Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15 
Can Atletico Tucuman upset the in-form Argentinos JRS?
Argentinos JRS arrive with the stronger league position and a much tighter recent defence, but Atletico Tucuman have home advantage and may make this a close test.
📍 Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro
Preview written: · Team news checked:
All Clausura, matchday 15 matchesFull head-to-head
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Tucuman | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Argentinos JRS | 1.2 | 0.8 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.84 – 1.14
- Double chance
- X2 · 74%1X 58% · 12 68%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 32%Over 1.5: 60% · Over 3.5: 14%
- Both teams score
- 40%
- Clean sheet
- 32% – 43%Atletico Tucuman–Argentinos JRS
- Half-time result
- X · 50%1 20% · 2 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 24%X/X 23% · X/2 16%
- Expected corners
- 8.74.1 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 37%
- Expected cards
- 5.32.9 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 76%
- Most likely scores
- 0-115%
- 0-015%
- 1-114%
- 1-011%
- 0-29%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Argentinos JRS
- Power ratings: Atletico Tucuman -0.21 goals per game (24th of 30 in Liga Profesional Argentina), Argentinos JRS +0.38 (4th).
- Atletico Tucuman's attack (0.95 goals per game) meets Argentinos JRS's defence (0.84 conceded per game).
- Argentinos JRS's attack (1.22) meets Atletico Tucuman's defence (1.16).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 0.84 – 1.14 goals: Atletico Tucuman 26%, draw 32%, Argentinos JRS 42%.
Key trends
- 6 of Argentinos JRS’s last 8 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Argentinos JRS are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings with Atletico Tucuman.
Chance to score
Atletico Tucuman
- L. Díaz7 goals in 22 games23%
- R. Ruíz Rodríguez3 goals in 18 games11%
- C. Ferreira3 goals in 22 games11%
Argentinos JRS
- G. Verón5 goals in 14 games25%
- A. Lescano5 goals in 27 games16%
- T. Molina5 goals in 29 games15%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Season stats
| · | Atletico Tucuman | Argentinos JRS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-10-13 | 2-8-5 | 17-11-5 | 5-5-5 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.93 | 0.93 | 1.15 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.10 | 1.07 | 0.76 | 1.07 |
| xG per game | 0.70 | 0.66 | 1.20 | 0.85 |
| xG against per game | 1.01 | 1.06 | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Scored in | 70% | 60% | 76% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 47% | 45% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% | 24% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 47% | 45% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 60% | 61% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 40% | 30% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 20% | 9% | 13% |
| Shots per game | 11.7 | 13.1 | 13.9 | 9.7 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.5 | 4.1 | 4.8 | 3.3 |
| Shots on target | 30% | 31% | 35% | 34% |
| Possession | 43% | 46% | 62% | 61% |
| Passes per game | 298.4 | 310.7 | 511.5 | 513.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 70% | 83% | 83% |
| Corners per game | 5.0 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 4.9 |
| Corners against per game | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.7 |
| Cards per game | 2.6 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Fouls per game | 12.5 | 11.8 | 10.9 | 11.9 |
League matches this season (Liga Profesional Argentina). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Atletico Tucuman
- 0-151 / 4
- 16-303 / 3
- 31-457 / 5
- 46-603 / 3
- 61-753 / 8
- 76-90+10 / 11
Usual formation: 4-1-4-1
Argentinos JRS
- 0-155 / 5
- 16-304 / 6
- 31-456 / 3
- 46-606 / 4
- 61-7510 / 4
- 76-90+8 / 3
Usual formation: 4-3-3
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | +14 | 34 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | +10 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | +4 | 29 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | +4 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | +4 | 26 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | +4 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | +2 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | -19 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 15 | +12 | 31 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | +7 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 15 | +4 | 28 |
| 4 | River Plate | 15 | +5 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 15 | +2 | 23 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | -5 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 0 | 17 |
| 11 | Tigre | 15 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 15 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Banfield | 14 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 15 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 15 | -11 | 9 |
Table as of
Next matches
Atletico Tucuman
- Mon 9 NovBanfield – Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
Argentinos JRS
- Mon 9 NovArgentinos JRS – HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Atletico Tucuman 2 wins · 4 draws · Argentinos JRS 4 wins
- 19/04/2026Argentinos JRS1-0Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30/09/2024Argentinos JRS0-0Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 07/02/2024Atletico Tucuman0-0Argentinos JRSCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 03/09/2023Argentinos JRS2-2Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 13/05/2023Atletico Tucuman1-2Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20/09/2022Argentinos JRS1-2Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21/04/2022Atletico Tucuman2-4Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
- 17/10/2021Atletico Tucuman4-3Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
- 15/02/2020Atletico Tucuman0-2Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
- 24/02/2019Atletico Tucuman0-0Argentinos JRSLiga Profesional Argentina
The underdog’s challenge
Atletico Tucuman come into this fixture after scoring six goals and conceding eight across their last five matches. That mixed run sets up a difficult assignment against an Argentinos JRS side whose recent numbers are more convincing. The visitors have conceded just three goals in their last five, while scoring five.
The league positions underline the gap between them: in the Clausura group, Argentinos are second with 28 points from 14 matches, while Atletico sit 10th with 17. Atletico’s home support at Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro could help narrow that difference, but they will need to be more resilient than their recent goals-against record suggests.
Recent form and the table
Argentinos have won three of their last five and lost once. Their season record includes 18 victories in 33 matches, and they have been particularly strong at home. Away from home, however, they have five wins and five defeats from 15 games, a reminder that Atletico may have an opening.
Atletico have managed one win in their last five. Across 30 season matches, they have won seven and drawn 10, with 28 goals scored. They have also drawn eight of 15 home games, so a stubborn performance is plausible even if a victory would be an upset.
A history of tight meetings
The last five head-to-head matches have produced two draws, while Argentinos have won the other three. The most recent meeting ended 1-0 to Argentinos in April 2026. Their previous two encounters in Tucuman finished 0-0 and 1-2, giving the hosts reason to expect another close contest, but little room for error.
Players to watch
No individual players are identified for this match, so the focus is on the sides’ contrasting patterns. Atletico have scored 10 of their 28 season goals in the final 15 minutes, suggesting they can remain a threat late on. Argentinos, meanwhile, have scored 10 of their 39 goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, a spell when their pressure could tell.
Our prediction
Atletico’s home record, with eight draws, points to a contest that may stay close. But Argentinos’ stronger league standing and recent defensive record give them the edge, and the statistical model leans towards a narrow away win. Atletico Tucuman 0-1 Argentinos JRS
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