Our pick0–1Missed
Celtic’s unbeaten Falkirk run faces another test
Celtic have won all five of their most recent meetings with Falkirk, including a 2-1 victory in August. The league leaders travel to Falkirk Stadium looking to extend that run.
📍 Falkirk Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 12 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Falkirk beat Celtic 2-0, taking an early lead through Ethan Ross in the third minute. Scott Tanser added a second in the 38th minute, assisted by Owen Eames, and Falkirk held on to secure the win. There were no red cards.
The statistics showed a stark contrast with the scoreline: Celtic had 70% possession and 24 shots to Falkirk’s six, while registering nine shots on target to the home side’s two. Celtic’s xG was 2.83, compared with Falkirk’s 1.06. Falkirk goalkeeper S. Bain was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.4. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 0-1 prediction, which gave Celtic a 55% chance of winning, Falkirk 21% and a draw 24%.
Goals
- 3'Ethan Ross · Falkirk
- 38'Scott Tanser · Owen Eames · Falkirk
Cards
- 35'Owen Eames · Falkirk
- 35'Haissem Hassan · Celtic
- 62'James Forrest · Celtic
- 68'Liam Scales · Celtic
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: S. Bain (Falkirk) 9.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Falkirk · 4-2-3-1
- 19S. BainG
- 22R. StrainD
- 15L. NeilsonD
- 5L. HendersonD
- 17S. TanserD
- 21D. MeļņiksM
- 8B. SpencerM
- 23E. RossM
- 16Finley Frank BarbrookM
- 42Owen EamesM
- 24J. MurrellF
Coach: J. McGlynn
Celtic · 4-2-3-1
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 51Colby DonovanD
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 5L. ScalesD
- 63K. TierneyD
- 42C. McGregorM
- 22M. BaurM
- 11C. DuránM
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 19C. OsmandM
- 23H. HassanF
Coach: M. O'Neill
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Falkirk | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Celtic | 2.5 | 0.7 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 11 | +19 | 28 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 11 | +1 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026Celtic2-1Falkirk
- 2026Celtic3-1Falkirk
- 2026Celtic2-0Falkirk
- 2026Falkirk0-1Celtic
- 2025Celtic4-0Falkirk
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.04 – 1.80
- Double chance
- X2 · 79%1X 45% · 12 76%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Clean sheet
- 17% – 35%Falkirk–Celtic
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 20% · 2 40%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 34%X/2 17% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.84.3 – 6.5 · Over 9.5: 64%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 58%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 0-110%
- 1-210%
- 0-29%
- 0-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Celtic’s lead at stake
Celtic have won all five of their most recent meetings with Falkirk, a record that sets the tone for Sunday’s Premiership clash at Falkirk Stadium. Their latest meeting, on August 29, ended 2-1 to Celtic.
The visitors arrive top of the 12-team league with 28 points from 11 matches, while Falkirk sit sixth on 15. Celtic’s advantage is substantial, but Falkirk will take confidence from a strong recent spell as they look to make this encounter more competitive than the recent head-to-head record suggests.
Both sides arrive in form
Falkirk have won three and drawn one of their last five league matches, and have scored eight goals while conceding four across that span. Their season record stands at four wins, three draws and four defeats, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded.
Celtic have also taken four wins and a draw from their last five. They have been more prolific, scoring 13 times in that period, and have nine wins from 11 league games overall. Their 27 goals scored and eight conceded underline the balance behind their position at the top.
Five straight Celtic wins
Celtic’s recent dominance stretches across all five listed meetings, each played in the Premiership. They won 3-1 and 2-0 at home last season, and also claimed a 1-0 away victory at Falkirk in January. A 4-0 win in October 2025 and August’s 2-1 result complete the sequence.
That history gives Celtic a clear psychological edge, although Falkirk have improved their results in recent weeks and will be playing on home ground.
No listed absences
No absences are listed for either side, leaving the focus on the form and quality already visible in their league campaigns.
Celtic’s attacking threat
Celtic’s scoring record is the standout difference: they average 2.5 goals per league match, compared with Falkirk’s 1.2. The visitors have also conceded just eight times in 11 games, while Falkirk have let in 12.
Falkirk’s recent defensive numbers are encouraging, with only four goals conceded across their last five matches. That resilience will be important if they are to disrupt Celtic’s attacking rhythm and challenge the visitors’ established advantage in this fixture.
Our prediction
Celtic’s stronger season-long scoring record, defensive return and five-match winning run against Falkirk point towards another narrow away success. Falkirk’s recent form suggests they can make it difficult, but Celtic’s ability to create and convert more chances gives them the edge.
Falkirk 0-1 Celtic

