Our pick0–1Correct result
Lazio's winning run puts Sassuolo on the back foot
Lazio have lost only once in their last eight Serie A matches... (placeholder)
📍 Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
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All Matchday 9 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Sassuolo 2-6 Lazio. 2' Kenneth Taylor (Lazio) opened the scoring, 7' Kristian Thorstvedt assisted by Josh Doig (Sassuolo) equalised, 13' Gustav Isaksen assisted by Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio) put Lazio ahead, 16' Romano Floriani Mussolini assisted by Kenneth Taylor (Lazio) made it 1-3, 43' Sebastiano Esposito assisted by Simone Cinquegrano (Sassuolo) reduced the deficit, 45+1' Mattia Zaccagni assisted by Gustav Isaksen (Lazio) restored a two-goal lead, 55' Tijjani Noslin assisted by Mattia Zaccagni (Lazio) and 65' Tijjani Noslin assisted by Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Lazio) completed the scoring. Kristian Thorstvedt (Sassuolo) was sent off at 31'.
The numbers underline Lazio's dominance: 58% possession, 8 shots on target to Sassuolo's 2, and an xG of 3.41 to 0.82. Mattia Zaccagni was the top-rated player (9.5). PreviaXI's model had predicted 0-1 with home 36%, draw 26% and away 38%.
Goals
- 2'Kenneth Taylor · Lazio
- 7'Kristian Thorstvedt · Josh Doig · Sassuolo
- 13'Gustav Isaksen · Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio
- 16'Romano Floriani Mussolini · Kenneth Taylor · Lazio
- 43'Sebastiano Esposito · Simone Cinquegrano · Sassuolo
- 45+1'Mattia Zaccagni · Gustav Isaksen · Lazio
- 55'Tijjani Noslin · Mattia Zaccagni · Lazio
- 65'Tijjani Noslin · Fisayo Dele-Bashiru · Lazio
Cards
- 28'Kenneth Taylor · Lazio
- 31'Kristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo
- 54'Domenico Berardi · Sassuolo
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: M. Zaccagni (Lazio) 9.5
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Sassuolo · 4-3-3
- 80S. TuratiG
- 46S. CinquegranoD
- 26C. OdenthalD
- 15D. Ćaleta-CarD
- 3J. DoigD
- 42K. ThorstvedtM
- 35L. LipaniM
- 50D. BakolaM
- 10D. BerardiF
- 94S. EspositoF
- 45A. LaurientéF
Coach: A. Aquilani
Lazio · 4-3-3
- 35C. MandasG
- 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
- 37J. ŠutaloD
- 2Diogo LeiteD
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 16D. FrattesiM
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 24K. TaylorM
- 11G. IsaksenF
- 14T. NoslinF
- 10M. ZaccagniF
Coach: G. Gattuso
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Lazio | 2.0 | 0.6 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 8 | +11 | 22 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | -4 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2026Lazio2-1Sassuolo
- 2025Sassuolo1-0Lazio
- 2024Lazio1-1Sassuolo
- 2023Sassuolo0-2Lazio
- 2023Lazio2-0Sassuolo
Absences
Sassuolo
- OutD. Boloca · Muscle Injury
- OutJ. Idzes · Muscle Injury
- OutI. Kone · Broken Leg
- OutF. Leysen · Knee Injury
- OutY. Paz · Knee Injury
Lazio
- OutA. Furlanetto · Knee Injury
- OutA. Gudmundsson · Shoulder Injury
- OutA. Marusic · Muscle Injury
- OutN. Rovella · Calf Injury
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.21 – 1.25
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 62% · X2 64%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 70% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 30%Sassuolo–Lazio
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 28% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 21% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 8.64.3 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 37%
- Expected cards
- 4.82.4 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 72%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-111%
- 1-011%
- 1-28%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Lazio’s 2-1 win over Sassuolo in March was the most recent meeting between the sides, and it set a pattern that Maurizio Sarri’s side would like to repeat on Tuesday. Lazio arrive in Reggio Emilia second in Serie A with 22 points from eight games, while Sassuolo sit 14th on eight points.
Lazio’s winning run and the table
Lazio have won seven of their eight league matches this season and have not lost once. Their goal difference of +11 is among the division’s best, while Sassuolo are at -4. For a side chasing the top of the table, keeping that momentum going away from home is the obvious test.
Form: Lazio surge, Sassuolo struggle
Lazio have been prolific and tight at the back. In their last five games they have scored 12 goals and conceded four, and they have been particularly reliable on the road, conceding just once in four away matches.
Sassuolo have had a far more uneven start. They have two wins, two draws and four defeats in eight games, and they have conceded 16 goals. At the Mapei Stadium they have won twice and drawn once, but they have also let in more than a goal per game at home.
Lazio have the upper hand in recent meetings
Lazio have won three of the last five meetings, including both encounters in 2023. Sassuolo’s only win in that run came in September 2025, a 1-0 victory in Reggio Emilia. The other two results were a 1-1 draw in May 2024 and the March 2026 defeat.
Missing names on both sides
Sassuolo will be without D. Boloca and J. Idzes (both muscle injuries), I. Kone (broken leg), F. Leysen and Y. Paz (both knee injuries). Lazio are missing A. Furlanetto (knee), A. Gudmundsson (shoulder), A. Marusic (muscle) and N. Rovella (calf).
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Lazio, and that fits the picture on the pitch. Lazio have been the more dangerous side in attack over recent weeks and the more secure one at the back, conceding only 0.6 goals per game away from home. Sassuolo have scored freely at home, but their defensive record makes it hard to see them holding a lead against this side.
We expect a tight, competitive match, with Lazio edging it on the counter and at set pieces.
Sassuolo 0-1 Lazio

