Premiership · Matchday 13 
Our pick Home win Missed
Hearts and Falkirk meet with the top four in view
Third-placed Hearts are two points ahead of fourth-placed Falkirk, with one more match played. Hearts’ strong home record meets a Falkirk side riding a four-game winning run.
📍 Tynecastle Park
Preview written:
All Matchday 13 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Heart Of Midlothian 2-5 Falkirk.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 16–14; Shots on target: 6–7; Corners: 4–5; Expected goals: 1.93–2.56.
Goals
- 4' Finley Frank Barbrook · Falkirk
- 17' Owen Eames · Brad Spencer · Falkirk
- 33' Jacob Murrell · Deniss Meļņiks · Falkirk
- 45+2' Liam Henderson · Falkirk
- 47' Jacob Murrell · Ethan Ross · Falkirk
- 50' Severin Sabri Guendouz · Josh Mcpake · Heart Of Midlothian
- 75' Claudio Rafael Soares Braga (pen.) · Heart Of Midlothian
Cards
- 64' Finley Frank Barbrook · Falkirk
- 65' Owen Eames · Falkirk
- 68' Jacob Murrell · Falkirk
- 78' Calvin Fodrey · Falkirk
- 79' Leart Kabashi · Heart Of Midlothian
- 79' Deniss Meļņiks · Falkirk
- 90+1' Ben Parkinson · Falkirk
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: J. Murrell (Falkirk) 8.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Heart Of Midlothian · 4-2-3-1
- 1B. ReusG
- 23J. AltenaD
- 64M. Fagan-WalcottD
- 17S. FindlayD
- 5J. McCartD
- 31Y. DhandaM
- 78L. MendyM
- 29S. KerjotaM
- 10Cláudio BragaM
- 15J. McPakeM
- 11P. KaboreF
Coach: W. Vrancken
Falkirk · 4-2-3-1
- 19S. BainG
- 4J. McMillanD
- 15L. NeilsonD
- 5L. HendersonD
- 17S. TanserD
- 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
- 8B. SpencerM
- 23E. RossM
- 21D. MeļņiksM
- 42Owen EamesM
- 24J. MurrellF
Coach: J. McGlynn
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Heart Of Midlothian | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Falkirk | 1.3 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 4 | Falkirk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Falkirk 2-1 Heart Of Midlothian
- 2026 Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk
- 2026 Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Falkirk
- 2026 Heart Of Midlothian 1-1 Falkirk
- 2025 Falkirk 0-2 Heart Of Midlothian
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.90 – 0.92
- Double chance
- 1X · 83%12 77% · X2 40%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 40% – 15%Heart Of Midlothian–Falkirk
- Half-time result
- 1 · 44%X 39% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 38%X/1 19% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.16.4 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 55%
- Expected cards
- 4.81.9 – 2.9 · Over 3.5: 69%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Two points between the top-four rivals
Heart Of Midlothian sit third in the Premiership with 20 points from 11 matches, while Falkirk are fourth on 18 points after 12. The two-point gap gives both sides a chance to strengthen their position among the top four: a Hearts win would widen it, while Falkirk could close it by taking all three points.
Hearts have won four and drawn once in five league matches at Tynecastle Park, scoring 15 goals and conceding four. Falkirk’s away record is more measured, with two wins, three draws and one defeat in six league games on the road.
Falkirk arrive in winning form
Hearts have taken two wins, two draws and a defeat from their last five league matches, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their most recent league outing ended in a draw.
Falkirk, by contrast, have won four in a row. They have four victories and one defeat across their last five league matches, with nine goals scored and only three conceded. That defensive run will test a Hearts attack that has scored 15 times in five home league games.
Recent meetings favour Hearts
Hearts have won three of the last five meetings, with Falkirk winning once and one match drawn. Three of those five encounters featured two goals or fewer. The latest meeting, in September, went Falkirk’s way: a 2-1 Premiership victory.
Home strength against a rising challenge
The contrast is clear: Hearts have been particularly productive at Tynecastle, while Falkirk come into the match with momentum and have conceded just three goals in their last five league games. Hearts’ overall home defensive record is also strong, with four goals conceded in five matches.
Our prediction
The model favours Hearts, whose home scoring record and advantage at Tynecastle give them the edge, though Falkirk’s four straight wins point to a close contest. A narrow home victory looks the likeliest outcome.
Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Falkirk
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