Erzurumspor FK had more possession, 52% to 48%, and led 13-7 in total shots, while both teams recorded three shots on target. Çorum FK had the higher expected-goals figure, 1.18 to 0.73, despite taking fewer shots. Çağlar Söyüncü of Çorum FK was the top-rated player, with 8.2. The result was more decisive than the pre-match model’s 0-1 prediction, which gave Çorum FK a 36% chance of winning, Erzurumspor FK 34%, and a draw 30%.

Goals

20'C. Soyuncu · C. Under · Çorum FK
71'J. Ramirez · Çorum FK
74'I. Diabate · G. Kerk · Erzurumspor FK
78'J. Ramirez (pen.) · Çorum FK

Cards

28'E. Tozlu · Erzurumspor FK
34'G. Sazdagi · Çorum FK
65'G. Giorbelidze · Erzurumspor FK

Match stats

Erzurumspor FKÇorum FK

52%Possession48%

13Shots7

3Shots on target3

0.73Expected goals (xG)1.18

8Corners0

17Fouls15

2Offsides0

0Saves2

⭐ Top-rated player: Çağlar Söyüncü (Çorum FK) 8.2

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Erzurumspor FK · 5-3-2

1Ertuğrul TaşkıranG
53Orhan OvacıklıD
4Amar GerxhaliuD
3Yakup KırtayD
18Nihad MujakićD
15Guram GiorbelidzeD
6Brandon BaiyeM
42Elisha OwusuM
65Martín RodríguezM
20Miguel CardosoF
10Eren TozluF

Çorum FK · 4-2-3-1

1Marcos FelipeG
11Gökhan SazdağıD
2Çağlar SöyüncüD
6Hrvoje SmolčićD
24Andrei BorzaD
20Ylber RamadaniM
26Ermin MahmićM
7Cengiz ÜnderM
10Mohammed DiomandeM
89Alexandros KyziridisM
19Jesús RamírezF

Match facts

Recent form

Erzurumspor FKLWDWW

Çorum FKWLWWL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Erzurumspor FK	0.9	1.3
Çorum FK	2.0	1.7

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
8	Erzurumspor FK	9	-4	14
9	Çorum FK	9	+3	13

Last meetings

2026Çorum FK1-1Erzurumspor FK
2025Erzurumspor FK1-0Çorum FK
2025Erzurumspor FK1-1Çorum FK
2024Çorum FK0-1Erzurumspor FK
2024Erzurumspor FK2-1Çorum FK

Absences

Erzurumspor FK

DoubtfulM. Yumlu · Injury

Çorum FK

OutE. Gurluk · Injury
OutS. Saatci · Inactive
DoubtfulC. Soyuncu · Injury

PreviaXI model

Erzurumspor FK34%Draw30%Çorum FK36%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score: 0-1
Expected goals (model): 1.19 – 1.22
Double chance: 12 · 70%1X 64% · X2 66%
Over 2.5 goals: 43%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 22%
Both teams score: 50%
Clean sheet: 29% – 30%Erzurumspor FK–Çorum FK
Half-time result: X · 45%1 27% · 2 28%
Half-time / full-time: 2/2 · 21%1/1 20% · X/X 19%
Expected corners: 7.94.2 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 28%
Expected cards: 3.61.3 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 47%
Most likely scores: 1-114%
0-010%
0-110%
1-09%
1-28%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

One point, one opening

Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK are separated by a single point in the Süper Lig, making this a chance for either side to create breathing room over a close rival. Erzurumspor sit eighth on 14 points, with Çorum ninth on 13; both have played nine matches. The hosts have the slightly better goal difference, but Çorum arrive with a stronger scoring record.

That contrast frames a meeting where a small advantage could matter. Erzurumspor have conceded four fewer goals overall, while Çorum have scored ten more. With neither team able to pull clear in the table yet, the details at both ends may decide who leaves with the upper hand.

Recent form, different strengths

Erzurumspor have won three of their last five matches, scoring six goals and conceding four. Their home record is encouraging: three wins from four league games, with four goals scored and four conceded.

Çorum have also taken three wins from their last five, but their recent games have been more productive in attack: 11 goals scored and six conceded. They have scored 18 in nine league matches, including 12 away from home. That away threat comes with a risk, however: they have also conceded 11 on the road.

A recent edge for Erzurumspor

The latest five meetings have all come in the 1. Lig. Erzurumspor are unbeaten across them, with three wins and two draws. Their most recent home meeting ended 1-0, while the latest encounter, in May, finished 1-1 at Çorum.

That record offers the hosts some encouragement, though the current league campaign presents a fresh test: Çorum’s attack has been more prolific so far.

Fitness questions on both sides

M. Yumlu is listed as questionable for Erzurumspor because of injury. Çorum have E. Gurluk unavailable through injury and S. Saatci missing through inactivity, while C. Soyuncu is also questionable with an injury.

Çorum’s scoring threat

Çorum’s 18 goals in nine matches make their forward output a clear feature of the contest, especially with 12 of those goals coming away from home. Erzurumspor’s defensive record is the counterweight: they have conceded 12 overall, compared with Çorum’s 15, and have kept three clean sheets at home.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model gives the contest only a narrow lean toward the visitors. Çorum’s stronger scoring output, particularly on the road, gives them a route to a close win, although Erzurumspor’s home record points to a tight match.

Erzurumspor FK 0-1 Çorum FK

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