Our pick Home win Correct result
Plymouth and Alvechurch Chase FA Cup Progress
Plymouth’s recent league form has been mixed, while Alvechurch arrive unbeaten in five. A place in the next round is at stake as the League One side meets a confident non-league opponent.
📍 Home Park
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Plymouth 4-0 Alvechurch.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 23–0; Shots on target: 8–0; Corners: 6–4.
Goals
- 50' Will Evans · Plymouth
- 69' Will Evans · Ronan Curtis · Plymouth
- 78' Michael Baidoo · Jared Rendle · Plymouth
- 80' Ronan Curtis · Harvey White · Plymouth
Cards
- 45+1' Sam Perry · Alvechurch
- 54' Alex·Hartridge · Plymouth
- 67' Daniel James Newton · Alvechurch
- 85' Ben Stephens · Alvechurch
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Plymouth · 4-4-2
- 21James StorerG
- 8J. EdwardsD
- 2M. RossD
- 15A. MitchellD
- 45W. HardingD
- 10X. AmaechiM
- 6M. BoatengM
- 7H. WhiteM
- 14O. IrowM
- 9W. EvansF
- 27A. PeppleF
Coach: Tom Cleverley
Alvechurch · 4-2-3-1
- 1Rhys EvansG
- 2Harry ReillyD
- 5George ForsythD
- 17Jessy BavangangaD
- 3J. KellyD
- 14Callum SullivanM
- 4J. OsborneM
- 8Kasonga Jonathan NganduM
- 7Sam PerryM
- Kieran WakefieldM
- 9M. OkaforF
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alvechurch | 2.6 | 0.8 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.82 – 1.65
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 65% · X2 58%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%Over 1.5: 87% · Over 3.5: 46%
- Both teams score
- 68%
- Clean sheet
- 19% – 16%Plymouth–Alvechurch
- Half-time result
- X · 36%1 34% · 2 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%2/2 21% · X/1 13%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A place in the next round
Plymouth’s recent league form has brought two wins, a draw and two defeats in their last five, with the latest ending level. Now the League One side turns to the FA Cup, where defeating Alvechurch would send them through from the first round proper.
For Alvechurch, progression would extend a cup run that has already carried them through five matches unbeaten. They have won four and drawn one in the competition, scoring 13 goals and conceding four. The challenge is a substantial step up in league status: Plymouth are fifth in League One, while Alvechurch sit sixth in the Non League Premier - Southern Central. Both have played 14 league matches.
Contrasting league runs
Plymouth’s fifth-place standing comes with 23 points after 14 games. Their last five league outings have been uneven, and the draw in their most recent match leaves them looking to find a sharper edge in the cup.
Alvechurch have 26 points from 14 matches in their own division. They have taken a win, three draws and a defeat across their last five league games, and their most recent result was a victory. That league form, alongside their cup momentum, gives the visitors reason to believe they can make the tie uncomfortable for their higher-division hosts.
Alvechurch’s cup momentum
Alvechurch have scored 13 and conceded four across five FA Cup matches, keeping two clean sheets. Their away record in this competition is less commanding: one win and one draw from two matches, with four goals scored and three conceded. Still, they have yet to lose in the cup, and their latest FA Cup outing was a win.
The tie’s decisive question
The key contest is whether Plymouth can impose the advantage of their higher league standing or Alvechurch can carry their cup confidence into another upset-minded performance. The visitors’ scoring record suggests they can pose a threat, but Plymouth’s home setting and greater league level give them a route to control the tie.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model leans slightly towards Plymouth, while also pointing to a competitive match in which Alvechurch can find the net. Plymouth’s higher-level experience and home advantage could prove decisive, but the visitors’ five-match unbeaten cup run should keep the contest alive.
Plymouth 2-1 Alvechurch

