Uganda 1–1 Botswana

Group H’s narrow gap

Uganda won the teams’ last meeting 1–0 away in October 2025. Before this qualifier, Uganda had four points from two games and Botswana had two from two draws. Libya beat Tunisia 2–0 the previous day to lead Group H. A Botswana win would take them to five points, one ahead of Uganda.

Uganda’s win, Botswana’s draws

In this competition, Uganda have followed a draw with a win, scoring twice and conceding once across their two matches. Their most recent outing ended in victory, and their sole home match in the group has also brought a win, with a clean sheet.

Botswana have drawn both of their matches in the competition, scoring four and conceding four. They have also drawn twice away from home, so their results have kept them in touch with Uganda without yet turning into a win.

Uganda have won the recent meetings

Uganda have won both of the sides’ last two meetings, with no draws or Botswana victories. The latest was that 1-0 result in Botswana; the previous meeting, in June 2024, also ended 1-0 to Uganda. Both encounters produced two goals or fewer.

Goals on both sides

Botswana’s four goals in two qualification matches point to an ability to find the net, but the four conceded underline the defensive challenge. Uganda have been more restrained in attack, with two goals across their two games, while conceding just once and keeping a clean sheet in their home fixture.

Our prediction

Uganda have the edge through their two-point advantage, home win and record of two straight victories in this matchup, but Botswana’s scoring in the competition makes them a credible threat. A Uganda win or a draw looks more likely than an away victory, though the outcome remains uncertain.