Premiership · Matchday 12
Falkirk
2–0 Full time
Celtic

Our pick0–1Missed

Celtic’s unbeaten Falkirk run faces another test

Celtic have won all five of their most recent meetings with Falkirk, including a 2-1 victory in August. The league leaders travel to Falkirk Stadium looking to extend that run.

📍 Falkirk Stadium

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Match report

Falkirk beat Celtic 2-0, taking an early lead through Ethan Ross in the third minute. Scott Tanser added a second in the 38th minute, assisted by Owen Eames, and Falkirk held on to secure the win. There were no red cards.

The statistics showed a stark contrast with the scoreline: Celtic had 70% possession and 24 shots to Falkirk’s six, while registering nine shots on target to the home side’s two. Celtic’s xG was 2.83, compared with Falkirk’s 1.06. Falkirk goalkeeper S. Bain was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.4. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 0-1 prediction, which gave Celtic a 55% chance of winning, Falkirk 21% and a draw 24%.

Goals

  • 3'Ethan Ross · Falkirk
  • 38'Scott Tanser · Owen Eames · Falkirk

Cards

  • 35'Owen Eames · Falkirk
  • 35'Haissem Hassan · Celtic
  • 62'James Forrest · Celtic
  • 68'Liam Scales · Celtic

Match stats

FalkirkCeltic
30%Possession70%
6Shots24
2Shots on target9
1.06Expected goals (xG)2.83
0Corners14
19Fouls11
2Offsides3
9Saves0

⭐ Top-rated player: S. Bain (Falkirk) 9.4

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Falkirk · 4-2-3-1

  1. 19S. BainG
  2. 22R. StrainD
  3. 15L. NeilsonD
  4. 5L. HendersonD
  5. 17S. TanserD
  6. 21D. MeļņiksM
  7. 8B. SpencerM
  8. 23E. RossM
  9. 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
  10. 42Owen EamesM
  11. 24J. MurrellF

Coach: J. McGlynn

Celtic · 4-2-3-1

  1. 26S. JohnstoneG
  2. 51Colby DonovanD
  3. 20C. Carter-VickersD
  4. 5L. ScalesD
  5. 63K. TierneyD
  6. 42C. McGregorM
  7. 22M. BaurM
  8. 11C. DuránM
  9. 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
  10. 19C. OsmandM
  11. 23H. HassanF

Coach: M. O'Neill

Match facts

Recent form

FalkirkDLWWW
CelticLWWWD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Falkirk1.21.1
Celtic2.50.7

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
1Celtic11+1928
6Falkirk11+115

Last meetings

  • 2026Celtic2-1Falkirk
  • 2026Celtic3-1Falkirk
  • 2026Celtic2-0Falkirk
  • 2026Falkirk0-1Celtic
  • 2025Celtic4-0Falkirk

PreviaXI model

Falkirk21%Draw24%Celtic55%

Model confidence: Medium

Predicted score
0-1
Expected goals (model)
1.04 – 1.80
Double chance
X2 · 79%1X 45% · 12 76%
Over 2.5 goals
54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 32%
Both teams score
54%
Clean sheet
17% – 35%Falkirk–Celtic
Half-time result
X · 40%1 20% · 2 40%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 34%X/2 17% · X/X 14%
Expected corners
10.84.3 – 6.5 · Over 9.5: 64%
Expected cards
4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-111%
  2. 0-110%
  3. 1-210%
  4. 0-29%
  5. 0-06%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Celtic’s lead at stake

Celtic have won all five of their most recent meetings with Falkirk, a record that sets the tone for Sunday’s Premiership clash at Falkirk Stadium. Their latest meeting, on August 29, ended 2-1 to Celtic.

The visitors arrive top of the 12-team league with 28 points from 11 matches, while Falkirk sit sixth on 15. Celtic’s advantage is substantial, but Falkirk will take confidence from a strong recent spell as they look to make this encounter more competitive than the recent head-to-head record suggests.

Both sides arrive in form

Falkirk have won three and drawn one of their last five league matches, and have scored eight goals while conceding four across that span. Their season record stands at four wins, three draws and four defeats, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded.

Celtic have also taken four wins and a draw from their last five. They have been more prolific, scoring 13 times in that period, and have nine wins from 11 league games overall. Their 27 goals scored and eight conceded underline the balance behind their position at the top.

Five straight Celtic wins

Celtic’s recent dominance stretches across all five listed meetings, each played in the Premiership. They won 3-1 and 2-0 at home last season, and also claimed a 1-0 away victory at Falkirk in January. A 4-0 win in October 2025 and August’s 2-1 result complete the sequence.

That history gives Celtic a clear psychological edge, although Falkirk have improved their results in recent weeks and will be playing on home ground.

No listed absences

No absences are listed for either side, leaving the focus on the form and quality already visible in their league campaigns.

Celtic’s attacking threat

Celtic’s scoring record is the standout difference: they average 2.5 goals per league match, compared with Falkirk’s 1.2. The visitors have also conceded just eight times in 11 games, while Falkirk have let in 12.

Falkirk’s recent defensive numbers are encouraging, with only four goals conceded across their last five matches. That resilience will be important if they are to disrupt Celtic’s attacking rhythm and challenge the visitors’ established advantage in this fixture.

Our prediction

Celtic’s stronger season-long scoring record, defensive return and five-match winning run against Falkirk point towards another narrow away success. Falkirk’s recent form suggests they can make it difficult, but Celtic’s ability to create and convert more chances gives them the edge.

Falkirk 0-1 Celtic

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