Our pick Home win Correct result
Universitatea Craiova’s goals against Egnatia’s resilience
Universitatea Craiova have scored four goals in two Conference League matches, while Egnatia Rrogozhinë have drawn both of theirs. The hosts’ greater attacking return meets an opponent who has proved difficult to beat.
📍 Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 3 matches
Match report
Final result: Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 16–9; Shots on target: 7–4; Corners: 3–6; Expected goals: 1.84–0.43.
Goals
- 24' A. Cicaldau · Universitatea Craiova
- 32' N. Bancu · C. Mora · Universitatea Craiova
Cards
- 35' N. Stevanovic · Universitatea Craiova
- 74' A. Cicaldau · Universitatea Craiova
- 79' E. Bitri · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- 81' S. Elisor · Universitatea Craiova
- 84' E. Bitri · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- 84' E. Bitri · Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- 90' D. Matei · Universitatea Craiova
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Nicușor Bancu (Universitatea Craiova) 9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Universitatea Craiova · 3-4-3
- 21Laurenţiu PopescuG
- 3Oleksandr RomanchukD
- 24Nikola StevanovićD
- 6Vladimir ScreciuD
- 17Carlos MoraM
- 16João LameiraM
- 8Tudor BăluțăM
- 11Nicușor BancuM
- 20Alexandru CicâldăuF
- 9Assad Al-HamlawiF
- 10Ștefan BaiaramF
Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 4-3-1-2
- 98Mario DajsinaniG
- 22Guillem JaimeD
- 33Eneo BitriD
- 24Numan AjetovikjD
- 29Andrey YagoD
- 17Altin KryeziuM
- 6Albano AleksiM
- 10Alessandro AlbaneseM
- 7Fernando MedeirosM
- 2Daniel AdjessaF
- 20Karim LoukiliF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 1.0 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Universitatea Craiova | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 20 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0 | 2 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.97 – 0.90
- Double chance
- 1X · 84%12 78% · X2 38%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 52%
- Clean sheet
- 41% – 14%Universitatea Craiova–Egnatia Rrogozhinë
- Half-time result
- 1 · 45%X 38% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 40%X/1 19% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.35.1 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 46%
- Expected cards
- 4.42.0 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 63%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Craiova’s early edge
Universitatea Craiova have scored four goals in their two UEFA Europa Conference League matches, twice Egnatia Rrogozhinë’s return. That attacking contrast frames Thursday’s league-stage meeting in Craiova, where the hosts also hold a two-point advantage in the standings.
Craiova are 11th of 36 on four points, nine places and two points above Egnatia, who sit 20th on two. A win would strengthen the Romanian side’s position, while Egnatia can close the gap by turning a run of draws into a victory.
Goals versus resilience
Craiova’s Conference League record is a draw followed by a win: four goals scored and two conceded across those two matches. Their latest result in the competition was a victory, though they have yet to keep a clean sheet.
Egnatia’s two matches have both ended level, with two goals scored and two conceded. The Albanian side’s steady resistance has brought points, but it has not yet produced a win. In their only away match in the competition, they drew 1-1; Craiova also drew 1-1 in their sole home outing.
The pattern sets up a contest between the home side’s stronger scoring return and Egnatia’s ability to avoid defeat. Craiova have shown more attacking punch, but neither team has managed a clean sheet in the competition.
Our prediction
Craiova’s four goals in two matches and stronger position give them the edge, while Egnatia’s consecutive draws suggest they can make the hosts work for it. PreviaXI’s model favours a home win, with the hosts’ greater attacking threat pointing to a controlled victory.
Universitatea Craiova 2-0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë

