Our pick1–0Missed
Two points apart, one of them chasing: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
Hassania Agadir have scored 11 goals in four league games, yet they sit only two points ahead of Raja Casablanca. Wednesday's clash at Stade Mohamed V could decide who gains the edge.
📍 Stade Mohamed V
Preview written:
All Matchday 5 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir drew 1-1 in the Botola Pro. The scoring began in the 66th minute when Amine Azri put Hassania Agadir ahead. Raja Casablanca levelled in the 81st minute through Mathias Oyewusi. There were no penalties, own goals or red cards recorded.
Raja Casablanca dominated possession (61% to 39%) and had more total shots (13 to 9), while Hassania Agadir edged slightly on shots on target (4 to 3). Corners favoured Raja (5 to 2). Before kick-off the PreviaXI model had predicted a 1-0 win for Raja Casablanca, giving a 52% chance of a home win, 31% for a draw and 17% for an away win.
Goals
- 66'Amine Azri · Hassania Agadir
- 81'Mathias Oyewusi · Raja Casablanca
Cards
- 19'othmane chraibi · Raja Casablanca
- 36'Mohamed Doumbia · Hassania Agadir
- 56'Imad Riahi · Hassania Agadir
- 79'Mathias Oyewusi · Raja Casablanca
- 79'Soulaimane El Amrani · Hassania Agadir
- 86'Mustapha Sahd · Hassania Agadir
- 90+5'Marian Huja · Raja Casablanca
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Raja Casablanca · 4-3-3
- 1El Mehdi Al HarrarG
- 7M. BoulacsoutD
- 13B. BenounD
- 2Marian HujaD
- 3C. KnaidilD
- 23M. Al MakahasiM
- 6A. BarkokM
- 19O. ChraibiM
- 27Mohammed Abu ZurayqM
- 11Y. DahmaniF
- 18Y. IguizF
Coach: Paco Jémez
Hassania Agadir · 4-2-3-1
- 1G. MerbahG
- 30S. El AmraniD
- 15A. QasmiD
- 24A. BouchetaD
- 27A. TarraziM
- 42M. DoumbiaM
- 5J. TachtachM
- 20I. RiahiM
- 2A. BennadiM
- 11A. AzriF
- 28Tumisang OrebonyeF
Coach: H. Et-Tair
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Raja Casablanca | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Hassania Agadir | 2.8 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hassania Agadir | 4 | +3 | 7 |
| 10 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | +1 | 5 |
Last meetings
- 2026Raja Casablanca2-0Hassania Agadir
- 2026Hassania Agadir0-1Raja Casablanca
- 2025Raja Casablanca1-0Hassania Agadir
- 2024Hassania Agadir1-3Raja Casablanca
- 2024Hassania Agadir2-4Raja Casablanca
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.49 – 0.79
- Double chance
- 1X · 83%12 69% · X2 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 40%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 20%
- Both teams score
- 44%
- Clean sheet
- 45% – 23%Raja Casablanca–Hassania Agadir
- Half-time result
- X · 46%1 37% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 31%X/X 21% · X/1 18%
- Expected corners
- 1.71.1 – 0.6 · Over 9.5: 0%
- Expected cards
- 4.52.3 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-013%
- 0-012%
- 2-011%
- 2-19%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Hassania Agadir have scored 11 goals in four league games, yet they sit only two points ahead of Raja Casablanca in the Botola Pro table. It is a small gap between a side pushing up the standings and one still searching for momentum.
A two-point gap that matters
Hassania are fourth with seven points from four matches, while Raja are tenth on five points from three. In a 16-team league, that distance is little more than a couple of results. Raja’s goal difference is +1, against +3 for their visitors, so the margins are fine on both sides. Wednesday’s Round 5 fixture at Stade Mohamed V in Casablanca offers a chance for the home side to close the gap quickly.
Form: Agadir’s attack against Raja’s solidity
Raja have been hard to beat but slow to score. They have collected two draws and a win in their last three league outings, scoring twice and conceding once. Their one home game this season ended in victory, and two away trips have produced draws.
Hassania have been the more adventurous side. They have won two, drawn one and lost one of their four league games, and their away scoring is striking: eight goals in two road matches. Their defence has been leaky, though, with eight goals conceded in total. Something has to give when a free-scoring attack meets a home side that does not lose.
Five meetings, five Raja wins
Raja have won all five of their recent meetings with Hassania, scoring 11 goals in the process while conceding three. The most recent was a 2-0 home win in July. Hassania have not beaten them in that run, though the 2024 Cup tie and the reverse fixture in March both showed the visitors can make it competitive.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours Raja Casablanca, and the football behind that lean makes sense. Raja’s home control and stronger record over this fixture should give them the edge, while Agadir’s goals have come mostly on the road and may be harder to find against a settled defence. Expect a tight, physical game in which one moment of quality could settle it.
Raja Casablanca 1-0 Hassania Agadir

