Poland U21 vs Serbia U21: contrasting friendly records make for a cautious preview

The most recent meeting between these sides, in October 2020, ended with Serbia U21 beating Poland U21 1-0 in the UEFA U21 Championship. Their records since then are not directly comparable: Poland have played one match in this friendly competition, while Serbia have played six.

Different friendly samples

Poland’s only match in this competition brought a win, two goals and a clean sheet. Serbia have won four, drawn one and lost one of their six matches, scoring 13 and conceding six. Their away record in the competition is a win and a draw from two matches, with four goals scored and two conceded.

That gives Serbia the broader evidence of attacking output, while Poland’s opening result was more secure defensively. The samples are uneven, however, and Poland’s one-match record is too small to establish a lasting pattern. Serbia’s six-match return points to a side capable of scoring, but also includes six goals conceded.

Head-to-head

The last two meetings are split evenly: Serbia U21 won once and Poland U21 once, with no draws. Both matches had two goals or fewer, including Serbia’s 1-0 victory in the most recent encounter. Those older results offer some evidence of close contests, but the teams’ current friendly records differ.

Our prediction

Serbia’s six-match record, including four wins and 13 goals, gives them a slight edge in this friendly, although Poland’s clean-sheet win provides a credible counterpoint. A Serbia win is possible, but a draw or a Poland victory remain plausible given the limited and unequal samples.