Our pick Home win Correct result
Can Kilmarnock Trouble Celtic at Celtic Park?
Celtic sit 11 places and 19 points above Kilmarnock after 12 matches, and have won their last five meetings. The league leaders’ recent form has been less imposing, though, giving the visitors a chance to test them.
📍 Celtic Park
Preview written:
All Matchday 13 matches Full head-to-head
Match report
Final result: Celtic 1-0 Kilmarnock.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 20–7; Shots on target: 5–3; Corners: 8–3; Expected goals: 2.29–1.53.
Goals
- 26' Liam Scales · Camilo Duran · Celtic
Cards
- 9' Tom Lowery · Kilmarnock
- 33' Joe Hugill · Kilmarnock
- 40' Cathal McCarthy · Kilmarnock
- 50' Jamie Brandon · Kilmarnock
- 61' Tyreece John-Jules · Kilmarnock
- 82' Yang Hyun-Jun · Celtic
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: L. Scales (Celtic) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Celtic · 4-2-3-1
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 51Colby DonovanD
- 20C. Carter-VickersD
- 5L. ScalesD
- 63K. TierneyD
- 42C. McGregorM
- 22M. BaurM
- 11C. DuránM
- 8B. NygrenM
- 7JotaM
- 9K. HøghF
Coach: M. O'Neill
Kilmarnock · 4-2-3-1
- 58N. MantlG
- 2J. BrandonD
- 4C. McCarthyD
- 14G. StangerD
- 21M. Schjønning-LarsenD
- 36A. TshibolaM
- 18T. LoweryM
- 27I. OwenM
- 10T. John-JulesM
- 11G. KiltieM
- 9J. HugillF
Coach: N. McCann
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Celtic | 2.3 | 0.8 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 12 | -15 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Kilmarnock 1-5 Celtic
- 2026 Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic
- 2025 Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock
- 2025 Kilmarnock 1-2 Celtic
- 2025 Celtic 5-1 Kilmarnock
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.98 – 0.86
- Double chance
- 1X · 93%12 87% · X2 20%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%Over 1.5: 90% · Over 3.5: 53%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Clean sheet
- 42% – 5%Celtic–Kilmarnock
- Half-time result
- 1 · 61%X 28% · 2 11%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 57%X/1 19% · X/X 7%
- Expected corners
- 11.98.5 – 3.4 · Over 9.5: 74%
- Expected cards
- 4.21.8 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 59%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A stark gap at the top and bottom
Celtic are 11 places and 19 points above Kilmarnock after 12 matches: the Glasgow side lead the Premiership with 28 points, while Kilmarnock are bottom on nine. That makes the challenge clear for the visitors at Celtic Park on Sunday: can they disrupt the league leaders despite a difficult start?
Celtic have won nine of their 12 league matches, drawing one and losing two, with 27 goals scored and 10 conceded. Their home record is strong too: four wins, a draw and one defeat from six matches, with 15 goals scored and five conceded. Kilmarnock’s overall record is two wins, three draws and seven defeats, and their goal difference stands at -15.
Celtic’s recent dip, Kilmarnock’s struggle
Celtic have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five league matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding six. Their most recent league match ended in defeat, a reminder that their position at the summit does not make them invulnerable.
Kilmarnock have taken one win and one draw from their last five, losing three and conceding 13 goals. They are also without a win in three, while their away league record reads one win, one draw and four defeats from six matches. Finding a way to limit Celtic’s attack will be essential if they are to make the contest close.
Five meetings, five Celtic wins
Celtic have won each of the last five meetings, with no draws or Kilmarnock victories. The most recent came in August, when Celtic won 5-1 at Kilmarnock. None of the five encounters finished with two goals or fewer, a run that underlines the scale of the visitors’ task.
The leaders’ firepower against the visitors’ defence
Celtic have scored 13 goals across their last five league games, averaging 2.6 per match. Kilmarnock have conceded 13 in their last five, while their season total is 28 goals against in 12 matches. That contrast puts the pressure on the visitors’ defence from the outset.
Kilmarnock have scored seven times in their last five, so they have shown some capacity to contribute in attack. But Celtic have conceded only 10 goals in 12 league matches and have kept four clean sheets, making a sustained response a significant challenge.
Our prediction
Celtic’s home record, greater scoring output and run of five straight wins in this fixture all point towards the leaders controlling the match. PreviaXI’s model also favours Celtic, with the expected balance of attacking threat making a home win the likeliest outcome.
Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock

