Stars League · Matchday 8 
Our pick0–1Correct result
Al-Sailiya vs Lusail City: Can the head-to-head edge survive a change in form?
Al-Sailiya have struggled badly in the league, but recent meetings with Lusail City have been close—and slightly in their favour. Lusail arrive with the stronger defensive record and will look to turn that recent balance around.
📍 Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 8 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Lusail City came from behind to beat Al-Sailiya 2-1. Andri Sudarmanto put Al-Sailiya ahead in the third minute, before Khaled Mohammed equalised for Lusail City in the 38th. The match remained level until stoppage time, when Rodrigo Machado scored in the 90+4th minute, assisted by Hamidreza Firouzi, to secure the win for the visitors. There were no red cards.
Lusail City had the edge in possession, 55% to 45%, and in total shots, 16 to 10. The visitors also led on expected goals, 1.49 to 0.67, while shots on target were closer at 6-5. Rodrigo of Lusail City was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.2. The 2-1 result differed from the pre-match model’s predicted 0-1, though its probabilities favoured a Lusail City win at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for an Al-Sailiya win.
Goals
- 3'Andri Sudarmanto · Al-Sailiya
- 38'Khaled Mohammed · Lusail City
- 90+4'Rodrigo Machado · Hamidreza Firouzi · Lusail City
Cards
- 1'Abdelaziz Mitwali · Al-Sailiya
- 22'Emanuel Mesquita · Lusail City
- 34'Raoul Danzabe Sanda · Al-Sailiya
- 86'Joselu · Al-Sailiya
- 90+2'Hamidreza Firouzi · Lusail City
- 90+3'Youssef Mohamed Sayed · Al-Sailiya
- 90+6'Khaled Mohammed · Lusail City
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Rodrigo (Lusail City) 8.2
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Al-Sailiya · 4-2-3-1
- 50Youssef SayedG
- 5Abdulrahman MohamedD
- 55K. van der KaapD
- 15M. NaniD
- 14A. MitwaliD
- 20Y. BelhandaM
- 25R. DanzabeM
- 9Ali OlwanM
- 22Andri SyahputraM
- 10M. TaabouniM
- 13JoseluF
Coach: Mirghany Al-Zein
Lusail City · 4-1-4-1
- 1A. ShakouriG
- 2A. PilaliD
- 4F. RussoD
- 27M. AiashD
- 66A. NematiD
- 6O. EbrahimiM
- 14K. MansourM
- 20Naif Al HadhramiM
- 8Khaled MohammedM
- 11H. FirouziM
- 19RodrigoF
Coach: Emanuel Mesquita
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Sailiya | 1.1 | 3.7 |
| Lusail City | 1.1 | 1.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lusail City | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 7 | -18 | 1 |
Last meetings
- 2025Lusail City0-0Al-Sailiya
- 2024Al-Sailiya2-3Lusail City
- 2024Al-Sailiya1-1Lusail City
- 2023Lusail City0-1Al-Sailiya
- 2023Lusail City2-3Al-Sailiya
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.00 – 1.75
- Double chance
- X2 · 80%1X 46% · 12 74%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 30%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 17% – 37%Al-Sailiya–Lusail City
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 19% · 2 40%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 34%X/2 17% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.74.5 – 5.2 · Over 9.5: 51%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.8 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-210%
- 0-210%
- 0-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A meeting shaped by two different trends
Al-Sailiya’s recent league form has been bleak: they have one point from seven matches and sit 12th in the 12-team Stars League. Their opponents, Lusail City, are ninth with six points. That contrast sets the scene for a game in which the home side can draw encouragement from past meetings, but will need a sharp improvement on their current results.
The sides meet in the Stars League after their previous encounters came in the Second Division and QFA Cup. Their histories offer a counterpoint to the present table: Al-Sailiya have often made this matchup competitive, even as their current season has unravelled.
Al-Sailiya need a defensive response
Al-Sailiya have lost six of their seven league fixtures, drawing once, and have conceded 26 goals. Their last five have brought 21 goals against, while they have scored six. At home, they have earned one point from four matches and conceded 16 times.
Lusail’s recent five-match record is steadier at the back: four goals conceded and five scored. Across seven league games they have one win and three draws, with three defeats. All eight of their goals conceded this season have come away from home, a record that offers Al-Sailiya a possible opening.
Recent meetings favour Al-Sailiya narrowly
The last five meetings produced two Al-Sailiya wins, two draws and one Lusail victory. The most recent, in February 2025, ended 0-0, while the previous league meeting saw Lusail edge a 3-2 win at Al-Sailiya’s ground.
Two of the other encounters were also tight draws, 1-1 and 0-0, while Al-Sailiya won 1-0 away in October 2023. The pattern points to competitive games rather than a clear historical gulf, though the latest league meeting went Lusail’s way.
No listed absences
Neither side has any absences listed for the fixture.
Lusail’s defensive platform
Lusail’s recent defensive record stands out against Al-Sailiya’s struggles: they have kept three clean sheets this season, including two at home. Their away form has been less secure, with three defeats in five road matches, so containing the hosts’ threat will remain important.
For Al-Sailiya, the priority is to make their home scoring count. They have scored six goals in four home league games, but their defensive record has left little margin for error.
Our prediction
The head-to-head record suggests Al-Sailiya can keep this close, but their 26 goals conceded in seven league matches make it difficult to overlook Lusail’s defensive advantage and stronger recent form. PreviaXI’s model favours the visitors, with Lusail more likely to find the decisive opening in a tight contest.
Al-Sailiya 0-1 Lusail City
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