Our pick Home win Missed
Riga and FK Jablonec meet with just one point between them
Riga are three places and one point above FK Jablonec after two Conference League matches. Both sides come into the meeting after a draw, with Riga unbeaten in eight matches in the competition.
📍 Skonto stadions
Preview written:
All League phase, matchday 3 matches
Match report
Final result: Riga 1-1 FK Jablonec.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 8–9; Shots on target: 1–3; Corners: 4–5; Expected goals: 1.11–0.84.
Goals
- 34' Reginaldo Ramires (pen.) · Riga
- 49' S. Nebyla · D. Holly · FK Jablonec
Cards
- 20' D. Pavlovic · FK Jablonec
- 52' J. Slama · FK Jablonec
- 55' M. Tonisevs · Riga
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Sebastian Nebyla (FK Jablonec) 7.9
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Riga · 4-2-3-1
- 12Kenan PirićG
- 23Maksims TonisevsD
- 21Baba MusahD
- 5Karl Gameni WassomD
- 13Raivis JurkovskisD
- 40Ahmed AnkrahM
- 8Iago SiqueiraM
- 22Meïssa DiopM
- 18Salah Oulad M'HandM
- 7Raki AouaniM
- 10Reginaldo RamiresF
FK Jablonec · 3-5-2
- 99Klemen MihelakG
- 18Martin CedidlaD
- 15Dušan PavlovićD
- 20Jiří SlámaD
- 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
- 24Dominik HollýM
- 13Richard SedláčekM
- 25Sebastian NebylaM
- 21Matěj PolidarM
- 9Antonín RůsekF
- 17Saidou Alioum MoubarakF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Riga | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| FK Jablonec | 1.5 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Riga | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | FK Jablonec | 2 | -1 | 1 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.39 – 1.35
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 64% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 29%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 25%Riga–FK Jablonec
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 30% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 22%2/2 21% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.55.7 – 3.8 · Over 9.5: 47%
- Expected cards
- 4.31.9 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 61%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A narrow gap in the standings
Riga and FK Jablonec both drew their most recent UEFA Europa Conference League matches, and the league-stage table leaves little between them. Riga sit 21st of 36 with two points from two games, while FK Jablonec are 24th with one. Riga are three places and one point above their visitors, making this a close contest for early ground in the standings.
Riga’s unbeaten run
Riga’s latest draw extended their current run to two consecutive draws and kept them unbeaten in eight UEFA Europa Conference League matches. Across their last five in this competition, they have recorded one win and four draws, scoring five goals and conceding four.
FK Jablonec’s last five European matches have brought two wins, a draw and two defeats, with six goals scored and five conceded. Their latest result was also a draw. These competition records cover eight UEFA Europa Conference League matches, rather than either club’s overall season form.
Home strength against away struggles
Riga’s eight-match record in this competition stands at four wins and four draws, with 14 goals scored and eight conceded. At home, they have won three and drawn one of four matches, scoring nine times and conceding four.
FK Jablonec have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their eight Conference League matches, also scoring 12 and conceding eight. The contrast is sharper away from home: they have won once and lost three times in four such matches, scoring six and conceding eight, without a clean sheet.
Our prediction
With only one point separating them, this looks finely balanced, but Riga’s unbeaten competition run and stronger home record offer a slight edge. FK Jablonec have shown they can score, though their away results give the hosts reason for confidence. PreviaXI’s model leans narrowly towards Riga.
Riga 2-1 FK Jablonec

