Sweden 3–2 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Sweden’s lead under pressure

Sweden’s latest Nations League result was a win, extending an unbeaten run to four matches. They sit top of League B Group D on 10 points, two ahead of second-placed Bosnia & Herzegovina, with both teams having played four times. The visitors would move top with a win, while Sweden can extend their lead.

Strong starts to the campaign

In this competition, Sweden have won three and drawn one of their four matches, scoring seven goals and conceding three. They have won both home games, scoring five and conceding twice, though neither ended with a clean sheet.

Bosnia & Herzegovina are also unbeaten in four, with two wins and two draws. They have scored six goals and conceded three, and their away record in the competition is a win and a draw from two matches. Both teams come into this fixture after a win, so neither needs to recover from a recent setback.

A recent draw between them

The teams drew 1–1 in their most recent meeting, in October’s Nations League fixture. Sweden also won 4–2 in a May 2010 friendly, as recorded by the Swedish FA.

Home and away strengths

Sweden’s two home wins and five goals scored in those matches offer a reason for confidence at Strawberry Arena. Bosnia & Herzegovina, however, have taken four goals from their two away fixtures in this competition and have kept one clean sheet on the road. The visitors have shown they can be productive away from home while remaining difficult to beat.

The group’s key test

Sweden started the round on 10 points to Bosnia and Herzegovina’s eight. A Swedish win would extend the gap to five points, while an away win would move Bosnia and Herzegovina top with 11 points. A draw would preserve Sweden’s two-point lead. UEFA’s results and fixtures show how the two teams reached those totals.

Our prediction

Sweden’s home record gives them a slight edge, but Bosnia & Herzegovina’s unbeaten run and strong away returns make this a difficult assignment for the leaders. A draw is a plausible outcome, and the visitors have enough momentum to challenge Sweden’s position.