UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 3
Riga
1–1 Full time
FK Jablonec

Our pick Home win Missed

Riga and FK Jablonec meet with just one point between them

Riga are three places and one point above FK Jablonec after two Conference League matches. Both sides come into the meeting after a draw, with Riga unbeaten in eight matches in the competition.

📍 Skonto stadions

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Match report

Final result: Riga 1-1 FK Jablonec.

Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 8–9; Shots on target: 1–3; Corners: 4–5; Expected goals: 1.11–0.84.

Goals

  • 34' Reginaldo Ramires (pen.) · Riga
  • 49' S. Nebyla · D. Holly · FK Jablonec

Cards

  • 20' D. Pavlovic · FK Jablonec
  • 52' J. Slama · FK Jablonec
  • 55' M. Tonisevs · Riga

Match stats

RigaFK Jablonec
59%Possession41%
8Shots9
1Shots on target3
1.11Expected goals (xG)0.84
4Corners5
17Fouls6
1Offsides0
2Saves0

⭐ Top-rated player: Sebastian Nebyla (FK Jablonec) 7.9

Ratings and statistics: API-Football.

Confirmed lineups

Riga · 4-2-3-1

  1. 12Kenan PirićG
  2. 23Maksims TonisevsD
  3. 21Baba MusahD
  4. 5Karl Gameni WassomD
  5. 13Raivis JurkovskisD
  6. 40Ahmed AnkrahM
  7. 8Iago SiqueiraM
  8. 22Meïssa DiopM
  9. 18Salah Oulad M'HandM
  10. 7Raki AouaniM
  11. 10Reginaldo RamiresF

FK Jablonec · 3-5-2

  1. 99Klemen MihelakG
  2. 18Martin CedidlaD
  3. 15Dušan PavlovićD
  4. 20Jiří SlámaD
  5. 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
  6. 24Dominik HollýM
  7. 13Richard SedláčekM
  8. 25Sebastian NebylaM
  9. 21Matěj PolidarM
  10. 9Antonín RůsekF
  11. 17Saidou Alioum MoubarakF

Match facts

Recent form

Riga DDWDD
FK Jablonec WLWLD

Last 5 league games, latest on the right

Goals per game

·ScoredConceded
Riga1.81.0
FK Jablonec1.51.0

League position

PosTeamPGDPts
21Riga2 02
24FK Jablonec2 -11

PreviaXI model

Riga37% Draw27% FK Jablonec36%

Model confidence: Open game

Expected goals (model)
1.39 – 1.35
Double chance
12 · 73%1X 64% · X2 63%
Over 2.5 goals
52%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 29%
Both teams score
56%
Clean sheet
26% – 25%Riga–FK Jablonec
Half-time result
X · 42%1 30% · 2 28%
Half-time / full-time
1/1 · 22%2/2 21% · X/X 16%
Expected corners
9.55.7 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 47%
Expected cards
4.31.9 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 61%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

A narrow gap in the standings

Riga and FK Jablonec both drew their most recent UEFA Europa Conference League matches, and the league-stage table leaves little between them. Riga sit 21st of 36 with two points from two games, while FK Jablonec are 24th with one. Riga are three places and one point above their visitors, making this a close contest for early ground in the standings.

Riga’s unbeaten run

Riga’s latest draw extended their current run to two consecutive draws and kept them unbeaten in eight UEFA Europa Conference League matches. Across their last five in this competition, they have recorded one win and four draws, scoring five goals and conceding four.

FK Jablonec’s last five European matches have brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with six goals scored and five conceded. Their latest result was also a draw. These competition records cover eight UEFA Europa Conference League matches, rather than either club’s overall season form.

Home strength against away struggles

Riga’s eight-match record in this competition stands at four wins and four draws, with 14 goals scored and eight conceded. At home, they have won three and drawn one of four matches, scoring nine times and conceding four.

FK Jablonec have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their eight Conference League matches, also scoring 12 and conceding eight. The contrast is sharper away from home: they have won once and lost three times in four such matches, scoring six and conceding eight, without a clean sheet.

Our prediction

With only one point separating them, this looks finely balanced, but Riga’s unbeaten competition run and stronger home record offer a slight edge. FK Jablonec have shown they can score, though their away results give the hosts reason for confidence. PreviaXI’s model leans narrowly towards Riga.

Riga 2-1 FK Jablonec

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