Our pick1–2Missed
Six points at stake as Al-Gharafa and Qatar SC tussle in relegation clash
Both teams sit in the bottom three of the Stars League table with six points apiece; Sunday’s meeting at Al Gharafa Stadium has the look of a six‑pointer as the regular season reaches round eight.
📍 Al Gharafa Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 8 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Al-Gharafa beat Qatar SC 2-0, with both goals arriving in the closing stages. Yacine Brahimi opened the scoring in the 74th minute, assisted by Dame Traore, then struck again in the 88th minute after a pass from Amro Surag. There were no red cards.
Qatar SC had more shots on target, 8 to Al-Gharafa’s 6, while total shots were 17-16 in their favour. Al-Gharafa held 52% possession and led on corners, 7-4. Y. Brahimi was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.5. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-2 prediction, which gave Qatar SC a 39% win probability, Al-Gharafa 34%, and a draw 27%.
Goals
- 74'Yacine Brahimi · Dame Traore · Al-Gharafa
- 88'Yacine Brahimi · Amro Surag · Al-Gharafa
Cards
- 11'Ismaël Bennacer · Al-Gharafa
- 30'Fabricio Díaz · Al-Gharafa
- 45+3'Eisa Palangi · Qatar SC
- 67'Seydou Sano · Al-Gharafa
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Y. Brahimi (Al-Gharafa) 9.5
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Al-Gharafa · 4-2-3-1
- 1Khalifa AbabacarG
- 18Ayoub Al OuiD
- 4S. SanoD
- 6Dame TraoréD
- 23Saifeldeen Hassan FadlallaD
- 29F. DíazM
- 13F. SassiM
- 96A. OunasM
- 10I. BennacerM
- 8Y. BrahimiM
- 7F. ComanF
Coach: Pedro Martins
Qatar SC · 4-4-2
- 17A. N. MahmoudG
- 2Nasir BakshD
- 40S. F. DioufD
- 4A. SaoudiD
- 20Eisa PalangiD
- 14Said BrahmiM
- 6Pau PrimM
- 24N. MasonM
- 7F. SelemaniM
- 11Y. BoliF
- 9João PedroF
Coach: Tintín Márquez
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Qatar SC | 1.3 | 2.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 7 | -7 | 6 |
Last meetings
- 2026Qatar SC2-0Al-Gharafa
- 2026Qatar SC3-2Al-Gharafa
- 2025Al-Gharafa2-1Qatar SC
- 2025Al-Gharafa4-2Qatar SC
- 2024Qatar SC1-3Al-Gharafa
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.44 – 1.56
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 61% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 61%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 24%Al-Gharafa–Qatar SC
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 29% · 2 31%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 24%1/1 20% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.35.1 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 45%
- Expected cards
- 5.42.4 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 78%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 0-17%
- 2-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Table situation that frames everything
Al-Gharafa and Qatar SC arrive level on six points after seven matches, occupying 10th and 11th in the 12‑team Stars League respectively. With the league still young but the bottom places already precarious, this fixture is effectively a six‑pointer: the winner will grab breathing room above the drop zone while a loser could be swept further into trouble.
Recent form under pressure
Form lines tell a similar story of inconsistency. Al-Gharafa’s season record reads WLLDLDD; they have collected one home win, three home draws and one home defeat from five home outings, scoring eight and conceding 13 overall. Their last five show just a single victory and a low conversion rate: five goals in five matches, conceding nine.
Qatar SC’s sequence is DLLDLDW with slightly better recent returns away from home. They have one away win and three away draws from five away matches, nine goals scored and 16 conceded overall. Their last five contain two wins and three defeats on paper, and they average roughly 1.3 goals per game across the campaign.
Both sides have struggled defensively: Al-Gharafa have kept two clean sheets so far, Qatar SC one. Late goals have been a factor for both — a large share of goals conceded by Al-Gharafa have arrived after the 76th minute, while Qatar SC have been vulnerable in late stages as well.
Recent duels have been tight and often high-scoring
The head‑to‑head across the past five meetings shows narrow margins and goals. Qatar SC won both meetings in 2026 (3-2 in the QSL Cup, 2-0 in the Stars League), while Al-Gharafa struck back at home in November 2025 with a 2-1 league win. Earlier meetings include a 4-2 and a 3-1 scoreline, underlining that encounters between these sides often produce multiple goals and moments at both ends.
Tactical edges and match rhythm
Home and away scoring patterns suggest an open contest. Al-Gharafa have been more compact at home but concede frequently late; Qatar SC have been scoring regularly on the road. The comparative metrics lean only slightly toward the visitors in attacking output, while defensive frailties on both sides mean chances are likely to come.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model identifies this as a close game that slightly favours Qatar SC and points to a narrow away win. Given the visitors’ marginally stronger recent away returns and both teams’ defensive lapses, expect a competitive match with Qatar SC edging it by a single goal.
Al-Gharafa 1-2 Qatar SC

