Premiership · Matchday 10 
Our pick1–0Correct result
St Mirren Under Pressure as Dundee Arrive Unbeaten in Their Last Five
Dundee sit fourth in the Premiership and St Mirren are eighth with five straight defeats behind them. Paisley's side need a result on Saturday to stop the slide.
📍 The SMiSA Stadium
Match report
ST Mirren beat Dundee 2-1 in the Premiership Regular Season round 10. Calvin Ramsay opened the scoring in the 20th minute, with Eseosa Sule providing the assist. Sule doubled the lead in the 56th minute, assisted by Killian Phillips. Bradley·Fink pulled one back for Dundee in the 74th minute, with no assist recorded. No red cards were shown.
Dundee had more of the attacking volume, taking 17 shots to ST Mirren's 9, while the expected goals were close at 1.48 for the hosts and 1.50 for the visitors. Possession was nearly level at 49% to 51% in Dundee's favour, and Dundee also had more corners, 5 to 2. Eseosa Sule, who scored, was the top-rated player with 8.4. Before kickoff, PreviaXI's model gave ST Mirren a 41% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 30% for a Dundee win, with a predicted score of 1-0. The home win matched the model's most favoured outcome, though the final scoreline differed.
Goals
- 20'Calvin Ramsay · Eseosa Sule · ST Mirren
- 56'Eseosa Sule · Killian Phillips · ST Mirren
- 74'Bradley·Fink · Dundee
Cards
- 63'Eseosa Sule · ST Mirren
- 71'Ismeal Kabia · ST Mirren
- 82'Luke Thomas · ST Mirren
- 84'Alfie Harrison · Dundee
- 90+3'Alexander Gogić · ST Mirren
- 90+3'S. Pressley · Dundee
- 90+3'Bradley·Fink · Dundee
- 90+3'Brad Halliday · Dundee
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Eseosa Sule (ST Mirren) 8.4
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
ST Mirren · 3-4-3
- 1J. ChapmanG
- 22M. FraserD
- 13A. GogićD
- 53Henry FieldsonD
- 47C. RamsayM
- 8R. CarrM
- 88K. PhillipsM
- 3D. JohnM
- 16L. ThomasF
- 9Eseosa SuleF
- 19Ismeal KabiaF
Coach: Craig McLeish
Dundee · 4-4-2
- 1O. GoodmanG
- 7D. WrightD
- 4R. AstleyD
- 5O. BevanD
- 12I. SamuelsD
- 27J. BevanM
- 28C. JonesM
- 48E. HamiltonM
- 14A. ForrestM
- 11A. HayF
- 21B. FinkF
Coach: S. Pressley
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| ST Mirren | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Dundee | 1.4 | 1.1 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundee | 9 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 9 | -8 | 10 |
Last meetings
- 2026Dundee1-0ST Mirren
- 2026ST Mirren0-0Dundee
- 2025Dundee3-1ST Mirren
- 2025ST Mirren1-0Dundee
- 2025Dundee2-0ST Mirren
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.29 – 1.07
- Double chance
- 12 · 71%1X 70% · X2 59%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Expected corners
- 10.36.0 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 58%
- Expected cards
- 3.11.9 – 1.2 · Over 3.5: 37%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Dundee sit fourth in the 12-team Premiership on 14 points after nine matches, while ST Mirren are eighth on 10, with a goal difference of minus eight. For the home side, that gap is becoming a crisis as much as a table position.
Pressure building in Paisley
St Mirren go into Saturday’s match having lost each of their last five league games. Across that run they have scored just two goals and conceded 14. Their home form tells the same story: one win in four home matches this season. The campaign began with two wins in its opening games, but the sequence now ends in a deep slide, and every week without a point makes the questions louder.
Dundee’s steadier hand
Dundee’s recent five league results read DWWLD, and they have scored eight and conceded seven over that stretch. Away from home they have won twice and lost twice in four attempts, and they have kept two clean sheets in nine league matches this season. They arrive with more momentum and more points in hand than their opponents.
Recent meetings
The rivalry has tilted toward Dundee. In the last five meetings they have won three, drawn one and lost one. Their most recent success was a 1-0 win at home in May, and their 3-1 win in November came after St Mirren had taken the points 1-0 in Paisley the previous September. A goalless draw in January completes the picture.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours St Mirren, but only narrowly, and the margin suggests a tight, cagey contest rather than a comfortable home win. The hosts have a slight edge in creating chances and the benefit of their own ground, which could be enough to edge a close game. The problem is goals: St Mirren have found the net only twice in five matches, so one goal might be all they need to lift the pressure, while Dundee will fancy their chances of keeping things tight.
ST Mirren 1-0 Dundee
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