UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Sturm Graz
2–3 Full time
Celje

Sturm Graz’s injury crisis looms over Celje Europa League clash

Sturm Graz have ten players unavailable as they look to build on their latest Europa League win. Celje arrive without a win in three competition matches, with the hosts holding the stronger home record.

📍 Stadion Graz-Liebenau

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Sturm Graz 2-3 Celje.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 30–8; Shots on target: 7–7; Corners: 12–2; Expected goals: 2.9–1.27.

Goals

  • 29' Svit Seslar · Celje
  • 40' Oumar Diakité · Sturm Graz
  • 45' Benjamin Verbič · Milot Avdyli · Celje
  • 73' Svit Seslar · Celje
  • 90+3' Oumar Diakité · Gizo Mamageishvili · Sturm Graz

Cards

  • 17' Artemijus Tutyskinas · Celje
  • 69' Oumar Diakité · Sturm Graz
  • 90+2' Milot Avdyli · Celje

Match stats

Sturm GrazCelje
62%Possession38%
30Shots8
7Shots on target7
2.90Expected goals (xG)1.27
12Corners2
16Fouls13
0Offsides1
4Saves5

⭐ Top-rated player: S. Sešlar (Celje) 8.8

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Sturm Graz · 3-4-3

  1. 22A. HelacG
  2. 23A. MalicD
  3. 2J. QuarshieD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 28J. HeilM
  6. 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
  7. 39Luca WeinhandlM
  8. 27L. BalboM
  9. 19S. SeidlF
  10. 14O. DiakitéF
  11. 78V. MatoshiF

Coach: F. Ingolitsch

Celje · 4-3-3

  1. 1Žan-Luk LebanG
  2. 2P. ŠirvysD
  3. 44Ł. BejgerD
  4. 6A. TutyškinasD
  5. 11M. AvdyliD
  6. 10S. SešlarM
  7. 19M. ZabukovnikM
  8. 13Papa Mustapha DanielM
  9. 25V. TushaF
  10. 47A. KučysF
  11. 7B. VerbičF

Coach: Z. Željkovič

Match facts

Recent form

Sturm Graz DLW
Celje LLD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Sturm Graz0.31.0
Celje0.72.3

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
19Sturm Graz3 -24
29Celje3 -51

Absences

Sturm Graz

  • Out N. Geyrhofer · Off the roster
  • Out L. Grgic · Knee Injury
  • Out S. Jatta · Shoulder Injury
  • Out D. Khudyakov · Inactive
  • Out O. Kiteishvili · Calf Injury
  • Out G. Mamageishvili · Injury
  • Out F. Rozga · Muscle Injury
  • Out E. Soglo · Muscle Injury
  • Out N. Weiper · Injury
  • Out S. Wlodarczyk · Off the roster

Celje

No reported absences

PreviaXI model

Sturm Graz53% Draw24% Celje23%

Model confidence: Medium

Expected goals (model)
1.77 – 1.08
Double chance
1X · 77%12 76% · X2 47%
Over 2.5 goals
54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 32%
Both teams score
55%
Clean sheet
34% – 17%Sturm Graz–Celje
Half-time result
1 · 40%X 40% · 2 20%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 33%X/1 17% · X/X 14%
Expected corners
8.14.4 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 30%
Expected cards
4.11.9 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 57%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A narrow table advantage

Sturm Graz are ten places and three points above Celje in the 36-team Europa League table, with four points after three matches compared with Celje’s one. The sides meet in Graz on Thursday, with the hosts seeking to strengthen their position in the league stage and Celje looking to turn a difficult start around.

Results point to a home edge

Sturm Graz have taken a win, a draw and a defeat in this competition, scoring once and conceding three goals. Their latest Europa League match was a win, and they have been unbeaten across two home matches: one win and one draw, with no goals conceded.

Celje have drawn once and lost twice in their three Europa League matches, scoring twice and conceding seven. They are without a win in three, and their only away match in the competition ended in defeat, with two goals conceded and none scored. These records cover matches in this competition only.

Ten absences shape Sturm’s task

The central concern for Sturm Graz is the scale of their unavailable group: ten players are listed as missing for this fixture. O. Kiteishvili, L. Grgic and S. Jatta are among those sidelined with calf, knee and shoulder injuries respectively; F. Rozga and E. Soglo are also out with muscle injuries. N. Geyrhofer and S. Wlodarczyk are off the roster, while D. Khudyakov is inactive. G. Mamageishvili and N. Weiper are also listed as absent through injury.

That leaves Sturm needing to manage a sizeable disruption even with a reassuring home record in Europe. Celje’s defensive record gives the hosts an opportunity, but Sturm’s limited scoring in the competition makes the missing options especially relevant.

The key figures

Sturm Graz have scored just once in their three Europa League matches, while Celje have conceded seven. The contrast is sharper at Sturm’s home ground: the Austrian side have kept two clean sheets in two home matches in this competition. Celje have kept none in their three Europa League matches.

Our prediction

Sturm Graz’s home resilience and Celje’s run without a win make the hosts favourites, although the injury crisis could blunt their attacking threat. PreviaXI’s model leans towards a home win, with both teams finding the net.

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