Our pick1–0Correct result
Arsenal vs Everton: Goals at One End, Grit at the Other
Arsenal's free-scoring form meets Everton's away scoring problem at the Emirates on Saturday. Second-placed Arsenal are favourites, but Everton's compact approach could keep it tight.
📍 Emirates Stadium
Match report
Arsenal beat Everton 2-0 in the Premier League Regular Season - 8. Ezri Konsa opened the scoring in the 7th minute, with Viktor Gyökeres credited with the assist. The score remained 1-0 until the 68th minute, when Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães doubled the lead, assisted by Ben White.
The numbers favoured Arsenal, who had 58% possession and 20 shots to Everton's 8. Arsenal's expected goals total of 1.85 far exceeded Everton's 0.54, and they won 12 corners to Everton's three. Gabriel Magalhães was the top-rated player with 8.5. The pre-match model had predicted a 1-0 home win, with 65% for an Arsenal win, 24% for a draw and 11% for an Everton win, so the final 2-0 scoreline was slightly more emphatic than that forecast.
Goals
- 7'Ezri Konsa · Viktor Gyökeres · Arsenal
- 68'Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães · Ben White · Arsenal
Cards
- 45+2'Vitaliy Mykolenko · Everton
- 58'Myles Lewis-Skelly · Arsenal
- 64'Mikel Arteta · Arsenal
- 66'James Garner · Everton
- 79'David William Moyes · Everton
- 79'James Tarkowski · Everton
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal) 8.5
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Arsenal · 4-2-3-1
- 1David RayaG
- 4B. WhiteD
- 15E. KonsaD
- 6Gabriel MagalhãesD
- 49M. Lewis-SkellyD
- 41D. RiceM
- 23Mikel MerinoM
- 20N. MaduekeM
- 8M. ØdegaardM
- 10E. EzeM
- 14V. GyökeresF
Coach: Mikel Arteta
Everton · 4-2-3-1
- 1J. PickfordG
- 34M. RöhlD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 45H. ArmstrongM
- 37J. GarnerM
- 22B. JohnsonM
- 8K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 19Tyrique GeorgeM
- 11T. BarryF
Coach: D. Moyes
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Everton | 1.1 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 7 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | Everton | 7 | +1 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026Arsenal2-0Everton
- 2025Everton0-1Arsenal
- 2025Everton1-1Arsenal
- 2024Arsenal0-0Everton
- 2024Arsenal2-1Everton
Absences
Arsenal
- OutW. Saliba · Back Injury
- OutC. Tzolis · Hamstring Injury
- DoubtfulP. Hincapie · Ankle Injury
- DoubtfulB. Saka · Thigh Injury
Everton
No reported absences
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.84 – 0.65
- Double chance
- 1X · 89%12 76% · X2 35%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Both teams score
- 42%
- Expected corners
- 9.25.9 – 3.3 · Over 9.5: 43%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.2 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 49%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Arsenal sit second in the Premier League with 18 points from seven matches, while Everton are eighth on 10. The gap in goal difference, +6 against +1, says much about Saturday’s meeting at the Emirates Stadium. One side scores freely and wins consistently. The other keeps games tight but has been short of goals.
Arsenal’s attack against Everton’s scoring drought
Arsenal have been the more productive side, with 11 league goals and an average of 2.3 a match at home. Their home record is spotless so far, with three wins from three. Everton have found life harder on their travels. They have won none of their three away games, drawing all three and scoring only three times in that run.
Timing matters too. Five of Arsenal’s 11 goals have come between the 46th and 60th minutes, which suggests a side that tends to break games open after the interval. Everton’s away goals have arrived late, with three of their eight coming in the final 15 minutes.
Form: momentum against inconsistency
Arsenal’s league sequence reads WWLWW, and over their last five matches they have scored seven and conceded five. Everton’s recent run of LDWDD shows a team picking up results without many wins. Over their last five they have scored five and conceded six, so their defensive solidity has not fully translated into control.
Head-to-head: Arsenal’s edge
Arsenal have won three of the last five meetings and drawn two, without losing one. Their most recent victory was a 2-0 win at the Emirates in March. Everton’s most recent visit to north London ended in a 2-0 defeat, and they have not beaten Arsenal in this run of five.
Arsenal’s injury list
Arsenal face a stretched squad. W. Saliba (back) and C. Tzolis (hamstring) will miss the match. P. Hincapie (ankle) and B. Saka (thigh) are doubtful. Everton have no reported absences.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Arsenal, and the football supports that view. Arsenal create more chances and have the more potent home attack, while Everton’s away scoring has been limited. Everton can make Arsenal work for it, and the absences add some uncertainty, so a narrow margin is the most likely outcome rather than a rout.
Arsenal 1-0 Everton

