Stars League · Matchday 8
Al-Gharafa
2–0 Full time
Qatar SC

Our pick1–2Missed

Six points at stake as Al-Gharafa and Qatar SC tussle in relegation clash

Both teams sit in the bottom three of the Stars League table with six points apiece; Sunday’s meeting at Al Gharafa Stadium has the look of a six‑pointer as the regular season reaches round eight.

📍 Al Gharafa Stadium

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Match report

Al-Gharafa beat Qatar SC 2-0, with both goals arriving in the closing stages. Yacine Brahimi opened the scoring in the 74th minute, assisted by Dame Traore, then struck again in the 88th minute after a pass from Amro Surag. There were no red cards.

Qatar SC had more shots on target, 8 to Al-Gharafa’s 6, while total shots were 17-16 in their favour. Al-Gharafa held 52% possession and led on corners, 7-4. Y. Brahimi was the top-rated player, with a rating of 9.5. The result differed from the pre-match model’s 1-2 prediction, which gave Qatar SC a 39% win probability, Al-Gharafa 34%, and a draw 27%.

Goals

  • 74'Yacine Brahimi · Dame Traore · Al-Gharafa
  • 88'Yacine Brahimi · Amro Surag · Al-Gharafa

Cards

  • 11'Ismaël Bennacer · Al-Gharafa
  • 30'Fabricio Díaz · Al-Gharafa
  • 45+3'Eisa Palangi · Qatar SC
  • 67'Seydou Sano · Al-Gharafa

Match stats

Al-GharafaQatar SC
52%Possession48%
16Shots17
6Shots on target8
1.33Expected goals (xG)1.56
7Corners4
10Fouls7
8Saves4

⭐ Top-rated player: Y. Brahimi (Al-Gharafa) 9.5

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Al-Gharafa · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1Khalifa AbabacarG
  2. 18Ayoub Al OuiD
  3. 4S. SanoD
  4. 6Dame TraoréD
  5. 23Saifeldeen Hassan FadlallaD
  6. 29F. DíazM
  7. 13F. SassiM
  8. 96A. OunasM
  9. 10I. BennacerM
  10. 8Y. BrahimiM
  11. 7F. ComanF

Coach: Pedro Martins

Qatar SC · 4-4-2

  1. 17A. N. MahmoudG
  2. 2Nasir BakshD
  3. 40S. F. DioufD
  4. 4A. SaoudiD
  5. 20Eisa PalangiD
  6. 14Said BrahmiM
  7. 6Pau PrimM
  8. 24N. MasonM
  9. 7F. SelemaniM
  10. 11Y. BoliF
  11. 9João PedroF

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Match facts

Recent form

Al-GharafaLDLDD
Qatar SCLDLDW

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Al-Gharafa1.11.9
Qatar SC1.32.3

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
10Al-Gharafa7-56
11Qatar SC7-76

Last meetings

  • 2026Qatar SC2-0Al-Gharafa
  • 2026Qatar SC3-2Al-Gharafa
  • 2025Al-Gharafa2-1Qatar SC
  • 2025Al-Gharafa4-2Qatar SC
  • 2024Qatar SC1-3Al-Gharafa

PreviaXI model

Al-Gharafa34%Draw27%Qatar SC39%

Model confidence: Open game

Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals (model)
1.44 – 1.56
Double chance
12 · 73%1X 61% · X2 66%
Over 2.5 goals
58%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 35%
Both teams score
61%
Clean sheet
21% – 24%Al-Gharafa–Qatar SC
Half-time result
X · 40%1 29% · 2 31%
Half-time / full-time
2/2 · 24%1/1 20% · X/X 15%
Expected corners
9.35.1 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 45%
Expected cards
5.42.4 – 3.0 · Over 3.5: 78%
Most likely scores
  1. 1-112%
  2. 1-29%
  3. 2-18%
  4. 0-17%
  5. 2-26%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Table situation that frames everything

Al-Gharafa and Qatar SC arrive level on six points after seven matches, occupying 10th and 11th in the 12‑team Stars League respectively. With the league still young but the bottom places already precarious, this fixture is effectively a six‑pointer: the winner will grab breathing room above the drop zone while a loser could be swept further into trouble.

Recent form under pressure

Form lines tell a similar story of inconsistency. Al-Gharafa’s season record reads WLLDLDD; they have collected one home win, three home draws and one home defeat from five home outings, scoring eight and conceding 13 overall. Their last five show just a single victory and a low conversion rate: five goals in five matches, conceding nine.

Qatar SC’s sequence is DLLDLDW with slightly better recent returns away from home. They have one away win and three away draws from five away matches, nine goals scored and 16 conceded overall. Their last five contain two wins and three defeats on paper, and they average roughly 1.3 goals per game across the campaign.

Both sides have struggled defensively: Al-Gharafa have kept two clean sheets so far, Qatar SC one. Late goals have been a factor for both — a large share of goals conceded by Al-Gharafa have arrived after the 76th minute, while Qatar SC have been vulnerable in late stages as well.

Recent duels have been tight and often high-scoring

The head‑to‑head across the past five meetings shows narrow margins and goals. Qatar SC won both meetings in 2026 (3-2 in the QSL Cup, 2-0 in the Stars League), while Al-Gharafa struck back at home in November 2025 with a 2-1 league win. Earlier meetings include a 4-2 and a 3-1 scoreline, underlining that encounters between these sides often produce multiple goals and moments at both ends.

Tactical edges and match rhythm

Home and away scoring patterns suggest an open contest. Al-Gharafa have been more compact at home but concede frequently late; Qatar SC have been scoring regularly on the road. The comparative metrics lean only slightly toward the visitors in attacking output, while defensive frailties on both sides mean chances are likely to come.

Our prediction

PreviaXI’s model identifies this as a close game that slightly favours Qatar SC and points to a narrow away win. Given the visitors’ marginally stronger recent away returns and both teams’ defensive lapses, expect a competitive match with Qatar SC edging it by a single goal.

Al-Gharafa 1-2 Qatar SC

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