Our pick Home win Missed
Accrington Stanley vs Wycombe: FA Cup progression on the line
Accrington Stanley and Wycombe meet in the FA Cup first round with a place in the next stage at stake. Accrington’s League Two form faces the test of a Wycombe side from League One.
📍 The Crown Ground
Preview written:
Match report
Final result: Accrington ST 0-2 Wycombe.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 4–5; Shots on target: 1–4; Corners: 4–7.
Goals
- 5' Connor Taylor · Wycombe
- 69' Daniel Harvie · Luke Leahy · Wycombe
Cards
- 61' Shaun Whalley · Accrington ST
- 87' Connor Taylor · Wycombe
- 87' Devon matthews · Accrington ST
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Accrington ST · 3-4-1-2
- 1L. MouldenG
- 17D. MatthewsD
- 5F. RawsonD
- 22J. AndersonD
- 2D. LoveM
- 16Aidan BorlandM
- 14Stefan MolsM
- 8C. GrantM
- 10Alex HendersonM
- 23T. WaltonF
- 30C. WarrenF
Coach: J. Doolan
Wycombe · 4-4-2
- 33J. WildsmithG
- 3D. HarvieD
- 17D. CaseyD
- 26C. TaylorD
- 22Sam ParkerD
- 29M. MothersilleM
- 10L. LeahyM
- 5A. MorleyM
- 11Silko Amari Otieno ThomasM
- 28Danny IngsF
- 19E. TezgelF
Coach: T. Hounsell
Match facts
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Wycombe | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Last meetings
- 2023 Accrington ST 0-2 Wycombe
- 2022 Wycombe 1-0 Accrington ST
- 2022 Accrington ST 3-2 Wycombe
- 2021 Wycombe 2-1 Accrington ST
- 2020 Accrington ST None-None Wycombe
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.42 – 1.36
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 65% · X2 62%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52%Over 1.5: 77% · Over 3.5: 30%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 26% – 24%Accrington ST–Wycombe
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 30% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 23%2/2 21% · X/X 16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A place in the next round
Progression is the prize when Accrington Stanley take on Wycombe in the FA Cup first round: a win sends one club through, while the other’s cup run ends. Accrington, ninth in League Two with 19 points after 14 matches, have the chance to make home advantage count against a side playing a division higher. Wycombe are 13th in League One on 18 points after 13 games. The league positions underline the different levels at which the clubs compete, but their points totals are close. For Accrington, advancing would mean continuing their cup campaign against higher-division opposition; Wycombe will aim to avoid an upset and keep their own progress alive.
Recent league momentum
Accrington are unbeaten in their last five league matches, with two wins and three draws; their most recent result was a draw. That run offers a steady platform, though a knockout tie brings a different kind of pressure. Wycombe’s last five league games have brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, and they come into the tie after a win. Both sides have shown recent capacity to collect points, leaving the contest finely poised on current league form.
Wycombe have the recent H2H edge
Wycombe have won three of the last four meetings, while Accrington have won one; there have been no draws. The most recent encounter, in February 2023 in League One, ended 2-0 to Wycombe. Two of those four meetings featured two goals or fewer, so the history includes both a clear recent Wycombe result and several tight contests.
The division gap, not a gulf
The clearest team-level point is the division difference: Accrington compete in League Two, while Wycombe play in League One. Yet the close points totals and Accrington’s unbeaten league run suggest the hosts have grounds to believe they can make this a competitive tie.
Our prediction
Accrington’s recent consistency and home setting make them a narrow choice, despite Wycombe’s higher division and stronger recent head-to-head record. The expected contest looks close, but Accrington may find enough to turn their steadier league run into cup progress. Accrington ST 2-1 Wycombe

