UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 4
Bayer Leverkusen
0–1 Full time
Marseille

Our pick Home win Missed

Marseille under pressure as Leverkusen look to extend Europa League run

Marseille arrive at BayArena on a three-game losing streak in the Europa League and sit 32 places below Bayer Leverkusen. The hosts have won all three of their matches in the competition without conceding.

📍 BayArena

Preview written:

Match report

Final result: Bayer Leverkusen 0-1 Marseille.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 10–8; Shots on target: 3–2; Corners: 6–2; Expected goals: 0.99–0.94.

Goals

  • 77' Amine Gouiri · Marseille

Cards

  • 6' Miguel Gutiérrez · Bayer Leverkusen
  • 38' Igor Paixão · Marseille
  • 54' Ulisses Garcia · Marseille
  • 90' Tochukwu Nnadi · Marseille

Match stats

Bayer LeverkusenMarseille
58%Possession42%
10Shots8
3Shots on target2
0.99Expected goals (xG)0.94
6Corners2
7Fouls12
1Saves3

⭐ Top-rated player: A. Gouiri (Marseille) 7.8

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Bayer Leverkusen · 4-2-3-1

  1. 1M. FlekkenG
  2. 4J. QuansahD
  3. 12E. TapsobaD
  4. 2F. MedinaD
  5. 3Miguel GutiérrezD
  6. 8R. AndrichM
  7. 24Aleix GarcíaM
  8. 17Lucas VázquezM
  9. 7J. HofmannM
  10. 30I. MazaM
  11. 14P. SchickF

Coach: Carles Martínez

Marseille · 4-3-3

  1. 12J. de LangeG
  2. 74K. BezahafD
  3. 4C. Egan-RileyD
  4. 21N. AguerdD
  5. 25U. GarciaD
  6. 23P. HøjbjergM
  7. 19G. KondogbiaM
  8. 8H. AbdelliM
  9. 22T. WeahF
  10. 9A. GouiriF
  11. 14Igor PaixãoF

Coach: Bruno Genesio

Match facts

Recent form

Bayer Leverkusen WWW
Marseille LLL

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Bayer Leverkusen2.70.0
Marseille0.32.0

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
2Bayer Leverkusen3 +89
34Marseille3 -50

Last meetings

  • 2023 Marseille 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

Absences

Bayer Leverkusen

  • Out E. Ben Seghir · Muscle Injury
  • Out V. Boniface · Off the roster
  • Out M. Diaby · Hamstring Injury
  • Out K. Eichhorn · Illness
  • Out J. Hofmann · Off the roster
  • Out C. Kofane · Muscle Injury
  • Out T. Oermann · Off the roster
  • Out M. Terrier · Muscle Injury
  • Doubtful L. Bade · Head Injury
  • Doubtful G. Doue · Calf Injury
  • Doubtful N. Tella · Muscle Injury

Marseille

  • Out D. Cornelius · Hip Injury
  • Doubtful Emerson · Injury
  • Doubtful A. Harit · Injury

PreviaXI model

Bayer Leverkusen63% Draw19% Marseille18%

Model confidence: Strong

Expected goals (model)
2.46 – 1.30
Double chance
1X · 82%12 81% · X2 37%
Over 2.5 goals
72%Over 1.5: 89% · Over 3.5: 52%
Both teams score
67%
Clean sheet
27% – 9%Bayer Leverkusen–Marseille
Half-time result
1 · 48%X 33% · 2 19%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 42%X/1 17% · X/X 10%
Expected corners
8.95.2 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 39%
Expected cards
4.61.9 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 65%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A steep gap in the league phase

Bayer Leverkusen sit second in the 36-team Europa League table with nine points after three matches, while Marseille are 34th with none. The 32-place, nine-point gap frames a difficult test for Marseille, whose pressure is mounting after a run of defeats. Leverkusen, meanwhile, can strengthen their position near the top with another result at BayArena.

Contrasting runs

Leverkusen have won three in a row and are unbeaten in their three Europa League matches, scoring eight goals and conceding none. They have also won their only home match in the competition, scoring twice and keeping a clean sheet.

Marseille have lost three in a row in Europe, scoring once and conceding six across their three matches. Their away record in the competition is particularly troubling: two defeats from two, with five goals conceded and only one scored. Those figures cover Europa League matches only, not either club’s overall season form.

One previous meeting

The sides’ most recent meeting came in a 2023 friendly, when Bayer Leverkusen beat Marseille 2-1 away. Leverkusen have won the only meeting recorded between the clubs, though that result came outside competitive football.

Absences and doubts

Leverkusen are without E. Ben Seghir, M. Diaby, C. Kofane and M. Terrier through muscle injuries, while K. Eichhorn is out with illness. V. Boniface, J. Hofmann and T. Oermann are also marked unavailable. L. Bade, G. Doue and N. Tella are doubts.

Marseille are without D. Cornelius, with a hip injury. Emerson and A. Harit are both listed as questionable.

Leverkusen’s scoring edge

Leverkusen’s eight goals and three clean sheets in the Europa League offer a clear contrast with Marseille’s one goal and six conceded. That attacking output, alongside their perfect record in the competition, gives the hosts a strong platform against a side still searching for a result.

Our prediction

Marseille’s need to respond should make this a meaningful test, but Leverkusen’s stronger results, scoring record and home advantage point towards the hosts. PreviaXI’s model also favours Leverkusen, while allowing for Marseille to find a goal.

Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Marseille

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