Our pick1–2Correct result
Can Inter's winning run survive a trip to struggling Venezia?
Venezia arrive on a dire run and sit bottom of Serie A, while Inter are unbeaten in domestic play — can their momentum continue at the Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo?
📍 Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo
Preview written: · Updated after team news:
All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Venezia 0-2 Inter. The match was decided late: in the 79th minute Matias Moreno scored an own goal and in the 82nd minute Redouane Halhal also put the ball in his own net, giving Inter the two-goal advantage. There were no red cards.
The stats underline Inter's control: possession 34%–66%, total shots 12–16 and xG 1.56–2.08; Inter had 6 corners to Venezia's 3 and Carlos Augusto was the top-rated player with a 7.9. The previaxi model before kick-off had predicted a 1-2 score and gave Venezia a 13% chance to win, 15% for a draw and 72% for an away win.
Goals
- 79'Matias Moreno (o.g.) · Inter
- 82'Redouane Halhal (o.g.) · Inter
Cards
- 28'Alessandro Bastoni · Inter
- 56'Nicolò Barella · Inter
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Carlos Augusto (Inter) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Venezia · 3-5-2
- 1F. StankovićG
- 25R. HalhalD
- 2M. MorenoD
- 15Juan JesusD
- 18A. HainautM
- 71Kike PérezM
- 19S. SohmM
- 21Þ. HelgasonM
- 70P. MazzocchiM
- 45A. AdamsF
- 29L. LauberbachF
Coach: D. Nicola
Inter · 3-5-2
- 49I. ProvedelG
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 95A. BastoniD
- 30Carlos AugustoD
- 17A. DioufM
- 8P. SučićM
- 5A. StankovićM
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 32F. DimarcoM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 14A. BonnyF
Coach: C. Chivu
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 0.8 | 2.1 |
| Inter | 2.9 | 1.3 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter | 8 | +13 | 22 |
| 20 | Venezia | 8 | -11 | 3 |
Last meetings
- 2025Inter5-1Venezia
- 2025Venezia0-1Inter
- 2024Inter1-0Venezia
- 2022Inter2-1Venezia
- 2021Venezia0-2Inter
Absences
Venezia
- OutA. Adorante · Hernia
- OutT. Correia · Thigh Injury
- OutB. Franjic · Shoulder Injury
- OutM. Sverko · Hip Injury
Inter
- OutC. Jones · Thigh Injury
- OutLuis Henrique · Thigh Injury
- OutL. Martinez · Thigh Injury
- OutB. Pavard · Thigh Injury
- OutJ. Stones · Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.12 – 2.76
- Double chance
- X2 · 87%1X 28% · 12 85%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%Over 1.5: 90% · Over 3.5: 54%
- Both teams score
- 63%
- Clean sheet
- 6% – 33%Venezia–Inter
- Half-time result
- 2 · 55%1 15% · X 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 50%X/2 18% · X/X 8%
- Expected corners
- 8.83.5 – 5.3 · Over 9.5: 40%
- Expected cards
- 3.41.9 – 1.5 · Over 3.5: 46%
- Most likely scores
- 1-29%
- 1-38%
- 0-28%
- 0-37%
- 1-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Venezia’s fragile run at home
Venezia’s recent results have been poor: the club’s last eight matches read LWLLLWL and they head into this fixture bottom of Serie A with just three points from eight games. At home they have won once in four matches and are conceding an average of two goals per home game, leaving them vulnerable against top opposition.
What the result means
This is a clear mismatch in the standings: Inter sit second with 22 points and a +13 goal difference, while Venezia are 20th with a -11 difference. For Venezia, points are vital to arrest a slide that has seen heavy defeats and few goals; for Inter, maintaining their run of wins is about consolidating a title push and keeping pressure on the summit.
Inter’s winning surge
Inter arrive on a strong sequence — their season form is WWWWDWWW and they are unbeaten in their eight Serie A matches so far. The away numbers underline their threat: seven wins and a draw from eight fixtures overall, with 23 goals scored. That momentum gives them a clear psychological edge going to Venice, where the visitors will expect to control the match and press for a decisive result.
Recent head-to-head pattern
The recent H2H record heavily favours Inter. In the last five meetings Inter have won every game, including a 5-1 Coppa Italia victory in December 2025 and several narrow league wins. That sequence adds to Inter’s confidence and suggests Venezia have struggled historically to contain this opponent.
Availability and selection issues
Venezia will be without a group of players including A. Adorante (hernia), T. Correia (thigh), B. Franjic (shoulder) and M. Sverko (hip). Those absences limit Venezia’s attacking options and squad depth. Inter are missing several squad members as well: C. Jones, Luis Henrique, L. Martinez and B. Pavard are ruled out with thigh problems, and J. Stones is also unavailable. While Inter still possess ample firepower, the absences could influence defensive choices and rotation.
Players whose presence or absence matters
- A. Adorante (Venezia): his absence through a hernia weakens Venezia’s forward threat, meaning the hosts may struggle to convert limited chances.
- T. Correia and B. Franjic (Venezia): missing wide and defensive options reduces Venezia’s ability to contain Inter’s wide play.
- L. Martinez and B. Pavard (Inter): their thigh injuries remove experienced options from Inter’s squad and could force tactical adjustments, but Inter’s depth has sustained them so far this season.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours an Inter victory and the patterns point to a close game where Inter’s form and goalscoring edge decide matters. Venezia are scoring rarely and leaking goals at home, while Inter arrive on a sustained winning run and have been prolific on the road. Expect Inter to nick a narrow away win.
Venezia 1-2 Inter

