Algeria 1–0 Togo

A narrow gap in Group I

Algeria’s recent form in this competition has brought a win and a draw, leaving them top of Group I with four points after two matches. Togo have three points and are third, so just one point separates the sides ahead of their meeting in the third round. Algeria are two places higher, with a goal difference of +2 compared with Togo’s -1.

The standings make this a chance for Togo to draw level with the leaders, while Algeria can strengthen their position at the top. These are positions in Group I of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying, not a shared domestic league table.

Different starts to qualifying

Algeria’s two competition matches have produced five goals scored and three conceded, with a win followed by a draw. Their most recent result was a draw.

Togo have scored once and conceded twice across their two matches, taking a win before a defeat. Their latest result was a loss. In their one away match in this competition, they were defeated, scoring no goals and conceding twice. Algeria’s one home match in the competition ended in a win, with three goals scored and one conceded.

Algeria’s edge in recent meetings

Algeria have won all four of the most recent meetings between the sides, while Togo have no wins and there have been no draws. The latest encounter, in October 2024 in Africa Cup of Nations qualifying, ended with Algeria beating Togo 1-0. Two of the four meetings featured two goals or fewer.

Players to watch

No individual players are identified for this fixture, so the focus is on the contrasting team records: Algeria’s five goals across two qualifying matches against Togo’s one, and the hosts’ stronger position in the group.

Our prediction

Algeria have the edge on the table and in the recent head-to-head record, but the standings are close and Togo can make up the one-point gap. A home win is a cautious possibility rather than a clear expectation; a draw or an away result remain realistic alternatives.