Botola Pro · Matchday 6 
Our pick2–1Missed
Difaa EL Jadida's form under the microscope ahead of local derby with UTS Rabat
Difaa EL Jadida arrive having alternated wins and losses in the league while UTS Rabat have shown a more cautious away record. Recent meetings between the sides suggest the host has the psychological edge.
📍 Stade El Abdi
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All Matchday 6 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Difaa EL Jadida and UTS Rabat drew 1-1 in the Botola Pro. UTS Rabat took the lead in the 53rd minute through Imran Douieb. Difaa EL Jadida levelled in the 67th minute, with Abderrazak Ennakouss converting a penalty. UTS Rabat finished with ten players after Omar Arjoune was sent off in the 90+4th minute.
Difaa EL Jadida had 53% possession and registered 10 shots to UTS Rabat’s four, while both sides had three shots on target. UTS Rabat led the corner count, four to one. The 1-1 draw differed from PreviaXI’s pre-match prediction of a 2-1 home win; its probabilities were 35% for a home win, 31% for a draw and 34% for an away win.
Goals
- 53'Imran Douieb · UTS Rabat
- 67'Abderrazak Ennakouss (pen.) · Difaa EL Jadida
Cards
- 55'A moulhami · Difaa EL Jadida
- 55'Mouad Dahak · UTS Rabat
- 58'Abderrazak Ennakouss · Difaa EL Jadida
- 60'Mehdi Ashabi · UTS Rabat
- 90+4'Omar Arjoune · UTS Rabat
- 90+25'Abdellah Farah · Difaa EL Jadida
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Difaa EL Jadida | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| UTS Rabat | 0.6 | 0.6 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Difaa EL Jadida | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | UTS Rabat | 5 | 0 | 7 |
Last meetings
- 2026UTS Rabat1-2Difaa EL Jadida
- 2026Difaa EL Jadida1-0UTS Rabat
- 2025Difaa EL Jadida1-0UTS Rabat
- 2024UTS Rabat2-2Difaa EL Jadida
- 2023UTS Rabat2-1Difaa EL Jadida
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.32 – 1.31
- Double chance
- 12 · 69%1X 66% · X2 65%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Clean sheet
- 27% – 27%Difaa EL Jadida–UTS Rabat
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 28% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 20%2/2 20% · X/X 19%
- Expected corners
- 1.81.1 – 0.7 · Over 9.5: 0%
- Expected cards
- 5.63.0 – 2.6 · Over 3.5: 81%
- Most likely scores
- 1-115%
- 0-09%
- 2-18%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Where this fixture matters
Both sides sit level on seven points in the Botola Pro standings after five matches, separated only by position: Difaa EL Jadida are seventh and UTS Rabat ninth. With the regular season still in its early stages and both teams on identical point totals and goal difference, this match in El Jadida is an opportunity to climb the table and create momentum.
Difaa’s late-game scoring habit
Difaa EL Jadida’s season has been mixed (LLWWD) but productive in attack: they have scored 12 goals in five matches, averaging 2.4 per game, and netted heavily in the final third of matches (61–90 minutes account for half their goals). Their home defensive record is leakier — nine goals conceded at Stade El Abdi — so games involving Difaa have tended to be high scoring.
UTS’s low-scoring road profile
UTS Rabat have scored just three times in five league matches, averaging 0.6 goals per game, and their away output is even lower (one goal on the road). Defensively they have kept two clean sheets overall this season, but their forward numbers point to difficulty creating chances away from home.
What the recent meetings tell us
The head-to-head history favours Difaa EL Jadida. In the last five Botola Pro meetings they have avoided defeat in four, winning three of the last four and recording a 2-2 draw before that sequence. That recent run suggests Difaa historically raise their level against UTS and have the psychological edge heading into this encounter.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model points to a very tight game with chances for both sides and a narrow home win; expected goals are almost identical. Given Difaa’s greater scoring volume, home attacking output and the recent H2H advantage, a close 2-1 victory for the hosts is the likeliest outcome. Expect an open game with goals at both ends and chances in the second half where Difaa tend to score most.
Difaa EL Jadida 2-1 UTS Rabat
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