Our pick Home win Missed
Marseille under pressure as Leverkusen look to extend Europa League run
Marseille arrive at BayArena on a three-game losing streak in the Europa League and sit 32 places below Bayer Leverkusen. The hosts have won all three of their matches in the competition without conceding.
📍 BayArena
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 4 matches
Match report
Final result: Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 Marseille.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 10–8; Shots on target: 3–2; Corners: 6–2; Expected goals: 0.99–0.94.
Goals
- 77' Amine Gouiri · Marseille
Cards
- 6' Miguel Gutiérrez · Bayer Leverkusen
- 38' Igor Paixão · Marseille
- 54' Ulisses Garcia · Marseille
- 90' Tochukwu Nnadi · Marseille
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: A. Gouiri (Marseille) 7.8
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Bayer Leverkusen · 4-2-3-1
- 1M. FlekkenG
- 4J. QuansahD
- 12E. TapsobaD
- 2F. MedinaD
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 8R. AndrichM
- 24Aleix GarcíaM
- 17Lucas VázquezM
- 7J. HofmannM
- 30I. MazaM
- 14P. SchickF
Coach: Carles Martínez
Marseille · 4-3-3
- 12J. de LangeG
- 74K. BezahafD
- 4C. Egan-RileyD
- 21N. AguerdD
- 25U. GarciaD
- 23P. HøjbjergM
- 19G. KondogbiaM
- 8H. AbdelliM
- 22T. WeahF
- 9A. GouiriF
- 14Igor PaixãoF
Coach: Bruno Genesio
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2.7 | 0.0 |
| Marseille | 0.3 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | +8 | 9 |
| 34 | Marseille | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Last meetings
- 2023 Marseille 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
Absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- Out E. Ben Seghir · Muscle Injury
- Out V. Boniface · Off the roster
- Out M. Diaby · Hamstring Injury
- Out K. Eichhorn · Illness
- Out J. Hofmann · Off the roster
- Out C. Kofane · Muscle Injury
- Out T. Oermann · Off the roster
- Out M. Terrier · Muscle Injury
- Doubtful L. Bade · Head Injury
- Doubtful G. Doue · Calf Injury
- Doubtful N. Tella · Muscle Injury
Marseille
- Out D. Cornelius · Hip Injury
- Doubtful Emerson · Injury
- Doubtful A. Harit · Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.46 – 1.30
- Double chance
- 1X · 82%12 81% · X2 37%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%Over 1.5: 89% · Over 3.5: 52%
- Both teams score
- 67%
- Clean sheet
- 27% – 9%Bayer Leverkusen–Marseille
- Half-time result
- 1 · 48%X 33% · 2 19%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 42%X/1 17% · X/X 10%
- Expected corners
- 8.95.2 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 39%
- Expected cards
- 4.61.9 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 65%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A steep gap in the league phase
Bayer Leverkusen sit second in the 36-team Europa League table with nine points after three matches, while Marseille are 34th with none. The 32-place, nine-point gap frames a difficult test for Marseille, whose pressure is mounting after a run of defeats. Leverkusen, meanwhile, can strengthen their position near the top with another result at BayArena.
Contrasting runs
Leverkusen have won three in a row and are unbeaten in their three Europa League matches, scoring eight goals and conceding none. They have also won their only home match in the competition, scoring twice and keeping a clean sheet.
Marseille have lost three in a row in Europe, scoring once and conceding six across their three matches. Their away record in the competition is particularly troubling: two defeats from two, with five goals conceded and only one scored. Those figures cover Europa League matches only, not either club’s overall season form.
One previous meeting
The sides’ most recent meeting came in a 2023 friendly, when Bayer Leverkusen beat Marseille 2-1 away. Leverkusen have won the only meeting recorded between the clubs, though that result came outside competitive football.
Absences and doubts
Leverkusen are without E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, C. Kofane and M. Terrier through muscle injuries, while K. Eichhorn is out with illness. V. Boniface, J. Hofmann and T. Oermann are also marked unavailable. L. Bade, G. Doue and N. Tella are doubts.
Marseille are without D. Cornelius, with a hip injury. Emerson and A. Harit are both listed as questionable.
Leverkusen’s scoring edge
Leverkusen’s eight goals and three clean sheets in the Europa League offer a clear contrast with Marseille’s one goal and six conceded. That attacking output, alongside their perfect record in the competition, gives the hosts a strong platform against a side still searching for a result.
Our prediction
Marseille’s need to respond should make this a meaningful test, but Leverkusen’s stronger results, scoring record and home advantage point towards the hosts. PreviaXI’s model also favours Leverkusen, while allowing for Marseille to find a goal.
Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Marseille

