0–2 Full time Saturday 24 October

Our pick2–1Missed

Chelsea vs Tottenham: Four Wins in Five Meetings Tell the Story

Chelsea have won four of their last five meetings with Tottenham, and every one of those five games was decided by a single goal. Saturday's London derby at Stamford Bridge arrives with the two sides moving in opposite directions.

📍 Stamford Bridge

All Matchday 8 matches

Match report

Tottenham beat Chelsea 2-0 in Premier League Regular Season matchday 8. The opening goal came in the 77th minute, an own goal by Mike Penders credited to Tottenham. Mathys Tel made it 2-0 in the 87th minute, with no assist recorded. Chelsea's Cole Palmer was shown a red card in the 80th minute, and Chelsea finished the match with ten men.

Tottenham had 68% of the possession against Chelsea's 32% and took 15 shots to Chelsea's 7, though both sides had four shots on target. The expected goals figures favoured the visitors, 0.80 to 0.51, and Tottenham also won six corners to Chelsea's four. Mathys Tel was the top-rated player with a rating of 8.1. Before kickoff, the PreviaXI model had Chelsea as the likelier winners at 55%, with a predicted 2-1 scoreline and Tottenham's win at 20%.

Goals

77'Mike Penders (o.g.) · Tottenham
87'Mathys Tel · Tottenham

Cards

67'Conor Gallagher · Tottenham
71'Micky van de Ven · Tottenham
71'Cole Palmer · Chelsea
72'Roberto De Zerbi · Tottenham
72'Mateus Fernandes · Tottenham
79'Pedro Neto · Chelsea
80'Cole Palmer · Chelsea
90+1'Morgan Rogers · Chelsea

Match stats

ChelseaTottenham

32%Possession68%

7Shots15

4Shots on target4

0.51Expected goals (xG)0.80

4Corners6

14Fouls14

2Offsides1

3Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: M. Tel (Tottenham) 8.1

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Chelsea · 3-4-2-1

39M. PendersG
34Joshua Kofi AcheampongD
5M. LacroixD
6L. ColwillD
7Pedro NetoM
25M. CaicedoM
14J. HendersonM
21J. HatoM
10C. PalmerM
23Geovany Tcherno QuendaM
17M. RogersF

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Tottenham · 4-2-3-1

31A. KinskýG
14A. GrayD
6J. van HeckeD
37M. van de VenD
3A. RobertsonD
18Mateus FernandesM
16S. TonaliM
20M. KudusM
10J. MaddisonM
11M. TelM
22Omar MarmoushF

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Match facts

Recent form

ChelseaLDLWW

TottenhamDDLDW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·	Scored	Conceded
Chelsea	2.4	1.9
Tottenham	0.9	1.4

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
4	Chelsea	7	+4	13
16	Tottenham	7	-4	6

Last meetings

2026Chelsea1-2Tottenham
2026Chelsea2-1Tottenham
2025Tottenham0-1Chelsea
2025Chelsea1-0Tottenham
2024Tottenham3-4Chelsea

Absences

Chelsea

OutJ. Gittens · Ankle Injury
OutR. James · Knee Injury
OutE. Martinez · Broken jawbone
DoubtfulP. Chavarria · Injury
DoubtfulE. Emegha · Muscle Injury
DoubtfulM. Gusto · Illness

Tottenham

OutR. Bentancur · Red Card
OutL. Bergvall · Knee Injury
OutM. Mudryk · Ankle Injury
OutW. Odobert · Knee Injury
OutX. Simons · Knee Injury
DoubtfulD. Udogie · Knee Injury

PreviaXI model

Chelsea55%Draw25%Tottenham20%

Predicted score: 2-1
Expected goals (model): 1.82 – 1.03
Double chance: 1X · 80%12 75% · X2 45%
Over 2.5 goals: 54%
Both teams score: 55%
Expected corners: 10.85.9 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 64%
Expected cards: 5.32.3 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 78%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Chelsea have won four of their last five meetings with Tottenham, and the pattern suggests Saturday’s clash at Stamford Bridge will test whether that edge holds while the clubs head in opposite directions.

Two clubs, two directions

Chelsea sit fourth in the Premier League with 13 points from seven matches. Tottenham are 16th on six points, with a goal difference of minus four. The gap in the table is wide, but the head-to-head record shows it has rarely translated into one-sided football between these two.

Chelsea’s home goals, Tottenham’s away drought

Chelsea have been potent at home this season, scoring 11 goals in three league games there, an average of 3.7. Their recent run has also been productive, with 10 goals scored and eight conceded in their last five matches.

Tottenham have struggled on the road. They have yet to win away from home this season, collecting two draws and a defeat in their three outings. Their last five matches have produced six goals for and five against, a sign of a side that has found it hard to create and hard to keep out opponents.

Five meetings, five single-goal margins

The recent history is remarkably tight. Chelsea won 2-1 at home in May, Tottenham lost 1-0 at Chelsea in November, and Chelsea won 1-0 at home in April 2025. Tottenham’s 3-4 defeat in December 2024 was the highest-scoring of the five, and they did beat Chelsea 2-1 in an August friendly.

Across those five games there have been 15 goals, with Chelsea scoring nine and Tottenham six. Each meeting has been settled by exactly one goal, which suggests a fixture where small moments decide the outcome.

Absences stack up on both sides

Chelsea will be without J. Gittens (ankle), R. James (knee) and E. Martinez (broken jawbone). P. Chavarria, E. Emegha and M. Gusto are doubtful through injury, a muscle problem and illness respectively.

Tottenham face a longer list of absences. R. Bentancur is suspended after a red card, while L. Bergvall, M. Mudryk, W. Odobert and X. Simons are all missing through injury. A further player is out with a muscle problem, and D. Udogie is doubtful with a knee issue.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model favours Chelsea, and the football backs that up. Chelsea have been the more prolific side at home, while Tottenham have yet to win away this season and carry a heavier injury list into the game. Tottenham will have chances, and given how tight these meetings have been, a late goal would not surprise anyone, but Chelsea’s attacking edge should decide a close contest.

Chelsea 2-1 Tottenham

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